MLS
· Regular Season - 25
September 13, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction St. Louis City
Daniel Edelman
18'
Carlo Holse
(ast. Conrad Wallem)
22'
Rafael Navarro Leal
(ast. Carlo Holse)
38'
Rafael Navarro Leal
57'
(pen.)
5'
(ast. Joaquín Pereyra)
Tomás Chancalay
(pen.)
61'
Kelvin Yeboah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 64% win probability (draw 17%, Minnesota United FC 17%). The final result was St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
5
20
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. Joaquín Pereyra ·
Tomás Chancalay⚽
⚽Daniel Edelman
18'
⚽Carlo Holse
· ast. Conrad Wallem
22'
⚽Rafael Navarro Leal
· ast. Carlo Holse
38'
47'
Michael Boxall
⚽Rafael Navarro Leal
(pen.)
57'
Rafael Santos
/ Tomas Totland
59'
Daniel Edelman
/ Christopher Durkin
59'
Carlo Holse
/ Alexandru Măţan
59'
61'
(pen.)
Kelvin Yeboah⚽
64'
Kyle Duncan
75'
Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
/
Nicolás Romero
75'
Maurice Malone
/
Kelvin Yeboah
75'
Nectarios Triantis
/
Wil Trapp
Simon Becher
/ Damion Downs
76'
Fallou Fall
/ Lukas MacNaughton
76'
80'
Kyle Duncan
83'
Aziel Jackson
/
Tomás Chancalay
Pre-match prediction
64.7%
St. ←
17.55%
X
17.75%
Minnesota
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City)
64.7%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.57
—
—
1.11
—
—
Lineups
1
Roman Bürki
G
Roman Bürki
G
27
Fallou Fall
76'
D
Fallou Fall
76'
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
D
Timo Baumgartl
D
99
Jaziel Orozco
D
Jaziel Orozco
D
20
Rafael Santos
59'
M
Rafael Santos
59'
M
21
Dante Polvara
M
Dante Polvara
M
24
Daniel Edelman
1 ⚽
59'
M
Daniel Edelman
1 ⚽
59'
M
6
Conrad Wallem
1 👟
M
Conrad Wallem
1 👟
M
19
Carlo Holse
1 ⚽
1 👟
59'
M
Carlo Holse
1 ⚽
1 👟
59'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
2 ⚽
F
Rafael Navarro
2 ⚽
F
11
Simon Becher
76'
F
Simon Becher
76'
F
Bench
23
Alexandru Mățan
31'
M
Alexandru Mățan
31'
M
39
Benjamin Lundt
G
Benjamin Lundt
G
8
Christopher Durkin
31'
M
Christopher Durkin
31'
M
42
Damion Downs
14'
F
Damion Downs
14'
F
77
Jeong Sang-bin
F
Jeong Sang-bin
F
5
Lukas MacNaughton
14'
D
Lukas MacNaughton
14'
D
4
M. Fall
D
M. Fall
D
7
Tomáš Ostrák
M
Tomáš Ostrák
M
14
Tomas Totland
31'
D
Tomas Totland
31'
D
12
Drake Callender
G
Drake Callender
G
5
Nicolás Romero
75'
D
Nicolás Romero
75'
D
15
M. Boxall
D
M. Boxall
D
67
Carlos Harvey
D
Carlos Harvey
D
13
Anthony Markanich
M
Anthony Markanich
M
20
Wil Trapp
75'
M
Wil Trapp
75'
M
30
Owen Gene
M
Owen Gene
M
3
Kyle Duncan
80'
M
Kyle Duncan
80'
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
1 ⚽
83'
F
Tomás Chancalay
1 ⚽
83'
F
9
Kelvin Yeboah
1 ⚽
75'
F
Kelvin Yeboah
1 ⚽
75'
F
26
J. Pereyra
1 👟
F
J. Pereyra
1 👟
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
Alec Smir
G
16
Aziel Jackson
7'
M
Aziel Jackson
7'
M
27
D.J. Taylor
D
D.J. Taylor
D
28
Jefferson Díaz
15'
D
Jefferson Díaz
15'
D
33
K. Chandler
D
K. Chandler
D
22
Marcus Caldeira
F
Marcus Caldeira
F
11
Maurice Malone
15'
F
Maurice Malone
15'
F
18
Mauricio González
F
Mauricio González
F
25
Nectarios Triantis
15'
D
Nectarios Triantis
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Carlo Holse
M · St.
8.46
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 35 pass
Rafael Navarro
F · St.
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
Daniel Edelman
M · St.
7.92
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Tomás Chancalay
F · Minnesota
7.43
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Conrad Wallem
M · St.
7.11
1 👟
2 shots
· 40 pass
Jaziel Orozco
D · St.
7.03
· 75 pass
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Bürki | G | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Fallou Fall | D | 76 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 116 | 109% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 70% | 5 | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | M | 59 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 59 | 7.92 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 90 | 7.11 | — | 1 | 2 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlo Holse | M | 59 | 8.46 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 26 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 76 | 6.45 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Alexandru Mățan | M | 31 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Christopher Durkin | M | 31 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Damion Downs | F | 14 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 14 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | D | 31 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Callender | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Nicolás Romero | D | 75 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 90 | 5.48 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Harvey | D | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 75 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 80 | 4.72 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | 1 |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 83 | 7.43 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 75 | 6.84 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 90 | 6.92 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Aziel Jackson | M | 7 | 5.77 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 15 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Maurice Malone | F | 15 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | D | 15 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 64% probability to a St. Louis City win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Minnesota United FC win.