St. Louis City 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps — pre-match prediction — MLS — October 15, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 29 October 15, 2026 02:30 Citypark, Saint Louis

St. Louis City

#3 · 51 pts

0 – 0

Final score

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 55 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction St. Louis City, result Draw

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 65% win probability (draw 15%, Vancouver Whitecaps 18%). The final result was St. Louis City 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps. In 1 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.75

Actual xG

0.83

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

↕ Conrad Wallem / Rafael Santos

40'

Fallou Fall

45'+1

45'+2

Édier Ocampo

66'

Bruno Caicedo / Emmanuel Sabbi ↕

↕ Rafael Navarro Leal / Simon Becher

70'

77'

Rayan Elloumi / Brian White ↕

77'

Aleksa Cvetkovic / Oliver Love Larraz ↕

81'

Ralph Priso

Alexandru Măţan

85'

↕ Christopher Durkin / Lukas MacNaughton

89'

Pre-match prediction

65.71%

St.

15.81%

X ←

18.48%

Vancouver

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.81% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

St.

3.18

0.75

-2.43

Vancouver

1.41

0.83

-0.58

xG dominance was balanced (0.75 – 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	55
2	FC Dallas	31	54
3	St. Louis City	31	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	48
6	Los Angeles FC	32	47
7	Seattle Sounders	31	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	42
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	32	41
10	Real Salt Lake	31	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	37
12	San Diego	31	35
13	Minnesota United FC	31	35
14	Austin	31	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	22

Lineups

St. Louis City 3-4-3

R. Bürki G 6.96

F. Fall D 6.22

T. Baumgartl D 6.87

D. Polvara D 6.92

T. Totland M 6.19

D. Edelman M 6.46

C. Durkin 89' M 6.40

C. Wallem 40' M 6.58

A. Mățan F 6.11

Rafael Navarro 70' F 6.32

C. Holse F 6.76

Bench

B. Lundt G 0.00

D. Downs F 0.00

Jeong Sang-Bin F 0.00

J. Orozco D 0.00

L. MacNaughton 1' D 6.56

M. Perez M 0.00

Rafael Santos 50' D 6.79

S. Becher 20' F 6.45

T. Ostrák M 0.00

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

Y. Takaoka G 7.82

T. Johnson D 7.12

R. Priso D 6.36

M. Laborda D 6.22

É. Ocampo D 6.05

A. Cubas M 6.98

O. Larraz 77' M 6.32

Y. Diaby M 6.50

R. Gauld M 6.83

E. Sabbi 66' M 6.67

B. White 77' F 6.16

Bench

A. Cvetković 13' M 6.58

Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez 24' F 6.58

C. Sabaly F 0.00

I. Boehmer G 0.00

M. Gherasimencov D 0.00

N. Djordjevic D 0.00

R. Elloumi 13' F 6.45

Rui Modesto M 0.00

R. Veselinović D 0.00

Best on the pitch

Y. Takaoka

G · Vancouver

7.82

· 34 pass

T. Johnson

D · Vancouver

7.12

· 47 pass

A. Cubas

M · Vancouver

6.98

· 36 pass

R. Bürki

G · St.

6.96

· 30 pass

D. Polvara

D · St.

6.92

· 65 pass

T. Baumgartl

D · St.

6.87

· 92 pass

St. Louis City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Bürki	G	90	6.96	—	—	0	30	25%	0	—	—
F. Fall	D	90	6.22	—	—	0	72	59%	0	1	—
T. Baumgartl	D	90	6.87	—	—	0	92	86%	1	—	—
D. Polvara	D	90	6.92	—	—	0	65	59%	0	—	—
T. Totland	M	90	6.19	—	—	0	21	15%	1	—	—
D. Edelman	M	90	6.46	—	—	0	37	29%	1	—	—
C. Durkin	M	89	6.40	—	—	0	27	24%	1	—	—
C. Wallem	M	40	6.58	—	—	0	6	3%	0	—	—
A. Mățan	F	90	6.11	—	—	1	40	33%	1	1	—
Rafael Navarro	F	70	6.32	—	—	1	15	8%	2	—	—
C. Holse	F	90	6.76	—	—	3	19	18%	2	—	—
L. MacNaughton	D	1	6.56	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—
Rafael Santos	D	50	6.79	—	—	1	17	14%	3	—	—
S. Becher	F	20	6.45	—	—	1	6	3%	0	—	—

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Takaoka	G	90	7.82	—	—	0	34	30%	0	—	—
T. Johnson	D	90	7.12	—	—	0	47	39%	3	—	—
R. Priso	D	90	6.36	—	—	1	48	40%	1	1	—
M. Laborda	D	90	6.22	—	—	1	49	40%	1	—	—
É. Ocampo	D	90	6.05	—	—	0	38	32%	2	1	—
A. Cubas	M	90	6.98	—	—	0	36	34%	3	—	—
O. Larraz	M	77	6.32	—	—	3	28	25%	1	—	—
Y. Diaby	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	19	15%	0	—	—
R. Gauld	M	90	6.83	—	—	4	39	33%	0	—	—
E. Sabbi	M	66	6.67	—	—	2	20	14%	2	—	—
B. White	F	77	6.16	—	—	2	19	14%	0	—	—
A. Cvetković	M	13	6.58	—	—	0	6	3%	0	—	—
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez	F	24	6.58	—	—	1	6	4%	0	—	—
R. Elloumi	F	13	6.45	—	—	1	1	1%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The final score was St. Louis City 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps.

What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model assigned 65% probability to a St. Louis City win, 15% to a draw, and 18% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.