St. Lucia - Bermuda
CONCACAF Nations League
September 29, 2026 02:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.14%
Win
St. Lucia
35.33%
Draw
32.53%
Win
Bermuda
0.87
0.9
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(14.78%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
35%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
68%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives St. Lucia a 32% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 32% for Bermuda. Expected goals are 0.9 for St. Lucia and 0.9 for Bermuda (total 1.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.78% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ St. Lucia
Bermuda →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.2% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
St. Lucia
Attack
8
Defence
36
Form
36
Bermuda
Attack
15
Defence
38
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
The model gives St. Lucia a 32% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 32% for an Bermuda win.
How many goals are expected in St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
Expected goals: St. Lucia 0.9, Bermuda 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.78%.