US Open Cup
· Quarter-finals
May 20, 2026 02:00
M. Hartel
10'
M. Hartel
51'
(pen.)
E. Lowen
120'+1
(pen.)
M. Hartel
120'+2
(pen.)
T. Baumgartl
120'+3
(pen.)
C. Durkin
120'+4
(pen.)
11'
M. Bogusz
42'
(ast. J. McGlynn)
Artur
(pen.)
120'+2
O. Lingr
(pen.)
120'+3
D. Holmes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 29%). The final result was St. Louis City 2–2 Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽M. Hartel
10'
11'
M. Bogusz⚽
R. Burki
/ B. Lundt
26'
29'
L. Ennali
42'
ast. J. McGlynn ·
Artur⚽
⚽M. Hartel
(pen.)
51'
D. Edelman
57'
59'
Guilherme
S. Cordova
/ S. Becher
63'
D. Edelman
/ E. Lowen
63'
76'
O. Lingr
/
E. Ponce
87'
H. Herrera
/
J. McGlynn
S. Jeong
/ B. McSorley
90'+1
90'+3
A. Bouzat
Y. Damet
90'+4
C. Durkin
90'+6
T. Totland
/ M. Joyner
106'
109'
L. Ennali
109'
L. Ennali
113'
Artur
M. Joyner
117'
⚽E. Lowen
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
D. Holmes
/
Felipe Andrade
120'+1
(missed pen.)
Guilherme⚽
120'+2
(pen.)
O. Lingr⚽
⚽M. Hartel
(pen.)
120'+2
⚽T. Baumgartl
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.)
D. Holmes⚽
L. MacNaughton
/ F. Fall
120'+3
120'+4
(missed pen.)
H. Herrera⚽
⚽C. Durkin
(pen.)
120'+4
Pre-match prediction
44.87%
St.
25.28%
X ←
29.84%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
—
—
1.20
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was St. Louis City 2–2 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 44% probability to a St. Louis City win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Houston Dynamo win.