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#7 · 0 pts
0 – 3
Final score
#5 · 0 pts
(og) 9' M. Freckleton
46' (ast. G. Kiltie) F. Curtis
68' (ast. T. Lowery) F. Curtis
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Kilmarnock 28%). The final result was ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock. In 3 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Kilmarnock.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
1
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
(og) M. Freckleton
C. McMenamin / S. Tanser
14'
L. Donnelly
15'
R. Idowu
26'
A. Campbell / J. Richardson
46'
M. O'Hara / J. Young
46'
46'
D. Watson / N. Clescenco
46'
ast. G. Kiltie · F. Curtis
52'
J. Hugill
K. Phillips
54'
54'
L. Mayo / M. Schjonning-Larsen
68'
ast. T. Lowery · F. Curtis
S. Tanser / R. King
69'
R. Idowu / L. Douglas
74'
79'
B. Anderson / J. Hugill
79'
R. McKenzie / G. Kiltie
87'
K. Magennis / F. Curtis
Pre-match prediction
42.24%
ST
28.86%
X
28.9%
Kilmarnock ←
we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock) 28.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ST
1.12
0.82
-0.3
Kilmarnock
0.90
1.08
+0.18
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 0 0
2 Falkirk Falkirk 0 0
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 0 0
4 Hibernian Hibernian 0 0
5 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0 0
6 Motherwell Motherwell 0 0
7 ST Mirren ST Mirren 0 0
8 Dundee Dundee 0 0
9 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 0 0
10 Celtic Celtic 0 0
11 Rangers Rangers 0 0
12 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0 0
Lineups
ST Mirren ST Mirren 3-4-3
27
87' G 6.60
21
Miguel Freckleton 1 ⚽ 87' D 6.90
4 Liam Donnelly Liam Donnelly 87' D 6.30
22
87' D 6.60
10
Conor McMenamin 14' M 6.50
16
Allan Campbell 45' M 6.60
8
Jacob Devaney 87' M 6.30
6
45' M 6.30
88 K. Phillips K. Phillips 87' F 6.70
9 M. Mandron M. Mandron 87' F 6.50
7
Roland Idowu 74' F 6.50
Bench
5 R. King R. King 18' D 6.60
3
Scott Tanser 55' D 6.30
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-3-3
1
87' G 7.00
3
87' D 6.60
6 R. Deas R. Deas 87' D 7.70
14 George Stanger George Stanger 87' D 7.30
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen Michael Schjønning-Larsen 54' D 6.90
18 Tom Lowery Tom Lowery 1 👟 87' M 7.20
36 Aaron Tshibola Aaron Tshibola 87' M 7.20
11 G. Kiltie G. Kiltie 1 👟 79' M 6.50
20
Nicky Cleșcenco 45' F 6.70
44 J. Hugill J. Hugill 79' F 6.30
52 Findlay Curtis Findlay Curtis 2 ⚽ 87' F 8.90
Bench
19 Bruce Anderson Bruce Anderson 8' F 6.60
16 Kyle Magennis Kyle Magennis M
31 Liam Polworth Liam Polworth M
Best on the pitch
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis
F · Kilmarnock
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
R. Deas
R. Deas
D · Kilmarnock
7.70
· 33 pass
George Stanger
George Stanger
D · Kilmarnock
7.30
· 39 pass
Aaron Tshibola
Aaron Tshibola
M · Kilmarnock
7.20
2 shots · 58 pass
Tom Lowery
Tom Lowery
M · Kilmarnock
7.20
1 👟
· 46 pass
G · Kilmarnock
7.00
· 23 pass
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 87 6.60 22 21%
Miguel Freckleton D 87 6.90 1 90 78% 1
Liam Donnelly D 87 6.30 77 66% 3 1
D 87 6.60 88 75% 2
Conor McMenamin M 14 6.50 5 5%
Allan Campbell M 45 6.60 21 19% 4
Jacob Devaney M 87 6.30 70 60%
M 45 6.30 1 18 14% 3
K. Phillips F 87 6.70 2 40 35% 1
M. Mandron F 87 6.50 1 22 20%
Roland Idowu F 74 6.50 38 28% 1
R. King D 18 6.60 22 20%
Scott Tanser D 55 6.30 35 29%
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 87 7.00 23 15%
D 87 6.60 54 44% 1
R. Deas D 87 7.70 33 28% 1
George Stanger D 87 7.30 39 28% 1
Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 54 6.90 33 27%
Tom Lowery M 87 7.20 1 46 40% 2
Aaron Tshibola M 87 7.20 2 58 53% 2
G. Kiltie M 79 6.50 1 15 13% 1
Nicky Cleșcenco F 45 6.70 18 15% 2
J. Hugill F 79 6.30 11 7% 1
Findlay Curtis F 87 8.90 2 3 24 16% 1
Bruce Anderson F 8 6.60 4 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
The final score was ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
The model assigned 42% probability to a ST Mirren win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Kilmarnock win.