P. Nsio
(ast. S. Ramos)
39'
D. John
(ast. S. Ramos)
44'
S. Ramos
(ast. A. Gogic)
45'+4
2'
(ast. A. Lowry)
T. Maswanhise
24'
R. Charles-Cook
90'+3
J. Kanga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Motherwell 32%). The final result was ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell. In 3 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Motherwell.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
14
9
Shots on target
6
2.27
Actual xG
2.12
4
Saves
6
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
6
19
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
ast. A. Lowry ·
T. Maswanhise⚽
15'
(missed pen.)
T. Maswanhise⚽
24'
R. Charles-Cook⚽
⚽P. Nsio
· ast. S. Ramos
39'
⚽D. John
· ast. S. Ramos
44'
⚽S. Ramos
· ast. A. Gogic
45'+4
46'
S. O'Donnell
/
T. Sparrow
47'
S. O'Donnell
52'
M. Moormann
58'
S. Palmer-Houlden
/
R. Charles-Cook
58'
J. Kanga
/
T. Maswanhise
N. Agrafiotis
/ E. Sule
61'
C. Ramsay
/ J. Richardson
61'
C. R. Mochrie
/ F. Taylor
61'
71'
D. Williams
/
J. Hodge
S. Ramos
/ L. Thomas
71'
73'
E. Bjorgolfsson
/
I. Said
I. Kabia
/ J. Young
75'
R. Carr
85'
J. Young
89'
90'+3
J. Kanga⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.95%
ST
32.23%
X ←
32.82%
Motherwell
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
2.27
+1.01
0.95
2.12
+1.17
xG dominance was balanced (2.27 – 2.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Chapman
G
J. Chapman
G
3
D. John
1 ⚽
D
D. John
1 ⚽
D
53
Henry Fieldson
D
Henry Fieldson
D
13
A. Gogić
1 👟
D
A. Gogić
1 👟
D
47
C. Ramsay
61'
D
C. Ramsay
61'
D
48
P. Nsio
1 ⚽
M
P. Nsio
1 ⚽
M
8
R. Carr
M
R. Carr
M
19
Ismeal Kabia
75'
M
Ismeal Kabia
75'
M
23
C. Mochrie
61'
M
C. Mochrie
61'
M
10
Samuel Ramos
1 ⚽
2 👟
71'
M
Samuel Ramos
1 ⚽
2 👟
71'
M
25
N. Agrafiotis
61'
F
N. Agrafiotis
61'
F
Bench
37
C. McEvoy
M
C. McEvoy
M
9
Eseosa Sule
32'
F
Eseosa Sule
32'
F
30
F. Taylor
32'
M
F. Taylor
32'
M
2
J. Richardson
32'
D
J. Richardson
32'
D
20
J. Young
18'
F
J. Young
18'
F
6
Louis Jackson
D
Louis Jackson
D
16
L. Thomas
22'
M
L. Thomas
22'
M
5
R. King
D
R. King
D
31
R. Mullen
G
R. Mullen
G
1
Alex Paulsen
G
45
M. Emmanuel
D
M. Emmanuel
D
5
M. Moormann
D
M. Moormann
D
4
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
7
T. Sparrow
45'
D
T. Sparrow
45'
D
8
L. Fadinger
M
L. Fadinger
M
71
J. Hodge
71'
M
J. Hodge
71'
M
19
I. Said
73'
M
I. Said
73'
M
11
A. Lowry
1 👟
M
A. Lowry
1 👟
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
1 ⚽
58'
M
17
R. Charles-Cook
1 ⚽
58'
F
R. Charles-Cook
1 ⚽
58'
F
Bench
20
Dylan Williams
22'
D
Dylan Williams
22'
D
15
E. Björgólfsson
20'
F
E. Björgólfsson
20'
F
13
J. Kanga
1 ⚽
35'
M
J. Kanga
1 ⚽
35'
M
24
Luca Ross
M
Luca Ross
M
21
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
25
Olly Whyte
M
Olly Whyte
M
2
S. O'Donnell
48'
D
S. O'Donnell
48'
D
47
S. Palmer-Houlden
35'
F
S. Palmer-Houlden
35'
F
77
Willy Vogt
F
Willy Vogt
F
Best on the pitch
Samuel Ramos
M · ST
8.70
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Alex Paulsen
G · Motherwell
7.60
· 43 pass
R. Charles-Cook
F · Motherwell
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
R. Carr
M · ST
7.50
· 51 pass
S. O'Donnell
D · Motherwell
7.50
· 24 pass
J. Young
F · ST
7.30
1 shots
· 5 pass
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chapman | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D. John | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 50% | — | — | — |
| C. Ramsay | D | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Nsio | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Carr | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Ismeal Kabia | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Mochrie | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Samuel Ramos | M | 71 | 8.70 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Agrafiotis | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Taylor | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Richardson | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Young | F | 18 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Thomas | M | 22 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Paulsen | G | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moormann | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 67% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 81 | 79% | — | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Hodge | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Lowry | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 4 | 47 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 58 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 58 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Williams | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Björgólfsson | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Kanga | M | 35 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 48 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | F | 35 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
The final score was ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 34% probability to a ST Mirren win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Motherwell win.