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MLS · Regular Season - 18 August 02, 2026 02:30
St. Louis City
#4 · 51 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Real Salt Lake
#11 · 42 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction St. Louis City, result Draw
M. Hartel 73'
60' (ast. S. Lobjanidze) S. Solans
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 18%). The final result was St. Louis City 1–1 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Salt Lake.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
1.71
Actual xG
1.24
2
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
4
11
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
Z. Booth
E. Lowen
28'
29'
P. Quinton
40'
D. Yedlin
C. Durkin
43'
45'+1
S. Spierings / G. Dillon ↕
46'
S. Lobjanidze / Lineker Rodrigues ↕
60'
ast. S. Lobjanidze · S. Solans⚽
↕ E. Lowen / M. Hartel
65'
↕ C. Durkin / A. Matan
65'
⚽M. Hartel
73'
78'
V. Olatunji / D. Luna ↕
S. Jeong
80'
↕ S. Jeong / T. Ostrak
84'
90'+1
A. Hezarkhani / S. Solans ↕
90'+1
D. Marczuk / Z. Booth ↕
↕ S. Becher / P. Ault
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
60.0%
St.
21.19%
X ←
18.81%
Real
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.87
1.71
-0.16
Real
0.80
1.24
+0.44
St. Louis City dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 7.30
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 7.00
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 7.50
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton D 7.30
14 T. Totland T. Totland M 6.60
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin 65' M 6.90
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman M 7.20
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem M 7.30
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 65' F 7.70
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 84' F 6.50
11 S. Becher S. Becher F 6.30
Bench
23 A. Mățan A. Mățan 30' M 7.70
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
27 F. Fall F. Fall D
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel 1 ⚽ 30' M 7.30
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
28 M. Perez M. Perez M
29 Palmer Ault Palmer Ault 3' M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos D
7 T. Ostrák T. Ostrák 11' M 6.30
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2
1 Rafael Cabral Rafael Cabral G 5.90
29 S. Junqua S. Junqua D 7.90
26 P. Quinton P. Quinton D 7.00
2 D. Yedlin D. Yedlin D 7.00
8 J. Sanabria J. Sanabria M 6.20
92 N. Caliskan N. Caliskan M 6.60
27 Griffin Dillon Griffin Dillon 46' M 6.70
23 Chadwick Zachary Booth Chadwick Zachary Booth M 6.20
10 D. Luna D. Luna 78' F 6.30
22 S. Solans S. Solans 1 ⚽ F 7.30
70 Lineker Rodrigues Lineker Rodrigues 45' F 6.70
Bench
39 A. Hezarkhani A. Hezarkhani 4' F
98 A. Katránis A. Katránis D
11 D. Marczuk D. Marczuk 4' F
21 J. Arias J. Arias D
4 L. Engel L. Engel D
31 M. Stajduhar M. Stajduhar G
12 S. Lobzhanidze S. Lobzhanidze 1 👟 50' M 6.60
6 S. Spierings S. Spierings 49' M 6.90
17 Victor Olatunji Victor Olatunji 17' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
S. Junqua
S. Junqua
D · Real
7.90
1 shots · 36 pass
A. Mățan
A. Mățan
M · St.
7.70
1 shots · 20 pass
E. Löwen
E. Löwen
F · St.
7.70
1 shots · 67 pass
T. Baumgartl
T. Baumgartl
D · St.
7.50
· 80 pass
R. Bürki
R. Bürki
G · St.
7.30
· 16 pass
M. Hartel
M. Hartel
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 95 7.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
D. Polvara D 95 7.00 — — — 86 80% 2 — —
T. Baumgartl D 95 7.50 — — — 80 78% 2 — —
L. MacNaughton D 95 7.30 — — — 87 78% 1 — —
T. Totland M 95 6.60 — — — 43 40% — — —
C. Durkin M 65 6.90 — — 1 50 45% 2 1 —
D. Edelman M 95 7.20 — — — 67 53% 1 — —
C. Wallem M 95 7.30 — — 2 54 49% 1 — —
E. Löwen F 65 7.70 — — 1 67 58% 1 1 —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 84 6.50 — — — 42 38% 1 1 —
S. Becher F 92 6.30 — — 1 23 16% — — —
A. Mățan M 30 7.70 — — 1 20 18% — — —
M. Hartel M 30 7.30 1 — 4 11 6% — — —
Palmer Ault M 3 — — — — — — — — —
T. Ostrák M 11 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael Cabral G 95 5.90 — — — 23 13% — — —
S. Junqua D 95 7.90 — — 1 36 32% 3 — —
P. Quinton D 95 7.00 — — — 37 29% — 1 —
D. Yedlin D 95 7.00 — — 1 29 26% 3 1 —
J. Sanabria M 95 6.20 — — — 29 20% 1 — —
N. Caliskan M 95 6.60 — — — 47 39% 1 — —
Griffin Dillon M 46 6.70 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
Chadwick Zachary Booth M 91 6.20 — — — 19 13% 1 1 —
D. Luna F 78 6.30 — — — 20 12% — — —
S. Solans F 91 7.30 1 — 1 10 7% 1 — —
Lineker Rodrigues F 45 6.70 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
A. Hezarkhani F 4 — — — — — — — — —
D. Marczuk F 4 — — — — — — — — —
S. Lobzhanidze M 50 6.60 — 1 1 10 6% — — —
S. Spierings M 49 6.90 — — 1 20 20% 1 — —
Victor Olatunji F 17 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was St. Louis City 1–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 60% probability to a St. Louis City win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Real Salt Lake win.