MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 02:30

St. Louis City

#3 · 44 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Houston Dynamo

#2 · 44 pts

S. Becher (ast. A. Matan) 23'

D. Polvara 85'

75' I. Aliyu

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 21%). The final result was St. Louis City 2–1 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

4

1.20

Actual xG

1.16

47%

Possession

53%

1

Corners

5

Match Events

⚽S. Becher · ast. A. Matan

23'

A. Matan

27'

46'

Felipe Andrade / M. Saracchi ↕

57'

H. Herrera / D. Samassekou ↕

57'

I. Aliyu / D. McGuire ↕

58'

M. Bogusz

58'

A. Bouzat

↕ T. Ostrak / C. Holse

62'

S. Becher

63'

66'

C. Holse

70'

↕ S. Jeong / P. Ault

72'

↕ A. Matan / L. MacNaughton

72'

75'

I. Aliyu⚽

81'

Lucas Halter

⚽D. Polvara

85'

87'

F. Negri / A. Bouzat ↕

↕ S. Becher / M. Perez

90'+2

90'+2

D. Holmes / L. Ennali ↕

T. Totland

90'+8

Pre-match prediction

53.84%

St. ←

24.68%

X

21.47%

Houston

we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 53.84% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

St.

1.54

1.20

-0.35

Houston

0.81

1.16

+0.35

xG dominance was balanced (1.20 – 1.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	44
3	St. Louis City	26	44
4	FC Dallas	26	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	32
11	San Diego	26	31
12	Austin	26	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	18