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MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 02:30
St. Louis City
#12 · 16 pts
3 – 1
Final score
New England Revolution
#4 · 25 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 37% win probability (draw 31%, New England Revolution 31%). The final result was St. Louis City 3–1 New England Revolution.

Match statistics
6
Shots on target
2
1.12
Actual xG
1.21
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
37.51%
St. ←
31.12%
X
31.37%
New
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 37.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.91
1.12
-0.79
New
1.16
1.21
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 14 32
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
3 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 14 26
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 15 25
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 15 24
6 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 13 24
7 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 14 22
8 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 15 22
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
10 San Diego San Diego 15 17
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 15 16
12 St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 16
13 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 14 14
14 Austin Austin 15 14
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 14 11
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
The final score was St. Louis City 3–1 New England Revolution.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
The model assigned 37% probability to a St. Louis City win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an New England Revolution win.