J. Ayunga
40'
A. Gogic
(ast. S. Tanser)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 50% win probability (draw 29%, Aberdeen 19%). The final result was ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen. In 3 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Aberdeen.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
0
0.72
Actual xG
0.59
0
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
5
14
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
27'
Kenan Bilalovic
39'
Liam Morrison
⚽J. Ayunga
40'
Jonah Ayunga
45'+1
45'
Marko Lazetić
46'
S. Armstrong
/
T. Keskinen
46'
K. Nisbet
/
M. Lazetic
46'
T. Olusanya
/
K. Bilalovic
D. John
/ S. Tanser
59'
K. Phillips
/ D. N'Lundulu
59'
65'
L. Cameron
/
G. Shinnie
J. Ayunga
/ J. Richardson
68'
79'
D. Lobban
/
A. Jensen
⚽A. Gogic
· ast. S. Tanser
83'
Pre-match prediction
50.27%
ST ←
29.99%
X
19.74%
Aberdeen
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren)
50.27%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
0.72
-0.61
0.66
0.59
-0.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.72 – 0.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. George
G
S. George
G
21
M. Freckleton
D
M. Freckleton
D
13
A. Gogić
1 ⚽
D
A. Gogić
1 ⚽
D
4
Liam Donnelly
D
Liam Donnelly
D
24
D. John
59'
M
D. John
59'
M
16
Allan Campbell
M
8
J. Devaney
M
J. Devaney
M
88
K. Phillips
59'
M
K. Phillips
59'
M
6
M. O'Hara
M. O'Hara
9
M. Mandron
F
M. Mandron
F
11
J. Ayunga
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
10
C. McMenamin
F
7
R. Idowu
M
R. Idowu
M
5
R. King
D
R. King
D
31
R. Mullen
G
R. Mullen
G
3
S. Tanser
1 👟
31'
D
S. Tanser
1 👟
31'
D
99
G
21
D
23
L. Morrison
D
L. Morrison
D
22
J. Milne
D
J. Milne
D
77
E. Gyamfi
4
G. Shinnie
65'
M
32
A. Aremu
M
A. Aremu
M
28
A. Jensen
79'
M
A. Jensen
79'
M
14
Kenan Bilalovic
45'
F
Kenan Bilalovic
45'
F
27
Marko Lazetić
45'
F
Marko Lazetić
45'
F
81
T. Keskinen
45'
F
T. Keskinen
45'
F
Bench
15
K. Nisbet
45'
F
K. Nisbet
45'
F
25
L. Cameron
25'
M
L. Cameron
25'
M
16
S. Armstrong
45'
M
S. Armstrong
45'
M
20
T. Olusanya
45'
F
T. Olusanya
45'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Gogić
D · ST
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 49 pass
M. Mandron
F · ST
7.90
· 30 pass
A. Aremu
M · Aberdeen
7.50
· 33 pass
G. Shinnie
M · Aberdeen
7.50
· 30 pass
J. Ayunga
F · ST
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
D. John
M · ST
7.30
· 39 pass
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. George | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Freckleton | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Donnelly | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| D. John | M | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan Campbell | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Phillips | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. O'Hara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Mandron | F | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Ayunga | F | 68 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Tanser | D | 31 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Aberdeen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| L. Morrison | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Milne | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Gyamfi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G. Shinnie | M | 65 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Aremu | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Jensen | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Kenan Bilalovic | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Marko Lazetić | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Keskinen | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Nisbet | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Cameron | M | 25 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Armstrong | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| T. Olusanya | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Aberdeen?
The final score was ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Aberdeen?
The model assigned 50% probability to a ST Mirren win, 29% to a draw, and 19% to an Aberdeen win.