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ST Mirren - Hibernian

Scottish Premiership October 28, 2026 20:45 The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley
ST Mirren
#6 · 13 pts
vs
Hibernian
#12 · 7 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 11.6°C 💨 11 km/h · Paisley
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.7%
Win
ST Mirren
33.93%
Draw
35.37%
Win
Hibernian
0.67
Expected xG
0.74

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.12%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 34%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 69%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hibernian a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for ST Mirren. Expected goals are 0.7 for ST Mirren and 0.7 for Hibernian (total 1.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.12% probability. In 3 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Hibernian.

Season Stats

ST Mirren
6W 3D 6L
Hibernian
4W 1D 10L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded
1.5
4.2
Shots OT
3.4
4.1
Corners
5.1
51%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
73%
40%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
ST Mirren
4W 2D 4L · at home
Hibernian
5W 2D 3L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.3
40%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
70%
10%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ ST Mirren Hibernian →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 24.4% 18.1% 6.7% 1.7% 0.3% —
1 16.3% 12.1% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 5.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

ST Mirren ST Mirren
W Dundee 2–1
L Aberdeen 3–1
L Heart Of Midlothian 5–0
L Dundee Utd 0–3
L Rangers 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Hibernian Hibernian
L Celtic 1–2
L Falkirk 1–2
L Dundee Utd 1–0
D Aberdeen 1–1
L Kilmarnock 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

ST Mirren ST Mirren
Attack
31
Defence
41
Form
37
Hibernian Hibernian
Attack
33
Defence
57
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
ST Mirren
1
Draw
2
Hibernian
14 Feb 2026 Scottish Premiership 0–2
8 Nov 2025 Scottish Premiership 0–3
31 Aug 2025 Scottish Premiership 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
The model gives ST Mirren a 30% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 35% for an Hibernian win.
How many goals are expected in ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
Expected goals: ST Mirren 0.7, Hibernian 0.7 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.12%.