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MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 01:30
St. Louis City
#2 · 47 pts
3 – 1
Final score
New England Revolution
#2 · 46 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 37% win probability (draw 31%, New England Revolution 31%). The final result was St. Louis City 3–1 New England Revolution.

Match statistics
6
Shots on target
2
1.12
Actual xG
1.21
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
37.51%
St. ←
31.12%
X
31.37%
New
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 37.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.91
1.12
-0.79
New
1.16
1.21
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
The final score was St. Louis City 3–1 New England Revolution.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
The model assigned 37% probability to a St. Louis City win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an New England Revolution win.