← Scottish Premiership
#5 · 33 pts
0 – 3
Final score
#4 · 37 pts
(og) 9' M. Freckleton
46' (ast. G. Kiltie) F. Curtis
68' (ast. T. Lowery) F. Curtis

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Kilmarnock 28%). The final result was ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock. In 3 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Kilmarnock.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
1
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
(og) M. Freckleton
C. McMenamin / S. Tanser
14'
L. Donnelly
15'
R. Idowu
26'
A. Campbell / J. Richardson
46'
M. O'Hara / J. Young
46'
46'
D. Watson / N. Clescenco
46'
ast. G. Kiltie · F. Curtis
52'
J. Hugill
K. Phillips
54'
54'
L. Mayo / M. Schjonning-Larsen
68'
ast. T. Lowery · F. Curtis
S. Tanser / R. King
69'
R. Idowu / L. Douglas
74'
79'
B. Anderson / J. Hugill
79'
R. McKenzie / G. Kiltie
87'
K. Magennis / F. Curtis
Pre-match prediction
42.24%
ST
28.86%
X
28.9%
Kilmarnock ←
we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock) 28.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ST
1.12
0.82
-0.3
Kilmarnock
0.90
1.08
+0.18
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
ST Mirren ST Mirren 3-4-3
27
87' G 6.60
21 Miguel Freckleton Miguel Freckleton 1 ⚽ 87' D 6.90
4 Liam Donnelly Liam Donnelly 87' D 6.30
22
87' D 6.60
10
C. McMenamin 14' M 6.50
16 Allan Campbell Allan Campbell 45' M 6.60
8 Jacob Devaney Jacob Devaney 87' M 6.30
6
45' M 6.30
88 Killian Phillips Killian Phillips 87' F 6.70
9 Mikael Mandron Mikael Mandron 87' F 6.50
7 Roland Idowu Roland Idowu 74' F 6.50
Bench
5 Richard King Richard King 18' D 6.60
3 Scott Tanser Scott Tanser 55' D 6.30
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-3-3
1
87' G 7.00
3
87' D 6.60
6 Robbie Deas Robbie Deas 87' D 7.70
14 George Stanger George Stanger 87' D 7.30
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen Michael Schjønning-Larsen 54' D 6.90
18 Tom Lowery Tom Lowery 1 👟 87' M 7.20
36 Aaron Tshibola Aaron Tshibola 87' M 7.20
11 Greg Kiltie Greg Kiltie 1 👟 79' M 6.50
20 Nicky Cleșcenco Nicky Cleșcenco 45' F 6.70
44 Joe Hugill Joe Hugill 79' F 6.30
52 Findlay Curtis Findlay Curtis 2 ⚽ 87' F 8.90
Bench
19 Bruce Anderson Bruce Anderson 8' F 6.60
16 Kyle Magennis Kyle Magennis M
31 Liam Polworth Liam Polworth M
Best on the pitch
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis
F · Kilmarnock
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
Robbie Deas
Robbie Deas
D · Kilmarnock
7.70
· 33 pass
George Stanger
George Stanger
D · Kilmarnock
7.30
· 39 pass
Aaron Tshibola
Aaron Tshibola
M · Kilmarnock
7.20
2 shots · 58 pass
Tom Lowery
Tom Lowery
M · Kilmarnock
7.20
1 👟
· 46 pass
G · Kilmarnock
7.00
· 23 pass
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 87 6.60 22 21%
Miguel Freckleton D 87 6.90 1 90 78% 1
Liam Donnelly D 87 6.30 77 66% 3 1
D 87 6.60 88 75% 2
C. McMenamin M 14 6.50 5 5%
Allan Campbell M 45 6.60 21 19% 4
Jacob Devaney M 87 6.30 70 60%
M 45 6.30 1 18 14% 3
Killian Phillips F 87 6.70 2 40 35% 1
Mikael Mandron F 87 6.50 1 22 20%
Roland Idowu F 74 6.50 38 28% 1
Richard King D 18 6.60 22 20%
Scott Tanser D 55 6.30 35 29%
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 87 7.00 23 15%
D 87 6.60 54 44% 1
Robbie Deas D 87 7.70 33 28% 1
George Stanger D 87 7.30 39 28% 1
Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 54 6.90 33 27%
Tom Lowery M 87 7.20 1 46 40% 2
Aaron Tshibola M 87 7.20 2 58 53% 2
Greg Kiltie M 79 6.50 1 15 13% 1
Nicky Cleșcenco F 45 6.70 18 15% 2
Joe Hugill F 79 6.30 11 7% 1
Findlay Curtis F 87 8.90 2 3 24 16% 1
Bruce Anderson F 8 6.60 4 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
The final score was ST Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
The model assigned 42% probability to a ST Mirren win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Kilmarnock win.