Scottish Premiership · Relegation Group - 36 May 09, 2026 16:00 The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

ST Mirren

#5 · 10 pts

0 – 3

Final score

Kilmarnock

#12 · 5 pts

(og) 9' M. Freckleton

46' (ast. G. Kiltie) F. Curtis

68' (ast. T. Lowery) F. Curtis

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Kilmarnock 28%). The final result was ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock. In 4 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Kilmarnock.

Match statistics

4

Total shots

5

2

Shots on target

4

0.82

Actual xG

1.08

2

Saves

2

60%

Possession

40%

1

Corners

3

13

Tackles

11

3

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

9'

(og) M. Freckleton⚽

↕ C. McMenamin / S. Tanser

14'

L. Donnelly

15'

R. Idowu

26'

↕ A. Campbell / J. Richardson

46'

↕ M. O'Hara / J. Young

46'

46'

D. Watson / N. Clescenco ↕

46'

ast. G. Kiltie · F. Curtis⚽

52'

J. Hugill

K. Phillips

54'

54'

L. Mayo / M. Schjonning-Larsen ↕

68'

ast. T. Lowery · F. Curtis⚽

↕ S. Tanser / R. King

69'

↕ R. Idowu / L. Douglas

74'

79'

B. Anderson / J. Hugill ↕

79'

R. McKenzie / G. Kiltie ↕

87'

K. Magennis / F. Curtis ↕

Pre-match prediction

42.24%

ST

28.86%

X

28.9%

Kilmarnock ←

we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock) 28.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

ST

1.12

0.82

-0.3

Kilmarnock

0.90

1.08

+0.18

xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Celtic	7	18
2	Rangers	7	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	13
4	Dundee	7	10
5	ST Mirren	7	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	8
7	Aberdeen	7	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	8
9	Motherwell	7	8
10	Hibernian	7	7
11	Falkirk	7	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	5

Lineups

ST Mirren 3-4-3

27

87' G 6.60

21 M. Freckleton 1 ⚽ 87' D 6.90

4 Liam Donnelly 87' D 6.30

22

87' D 6.60

10

C. McMenamin 14' M 6.50

16

Allan Campbell 45' M 6.60

8 J. Devaney 87' M 6.30

6

45' M 6.30

88 K. Phillips 87' F 6.70

9 M. Mandron 87' F 6.50

7 R. Idowu 74' F 6.50

Bench

5 R. King 18' D 6.60

3 S. Tanser 55' D 6.30

Kilmarnock 4-3-3

1

87' G 7.00

3

87' D 6.60

6 R. Deas 87' D 7.70

14 George Stanger 87' D 7.30

21 M. Schjønning-Larsen 54' D 6.90

18 T. Lowery 1 👟 87' M 7.20

36

A. Tshibola 87' M 7.20

11 G. Kiltie 1 👟 79' M 6.50

20 N. Cleșcenco 45' F 6.70

44 J. Hugill 79' F 6.30

52 Findlay Curtis 2 ⚽ 87' F 8.90

Bench

19

B. Anderson 8' F 6.60

16 Kyle Magennis M

31

L. Polworth M

Best on the pitch

Findlay Curtis

F · Kilmarnock

8.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 24 pass

R. Deas

D · Kilmarnock

7.70

· 33 pass

George Stanger

D · Kilmarnock

7.30

· 39 pass

A. Tshibola

M · Kilmarnock

7.20

2 shots · 58 pass

T. Lowery

M · Kilmarnock

7.20

1 👟

· 46 pass

G · Kilmarnock

7.00

· 23 pass

ST Mirren — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	87	6.60	—	—	—	22	21%	—	—	—
M. Freckleton	D	87	6.90	1	—	—	90	78%	1	—	—
Liam Donnelly	D	87	6.30	—	—	—	77	66%	3	1	—
	D	87	6.60	—	—	—	88	75%	2	—	—
C. McMenamin	M	14	6.50	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Allan Campbell	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	21	19%	4	—	—
J. Devaney	M	87	6.30	—	—	—	70	60%	—	—	—
	M	45	6.30	—	—	1	18	14%	3	—	—
K. Phillips	F	87	6.70	—	—	2	40	35%	—	1	—
M. Mandron	F	87	6.50	—	—	1	22	20%	—	—	—
R. Idowu	F	74	6.50	—	—	—	38	28%	—	1	—
R. King	D	18	6.60	—	—	—	22	20%	—	—	—
S. Tanser	D	55	6.30	—	—	—	35	29%	—	—	—

Kilmarnock — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	87	7.00	—	—	—	23	15%	—	—	—
	D	87	6.60	—	—	—	54	44%	1	—	—
R. Deas	D	87	7.70	—	—	—	33	28%	1	—	—
George Stanger	D	87	7.30	—	—	—	39	28%	1	—	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen	D	54	6.90	—	—	—	33	27%	—	—	—
T. Lowery	M	87	7.20	—	1	—	46	40%	2	—	—
A. Tshibola	M	87	7.20	—	—	2	58	53%	2	—	—
G. Kiltie	M	79	6.50	—	1	—	15	13%	1	—	—
N. Cleșcenco	F	45	6.70	—	—	—	18	15%	2	—	—
J. Hugill	F	79	6.30	—	—	—	11	7%	—	1	—
Findlay Curtis	F	87	8.90	2	—	3	24	16%	1	—	—
B. Anderson	F	8	6.60	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—