J. Young
(ast. R. King)
69'
27'
(ast. M. Watters)
Z. Sapsford
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Dundee Utd 36%). The final result was ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd. In 4 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Dundee Utd.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
3
0.44
Actual xG
0.36
2
Saves
6
48%
Possession
52%
10
Corners
2
9
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
20'
S. Cleall-Harding
27'
ast. M. Watters ·
Z. Sapsford⚽
M. Freckleton
/ T. Falconer
46'
M. O'Hara
/ J. Devaney
46'
59'
J. Eskesen
/
S. Cleall-Harding
59'
J. Russell
/
M. Watters
60'
R. Strain
M. Fraser
/ R. King
66'
S. Tanser
/ J. Calvin
66'
66'
S. Constable
/
R. Strain
⚽J. Young
· ast. R. King
69'
74'
B. Esselink
/
C. Sibbald
74'
O. Stirton
/
Z. Sapsford
L. Douglas
/ C. McMillan
85'
Pre-match prediction
39.7%
ST
24.28%
X ←
36.02%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.44
-1.0
1.38
0.36
-1.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
27
R. Sinclair
89'
G
R. Sinclair
89'
G
21
M. Freckleton
45'
D
M. Freckleton
45'
D
13
A. Gogić
89'
D
A. Gogić
89'
D
22
M. Fraser
66'
D
M. Fraser
66'
D
3
S. Tanser
66'
M
S. Tanser
66'
M
7
Roland Idowu
89'
M
Roland Idowu
89'
M
16
Allan Campbell
89'
M
6
M. O'Hara
45'
M
M. O'Hara
45'
M
2
J. Richardson
89'
M
J. Richardson
89'
M
20
J. Young
1 ⚽
89'
F
J. Young
1 ⚽
89'
F
32
L. Douglas
85'
F
L. Douglas
85'
F
Bench
40
Caiden McMillan
4'
F
Caiden McMillan
4'
F
35
Grant Tamosevicius
G
17
Jalmaro Calvin
23'
F
8
J. Devaney
44'
M
J. Devaney
44'
M
88
K. Phillips
M
K. Phillips
M
4
L. Donnelly
M
L. Donnelly
M
9
M. Mandron
F
5
R. King
1 👟
23'
D
R. King
1 👟
23'
D
38
Thomas Falconer
44'
D
Thomas Falconer
44'
D
25
Dave Richards
89'
G
Dave Richards
89'
G
23
K. Keresztes
89'
D
K. Keresztes
89'
D
6
R. Graham
89'
D
R. Graham
89'
D
37
Sam Cleall-Harding
59'
D
Sam Cleall-Harding
59'
D
43
Kier Gilligan
89'
M
Kier Gilligan
89'
M
8
Panutche Camará
89'
M
Panutche Camará
89'
M
14
C. Sibbald
74'
M
C. Sibbald
74'
M
5
V. Ševelj
89'
M
V. Ševelj
89'
M
2
R. Strain
66'
M
R. Strain
66'
M
9
Z. Sapsford
1 ⚽
74'
F
Z. Sapsford
1 ⚽
74'
F
36
M. Watters
1 👟
59'
F
Bench
3
B. Esselink
15'
D
B. Esselink
15'
D
22
D. Naamo
D
D. Naamo
D
10
J. Eskesen
30'
M
J. Eskesen
30'
M
77
Johnny Russell
30'
F
Johnny Russell
30'
F
40
Matthew Mudie
D
Matthew Mudie
D
34
O. Stirton
15'
D
31
R. Adams
G
R. Adams
G
39
S. Constable
23'
M
Best on the pitch
V. Ševelj
M · Dundee
7.30
1 shots
· 55 pass
Z. Sapsford
F · Dundee
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
R. Strain
M · Dundee
7.20
· 33 pass
J. Young
F · ST
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
R. Graham
D · Dundee
7.20
· 69 pass
R. Sinclair
G · ST
7.00
· 28 pass
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sinclair | G | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Freckleton | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fraser | D | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tanser | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Roland Idowu | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Allan Campbell | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| M. O'Hara | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Richardson | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Young | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Douglas | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Caiden McMillan | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jalmaro Calvin | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 44 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. King | D | 23 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Falconer | D | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Dundee Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Richards | G | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. Keresztes | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 39% | — | — | — |
| R. Graham | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Cleall-Harding | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kier Gilligan | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Sibbald | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Ševelj | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Strain | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Z. Sapsford | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Watters | F | 59 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Esselink | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Eskesen | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Russell | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| O. Stirton | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Constable | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
The final score was ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
The model assigned 39% probability to a ST Mirren win, 24% to a draw, and 36% to an Dundee Utd win.