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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 10 October 24, 2026 16:00 The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley
ST Mirren
#6 · 13 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Dundee
#5 · 14 pts
Calvin Ramsay (ast. Eseosa Sule) 20'
Eseosa Sule (ast. Killian Phillips) 56'
74' Bradley·Fink
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee a 41% win probability (draw 31%, ST Mirren 27%). The final result was ST Mirren 2–1 Dundee. In 4 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Dundee.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
5
Shots on target
4
1.48
Actual xG
1.44
3
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
5
13
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Calvin Ramsay · ast. Eseosa Sule
20'
⚽Eseosa Sule · ast. Killian Phillips
56'
62'
Charlie Reilly / Joseph Bevan ↕
Eseosa Sule
63'
↕ Eseosa Sule / Jake Young
68'
69'
Ryan Finnigan / Callum Jones ↕
Ismeal Kabia
71'
74'
Bradley·Fink⚽
↕ Ismeal Kabia / Chris Mochrie
80'
Luke Thomas
82'
82'
Alfie Harrison / Alan Forrest ↕
84'
Alfie Harrison
Alexander Gogić
90'+3
90'+3
S. Pressley
90'+3
Bradley·Fink
90'+3
Brad Halliday
Pre-match prediction
27.27%
ST ←
31.45%
X
41.28%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren) 27.27% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ST
0.56
1.48
+0.92
Dundee
1.13
1.44
+0.31
xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.44). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
ST Mirren ST Mirren 3-4-3
1 J. Chapman J. Chapman G 6.21
53 Henry Fieldson Henry Fieldson D 6.20
13 A. Gogić A. Gogić D 6.87
22 M. Fraser M. Fraser D 6.49
3 D. John D. John M 6.41
88 K. Phillips K. Phillips 1 👟 M 6.89
8 R. Carr R. Carr M 6.42
47 C. Ramsay C. Ramsay 1 ⚽ M 7.59
19 Ismeal Kabia Ismeal Kabia 80' F 6.72
9 Eseosa Sule Eseosa Sule 1 ⚽ 1 👟 68' F 8.39
16 L. Thomas L. Thomas F 6.46
Bench
37 C. McEvoy C. McEvoy M 0.00
23 C. Mochrie C. Mochrie 10' M 6.31
30 F. Taylor F. Taylor M 0.00
2 J. Richardson J. Richardson D 0.00
20 J. Young J. Young 22' F 5.76
4 L. Donnelly L. Donnelly M 0.00
6 Louis Jackson Louis Jackson D 0.00
10 Samu Samu M 0.00
Dundee Dundee 4-4-2
1 O. Goodman O. Goodman G 6.30
12 I. Samuels I. Samuels D 5.77
5 O. Bevan O. Bevan D 6.94
4 R. Astley R. Astley D 6.60
7 D. Wright D. Wright D 5.85
14 A. Forrest A. Forrest 82' M 6.35
48 E. Hamilton E. Hamilton M 6.68
28 C. Jones C. Jones 69' M 6.41
27 J. Bevan J. Bevan 62' M 6.21
21 B. Fink B. Fink 1 ⚽ F 7.84
11 A. Hay A. Hay F 6.45
Bench
77 Alfie Harrison Alfie Harrison 8' M 5.98
2 B. Halliday B. Halliday D 0.00
18 C. Reilly C. Reilly 28' F 6.41
3 I. Odutayo I. Odutayo D 0.00
26 J. Wright J. Wright D 0.00
13 K. O'Hara K. O'Hara G 0.00
6 M. Akinmboni M. Akinmboni D 0.00
8 R. Finnigan R. Finnigan 21' M 6.12
17 Ž. Bešir Ž. Bešir M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Eseosa Sule
Eseosa Sule
F · ST
8.39
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 7 pass
B. Fink
B. Fink
F · Dundee
7.84
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
C. Ramsay
C. Ramsay
M · ST
7.59
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
O. Bevan
O. Bevan
D · Dundee
6.94
1 shots · 75 pass
K. Phillips
K. Phillips
M · ST
6.89
1 👟
· 47 pass
A. Gogić
A. Gogić
D · ST
6.87
· 42 pass
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Chapman G 90 6.21 — — 0 34 15% 0 — —
Henry Fieldson D 90 6.20 — — 0 49 36% 1 — —
A. Gogić D 90 6.87 — — 0 42 41% 1 1 —
M. Fraser D 90 6.49 — — 0 27 18% 2 — —
D. John M 90 6.41 — — 1 50 40% 2 — —
K. Phillips M 90 6.89 — 1 0 47 35% 1 — —
R. Carr M 90 6.42 — — 0 50 39% 2 — —
C. Ramsay M 90 7.59 1 — 3 25 21% 0 — —
Ismeal Kabia F 80 6.72 — — 2 30 28% 2 1 —
Eseosa Sule F 68 8.39 1 1 1 7 5% 0 1 —
L. Thomas F 90 6.46 — — 0 24 18% 2 1 —
C. Mochrie M 10 6.31 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
J. Young F 22 5.76 — — 2 4 3% 0 — —
Dundee Dundee — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Goodman G 90 6.30 — — 0 47 36% 0 — —
I. Samuels D 90 5.77 — — 0 55 45% 0 — —
O. Bevan D 90 6.94 — — 1 75 68% 4 — —
R. Astley D 90 6.60 — — 0 75 58% 1 — —
D. Wright D 90 5.85 — — 0 46 31% 1 — —
A. Forrest M 82 6.35 — — 2 27 21% 0 — —
E. Hamilton M 90 6.68 — — 3 53 47% 1 — —
C. Jones M 69 6.41 — — 1 40 31% 1 — —
J. Bevan M 62 6.21 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
B. Fink F 90 7.84 1 — 3 15 11% 0 1 —
A. Hay F 90 6.45 — — 4 14 7% 0 — —
Alfie Harrison M 8 5.98 — — 2 8 6% 1 1 —
C. Reilly F 28 6.41 — — 1 12 8% 0 — —
R. Finnigan M 21 6.12 — — 0 16 15% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Dundee?
The final score was ST Mirren 2–1 Dundee.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Dundee?
The model assigned 27% probability to a ST Mirren win, 31% to a draw, and 41% to an Dundee win.