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#8 · 14 pts
0 – 3
Final score
#12 · 9 pts
(og) 9' M. Freckleton
46' (ast. G. Kiltie) F. Curtis
68' (ast. T. Lowery) F. Curtis
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Kilmarnock 28%). The final result was ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock. In 4 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Kilmarnock.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
1
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
(og) M. Freckleton⚽
↕ C. McMenamin / S. Tanser
14'
L. Donnelly
15'
R. Idowu
26'
↕ A. Campbell / J. Richardson
46'
↕ M. O'Hara / J. Young
46'
46'
D. Watson / N. Clescenco ↕
46'
ast. G. Kiltie · F. Curtis⚽
52'
J. Hugill
K. Phillips
54'
54'
L. Mayo / M. Schjonning-Larsen ↕
68'
ast. T. Lowery · F. Curtis⚽
↕ S. Tanser / R. King
69'
↕ R. Idowu / L. Douglas
74'
79'
B. Anderson / J. Hugill ↕
79'
R. McKenzie / G. Kiltie ↕
87'
K. Magennis / F. Curtis ↕
Pre-match prediction
42.24%
ST
28.86%
X
28.9%
Kilmarnock ←
we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock) 28.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ST
1.12
0.82
-0.3
Kilmarnock
0.90
1.08
+0.18
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 13 31
2 Rangers Rangers 12 27
3 Falkirk Falkirk 13 21
4 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 12 20
5 Dundee Dundee 12 17
6 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 12 17
7 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 13 17
8 ST Mirren ST Mirren 13 14
9 Motherwell Motherwell 13 13
10 Hibernian Hibernian 12 11
11 Aberdeen Aberdeen 12 11
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 13 9
Lineups
ST Mirren ST Mirren 3-4-3
27
87' G 6.60
21 M. Freckleton M. Freckleton 1 ⚽ 87' D 6.90
4 L. Donnelly L. Donnelly 87' D 6.30
22
87' D 6.60
10
C. McMenamin 14' M 6.50
16
Allan Campbell 45' M 6.60
8 J. Devaney J. Devaney 87' M 6.30
6
45' M 6.30
88 K. Phillips K. Phillips 87' F 6.70
9
M. Mandron 87' F 6.50
7 Roland Idowu Roland Idowu 74' F 6.50
Bench
5 R. King R. King 18' D 6.60
3 S. Tanser S. Tanser 55' D 6.30
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-3-3
1
87' G 7.00
3
87' D 6.60
6 R. Deas R. Deas 87' D 7.70
14 G. Stanger G. Stanger 87' D 7.30
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen M. Schjønning-Larsen 54' D 6.90
18 T. Lowery T. Lowery 1 👟 87' M 7.20
36 A. Tshibola A. Tshibola 87' M 7.20
11 G. Kiltie G. Kiltie 1 👟 79' M 6.50
20 N. Cleșcenco N. Cleșcenco 45' F 6.70
44 J. Hugill J. Hugill 79' F 6.30
52 Findlay Curtis Findlay Curtis 2 ⚽ 87' F 8.90
Bench
19
B. Anderson 8' F 6.60
16 Kyle Magennis Kyle Magennis M
31
L. Polworth M
Best on the pitch
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis
F · Kilmarnock
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
R. Deas
R. Deas
D · Kilmarnock
7.70
· 33 pass
G. Stanger
G. Stanger
D · Kilmarnock
7.30
· 39 pass
A. Tshibola
A. Tshibola
M · Kilmarnock
7.20
2 shots · 58 pass
T. Lowery
T. Lowery
M · Kilmarnock
7.20
1 👟
· 46 pass
G · Kilmarnock
7.00
· 23 pass
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 87 6.60 — — — 22 21% — — —
M. Freckleton D 87 6.90 1 — — 90 78% 1 — —
L. Donnelly D 87 6.30 — — — 77 66% 3 1 —
D 87 6.60 — — — 88 75% 2 — —
C. McMenamin M 14 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Allan Campbell M 45 6.60 — — — 21 19% 4 — —
J. Devaney M 87 6.30 — — — 70 60% — — —
M 45 6.30 — — 1 18 14% 3 — —
K. Phillips F 87 6.70 — — 2 40 35% — 1 —
M. Mandron F 87 6.50 — — 1 22 20% — — —
Roland Idowu F 74 6.50 — — — 38 28% — 1 —
R. King D 18 6.60 — — — 22 20% — — —
S. Tanser D 55 6.30 — — — 35 29% — — —
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 87 7.00 — — — 23 15% — — —
D 87 6.60 — — — 54 44% 1 — —
R. Deas D 87 7.70 — — — 33 28% 1 — —
G. Stanger D 87 7.30 — — — 39 28% 1 — —
M. Schjønning-Larsen D 54 6.90 — — — 33 27% — — —
T. Lowery M 87 7.20 — 1 — 46 40% 2 — —
A. Tshibola M 87 7.20 — — 2 58 53% 2 — —
G. Kiltie M 79 6.50 — 1 — 15 13% 1 — —
N. Cleșcenco F 45 6.70 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
J. Hugill F 79 6.30 — — — 11 7% — 1 —
Findlay Curtis F 87 8.90 2 — 3 24 16% 1 — —
B. Anderson F 8 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
The final score was ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
The model assigned 42% probability to a ST Mirren win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Kilmarnock win.