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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 02:30
St. Louis City
#6 · 38 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Los Angeles FC
#3 · 40 pts
T. Totland (ast. E. Lowen) 4'
Rafael Santos 64'
73' (ast. Nkosi Tafari) D. Martinez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Los Angeles FC 26%). The final result was St. Louis City 2–1 Los Angeles FC. In 1 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Los Angeles FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
4
1.72
Actual xG
1.68
3
Saves
0
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
8
17
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽T. Totland · ast. E. Lowen
4'
↕ J. Orozco / Rafael Santos
10'
↕ S. Jeong / S. Becher
46'
T. Totland
49'
58'
E. Segura
D. Polvara
60'
⚽Rafael Santos
64'
↕ E. Lowen / F. Fall
66'
67'
A. Long
70'
D. Martinez / T. Boyd ↕
73'
ast. Nkosi Tafari · D. Martinez⚽
S. Becher
76'
77'
N. Ordaz / T. Tillman ↕
77'
J. Shaffelburg / E. Segura ↕
77'
S. Eustaquio / M. Choiniere ↕
82'
R. Raposo
85'
R. Hollingshead / R. Raposo ↕
↕ S. Cordova / B. McSorley
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.81%
St. ←
28.11%
X
26.08%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 45.81% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.61
1.72
+0.11
Los
0.94
1.68
+0.74
xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 7.50
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 7.20
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 7.20
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton D 6.30
14 T. Totland T. Totland 1 ⚽ M 7.90
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman M 7.20
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 1 👟 66' M 8.00
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco 10' M 6.30
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel F 7.00
16 S. Córdova S. Córdova F 6.60
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 45' F 6.70
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 4' F
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert F
27 F. Fall F. Fall 28' D 6.30
4 M. Fall M. Fall D
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
28 M. Perez M. Perez M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 1 ⚽ 84' D 7.30
11 S. Becher S. Becher 49' F 6.20
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
1 H. Lloris H. Lloris G 5.60
4 E. Segura E. Segura 77' D 6.30
91 N. Tafari N. Tafari 1 👟 D 6.90
33 A. Long A. Long D 6.90
21 R. Raposo R. Raposo 85' D 6.00
66 M. Choinière M. Choinière 77' M 6.60
11 T. Tillman T. Tillman 77' M 7.00
8 M. Delgado M. Delgado M 6.90
99 D. Bouanga D. Bouanga F 6.30
7 Son Heung-Min Son Heung-Min F 7.30
19 T. Boyd T. Boyd 70' F 6.30
Bench
29
Artem Smoliakov D
30 D. Martínez D. Martínez 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.30
17 J. Ebobisse J. Ebobisse F
18 J. Shaffelburg J. Shaffelburg 17' F 6.30
27 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz 17' F 6.50
24 R. Hollingshead R. Hollingshead 9' D 6.20
5 R. Porteous R. Porteous D
46 S. Eustáquio S. Eustáquio 17' M 6.70
12 Thomas Hasal Thomas Hasal G
Best on the pitch
E. Löwen
E. Löwen
M · St.
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
T. Totland
T. Totland
M · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
R. Bürki
R. Bürki
G · St.
7.50
· 29 pass
D. Martínez
D. Martínez
F · Los
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Rafael Santos
Rafael Santos
D · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
Son Heung-Min
Son Heung-Min
F · Los
7.30
1 shots · 41 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 94 7.50 — — — 29 20% 1 — —
D. Polvara D 94 7.20 — — — 55 49% 3 1 —
T. Baumgartl D 94 7.20 — — — 42 42% 1 — —
L. MacNaughton D 94 6.30 — — — 49 42% — — —
T. Totland M 94 7.90 1 — 1 34 30% 3 1 —
D. Edelman M 94 7.20 — — 1 42 40% 3 — —
E. Löwen M 66 8.00 — 1 1 42 38% 2 — —
J. Orozco M 10 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
M. Hartel F 94 7.00 — — 1 40 30% 1 — —
S. Córdova F 90 6.60 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 45 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Brendan McSorley F 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
F. Fall D 28 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
Rafael Santos D 84 7.30 1 — 2 25 21% — — —
S. Becher F 49 6.20 — — 2 7 2% — 1 —
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Lloris G 94 5.60 — — — 20 13% — — —
E. Segura D 77 6.30 — — 1 55 51% — 1 —
N. Tafari D 94 6.90 — 1 2 67 63% 3 — —
A. Long D 94 6.90 — — 1 91 88% 2 1 —
R. Raposo D 85 6.00 — — 2 48 44% — 1 —
M. Choinière M 77 6.60 — — — 83 77% 2 — —
T. Tillman M 77 7.00 — — — 54 47% 2 — —
M. Delgado M 94 6.90 — — — 82 79% 1 — —
D. Bouanga F 94 6.30 — — 1 29 23% 2 — —
Son Heung-Min F 94 7.30 — — 1 41 35% — — —
T. Boyd F 70 6.30 — — — 24 23% 2 — —
D. Martínez F 24 7.30 1 — 1 14 10% — — —
J. Shaffelburg F 17 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
N. Ordaz F 17 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
R. Hollingshead D 9 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
S. Eustáquio M 17 6.70 — — — 23 20% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was St. Louis City 2–1 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 45% probability to a St. Louis City win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Los Angeles FC win.