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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 02:30
St. Louis City
#4 · 51 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Los Angeles FC
#6 · 47 pts
T. Totland (ast. E. Lowen) 4'
Rafael Santos 64'
73' (ast. Nkosi Tafari) D. Martinez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Los Angeles FC 26%). The final result was St. Louis City 2–1 Los Angeles FC. In 1 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Los Angeles FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
4
1.72
Actual xG
1.68
3
Saves
0
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
8
17
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽T. Totland · ast. E. Lowen
4'
↕ J. Orozco / Rafael Santos
10'
↕ S. Jeong / S. Becher
46'
T. Totland
49'
58'
E. Segura
D. Polvara
60'
⚽Rafael Santos
64'
↕ E. Lowen / F. Fall
66'
67'
A. Long
70'
D. Martinez / T. Boyd ↕
73'
ast. Nkosi Tafari · D. Martinez⚽
S. Becher
76'
77'
N. Ordaz / T. Tillman ↕
77'
J. Shaffelburg / E. Segura ↕
77'
S. Eustaquio / M. Choiniere ↕
82'
R. Raposo
85'
R. Hollingshead / R. Raposo ↕
↕ S. Cordova / B. McSorley
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.81%
St. ←
28.11%
X
26.08%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 45.81% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.61
1.72
+0.11
Los
0.94
1.68
+0.74
xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 7.50
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 7.20
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 7.20
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton D 6.30
14 T. Totland T. Totland 1 ⚽ M 7.90
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman M 7.20
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 1 👟 66' M 8.00
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco 10' M 6.30
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel F 7.00
16 S. Córdova S. Córdova F 6.60
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 45' F 6.70
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 4' F
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert F
27 F. Fall F. Fall 28' D 6.30
4 M. Fall M. Fall D
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
28 M. Perez M. Perez M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 1 ⚽ 84' D 7.30
11 S. Becher S. Becher 49' F 6.20
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
1 H. Lloris H. Lloris G 5.60
4 E. Segura E. Segura 77' D 6.30
91 N. Tafari N. Tafari 1 👟 D 6.90
33 A. Long A. Long D 6.90
21 R. Raposo R. Raposo 85' D 6.00
66 M. Choinière M. Choinière 77' M 6.60
11 T. Tillman T. Tillman 77' M 7.00
8 M. Delgado M. Delgado M 6.90
99 D. Bouanga D. Bouanga F 6.30
7 Son Heung-Min Son Heung-Min F 7.30
19 T. Boyd T. Boyd 70' F 6.30
Bench
29 A. Smolyakov A. Smolyakov D
30 D. Martínez D. Martínez 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.30
17 J. Ebobisse J. Ebobisse F
18 J. Shaffelburg J. Shaffelburg 17' F 6.30
27 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz 17' F 6.50
24 R. Hollingshead R. Hollingshead 9' D 6.20
5 R. Porteous R. Porteous D
46 S. Eustáquio S. Eustáquio 17' M 6.70
12 T. Hasal T. Hasal G
Best on the pitch
E. Löwen
E. Löwen
M · St.
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
T. Totland
T. Totland
M · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
R. Bürki
R. Bürki
G · St.
7.50
· 29 pass
D. Martínez
D. Martínez
F · Los
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Rafael Santos
Rafael Santos
D · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
Son Heung-Min
Son Heung-Min
F · Los
7.30
1 shots · 41 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 94 7.50 — — — 29 20% 1 — —
D. Polvara D 94 7.20 — — — 55 49% 3 1 —
T. Baumgartl D 94 7.20 — — — 42 42% 1 — —
L. MacNaughton D 94 6.30 — — — 49 42% — — —
T. Totland M 94 7.90 1 — 1 34 30% 3 1 —
D. Edelman M 94 7.20 — — 1 42 40% 3 — —
E. Löwen M 66 8.00 — 1 1 42 38% 2 — —
J. Orozco M 10 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
M. Hartel F 94 7.00 — — 1 40 30% 1 — —
S. Córdova F 90 6.60 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 45 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Brendan McSorley F 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
F. Fall D 28 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
Rafael Santos D 84 7.30 1 — 2 25 21% — — —
S. Becher F 49 6.20 — — 2 7 2% — 1 —
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Lloris G 94 5.60 — — — 20 13% — — —
E. Segura D 77 6.30 — — 1 55 51% — 1 —
N. Tafari D 94 6.90 — 1 2 67 63% 3 — —
A. Long D 94 6.90 — — 1 91 88% 2 1 —
R. Raposo D 85 6.00 — — 2 48 44% — 1 —
M. Choinière M 77 6.60 — — — 83 77% 2 — —
T. Tillman M 77 7.00 — — — 54 47% 2 — —
M. Delgado M 94 6.90 — — — 82 79% 1 — —
D. Bouanga F 94 6.30 — — 1 29 23% 2 — —
Son Heung-Min F 94 7.30 — — 1 41 35% — — —
T. Boyd F 70 6.30 — — — 24 23% 2 — —
D. Martínez F 24 7.30 1 — 1 14 10% — — —
J. Shaffelburg F 17 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
N. Ordaz F 17 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
R. Hollingshead D 9 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
S. Eustáquio M 17 6.70 — — — 23 20% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was St. Louis City 2–1 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 45% probability to a St. Louis City win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Los Angeles FC win.