J. Young
(ast. R. King)
69'
27'
(ast. M. Watters)
Z. Sapsford
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Dundee Utd 36%). The final result was ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd. In 3 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Dundee Utd.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
3
0.44
Actual xG
0.36
2
Saves
6
48%
Possession
52%
10
Corners
2
9
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
20'
S. Cleall-Harding
27'
ast. M. Watters ·
Z. Sapsford⚽
M. Freckleton
/ T. Falconer
46'
M. O'Hara
/ J. Devaney
46'
59'
J. Eskesen
/
S. Cleall-Harding
59'
J. Russell
/
M. Watters
60'
R. Strain
M. Fraser
/ R. King
66'
S. Tanser
/ J. Calvin
66'
66'
S. Constable
/
R. Strain
⚽J. Young
· ast. R. King
69'
74'
B. Esselink
/
C. Sibbald
74'
O. Stirton
/
Z. Sapsford
L. Douglas
/ C. McMillan
85'
Pre-match prediction
39.7%
ST
24.28%
X ←
36.02%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.44
-1.0
1.38
0.36
-1.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
27
Ross Sinclair
89'
G
21
Miguel Freckleton
45'
D
13
A. Gogić
89'
D
A. Gogić
89'
D
22
Marcus Fraser
66'
D
3
Scott Tanser
66'
M
7
Roland Idowu
89'
M
16
Allan Campbell
89'
M
6
Mark O'Hara
45'
M
2
Jayden Richardson
89'
M
20
Jake Young
1 ⚽
89'
F
32
Luke Douglas
85'
F
Bench
40
Caiden McMillan
4'
F
Caiden McMillan
4'
F
35
Grant Tamosevicius
G
8
Jacob Devaney
44'
M
17
Jalmaro Calvin
23'
F
88
K. Phillips
M
K. Phillips
M
4
Liam Donnelly
M
Liam Donnelly
M
9
M. Mandron
F
M. Mandron
F
5
R. King
1 👟
23'
D
R. King
1 👟
23'
D
38
Thomas Falconer
44'
D
Thomas Falconer
44'
D
25
Dave Richards
89'
G
Dave Richards
89'
G
23
Krisztián Keresztes
89'
D
Krisztián Keresztes
89'
D
6
Ross Graham
89'
D
Ross Graham
89'
D
37
Sam Cleall-Harding
59'
D
Sam Cleall-Harding
59'
D
43
Kier Gilligan
89'
M
Kier Gilligan
89'
M
8
Panutche Camará
89'
M
Panutche Camará
89'
M
14
Craig Sibbald
74'
M
Craig Sibbald
74'
M
5
V. Ševelj
89'
M
V. Ševelj
89'
M
2
Ryan Strain
66'
M
Ryan Strain
66'
M
9
Z. Sapsford
1 ⚽
74'
F
Z. Sapsford
1 ⚽
74'
F
36
Max Watters
1 👟
59'
F
Max Watters
1 👟
59'
F
Bench
3
Bert Esselink
15'
D
Bert Esselink
15'
D
22
Dario Naamo
D
Dario Naamo
D
77
Johnny Russell
30'
F
Johnny Russell
30'
F
10
Julius Eskesen
30'
M
Julius Eskesen
30'
M
40
Matthew Mudie
D
Matthew Mudie
D
34
Owen Stirton
15'
D
Owen Stirton
15'
D
31
R. Adams
G
R. Adams
G
39
Scott Constable
23'
M
Scott Constable
23'
M
Best on the pitch
V. Ševelj
M · Dundee
7.30
1 shots
· 55 pass
Z. Sapsford
F · Dundee
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Ryan Strain
M · Dundee
7.20
· 33 pass
Jake Young
F · ST
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Ross Graham
D · Dundee
7.20
· 69 pass
Ross Sinclair
G · ST
7.00
· 28 pass
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Sinclair | G | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Freckleton | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Fraser | D | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Scott Tanser | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Roland Idowu | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Allan Campbell | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Mark O'Hara | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jayden Richardson | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jake Young | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luke Douglas | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Caiden McMillan | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Devaney | M | 44 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jalmaro Calvin | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. King | D | 23 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Falconer | D | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Dundee Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Richards | G | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Krisztián Keresztes | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Ross Graham | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Cleall-Harding | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kier Gilligan | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Craig Sibbald | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Ševelj | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Ryan Strain | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Z. Sapsford | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Max Watters | F | 59 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Bert Esselink | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Johnny Russell | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Julius Eskesen | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Owen Stirton | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Scott Constable | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
The final score was ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
The model assigned 39% probability to a ST Mirren win, 24% to a draw, and 36% to an Dundee Utd win.