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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 2 August 08, 2026 16:00 The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
ST Mirren
#5 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
ST Johnstone
#6 · 8 pts
K. Phillips 73' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Johnstone a 36% win probability (draw 31%, ST Mirren 32%). The final result was ST Mirren 1–0 ST Johnstone.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.34
Actual xG
1.29
2
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
M. Fraser
6'
R. Carr
29'
49'
(missed pen.) J. Gullan⚽
↕ M. Fraser / L. Donnelly
51'
63'
J. Gullan
↕ E. Sule / J. Young
64'
↕ C. R. Mochrie / L. Thomas
64'
64'
L. Chalmers / J. Fowler ↕
⚽K. Phillips (pen.)
73'
↕ S. Ramos / R. Idowu
76'
79'
K. Fotheringham / J. Holt ↕
84'
L. Lloyd / L. Smith ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.46%
ST ←
31.32%
X
36.22%
ST
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren) 32.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ST
1.09
1.34
+0.25
ST
4.42
1.29
-3.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 7 18
2 Rangers Rangers 7 16
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 7 13
4 Dundee Dundee 7 10
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 7 10
6 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 7 8
7 Aberdeen Aberdeen 7 8
8 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 7 8
9 Motherwell Motherwell 7 8
10 Hibernian Hibernian 7 7
11 Falkirk Falkirk 7 6
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 7 5
Lineups
ST Mirren ST Mirren 4-2-3-1
1 J. Chapman J. Chapman G 7.70
3 D. John D. John D 6.90
13 A. Gogić A. Gogić D 7.00
22 M. Fraser M. Fraser 51' D 6.70
2 J. Richardson J. Richardson D 6.70
48 P. Nsio P. Nsio M 7.20
8 R. Carr R. Carr M 6.90
23 C. Mochrie C. Mochrie 64' M 6.60
88 K. Phillips K. Phillips 1 ⚽ M 7.20
10 Samuel Ramos Samuel Ramos 76' M 7.30
9 Eseosa Sule Eseosa Sule 64' F 6.30
Bench
30 F. Taylor F. Taylor M
53 Henry Fieldson Henry Fieldson D
20 J. Young J. Young 31' F 6.30
4 Liam Donnelly Liam Donnelly 44' M 6.90
16 L. Thomas L. Thomas 31' M 6.90
32 Luke Douglas Luke Douglas F
27 Peter Urminsky Peter Urminsky G
7 R. Idowu R. Idowu 19' M 6.60
5 R. King R. King D
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 4-2-3-1
1 T. Steward T. Steward G 6.30
14 M. Foulds M. Foulds D 6.30
3 C. Diabate C. Diabate D 7.50
5 Z. Mitchell Z. Mitchell D 7.30
33 L. Smith L. Smith 84' D 6.50
8 J. Holt J. Holt 79' M 7.00
42 R. McAlear R. McAlear M 6.90
99 R. Paton R. Paton M 6.30
10 J. Gullan J. Gullan M 5.50
11 S. Stanton S. Stanton M 6.70
9 J. Fowler J. Fowler 64' F 6.50
Bench
19 D. Finlayson D. Finlayson D
15 Jack Baird Jack Baird D
18 K. Fotheringham K. Fotheringham 16' F 6.90
23 L. Chalmers L. Chalmers 31' M 6.20
17 Louis LLoyd Louis LLoyd 11' F 6.50
4 M. Boyes M. Boyes D
25 M. Tait M. Tait M
20 R. Sinclair R. Sinclair G
7 T. Steven T. Steven F
Best on the pitch
J. Chapman
J. Chapman
G · ST
7.70
· 35 pass
C. Diabate
C. Diabate
D · ST
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
Z. Mitchell
Z. Mitchell
D · ST
7.30
· 49 pass
Samuel Ramos
Samuel Ramos
M · ST
7.30
1 shots · 33 pass
P. Nsio
P. Nsio
M · ST
7.20
· 51 pass
K. Phillips
K. Phillips
M · ST
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Chapman G 95 7.70 — — — 35 24% — — —
D. John D 95 6.90 — — — 39 32% 1 — —
A. Gogić D 95 7.00 — — — 54 50% — — —
M. Fraser D 51 6.70 — — — 43 32% — 1 —
J. Richardson D 95 6.70 — — — 24 20% — — —
P. Nsio M 95 7.20 — — — 51 39% 4 — —
R. Carr M 95 6.90 — — 2 60 47% 3 1 —
C. Mochrie M 64 6.60 — — 1 31 24% — — —
K. Phillips M 95 7.20 1 — 1 40 29% 3 — —
Samuel Ramos M 76 7.30 — — 1 33 26% 1 — —
Eseosa Sule F 64 6.30 — — — 9 6% — — —
J. Young F 31 6.30 — — 2 7 5% — — —
Liam Donnelly M 44 6.90 — — — 19 18% — — —
L. Thomas M 31 6.90 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
R. Idowu M 19 6.60 — — 1 5 2% 4 — —
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Steward G 95 6.30 — — — 31 17% — — —
M. Foulds D 95 6.30 — — 1 40 32% 2 — —
C. Diabate D 95 7.50 — — 1 52 45% 1 — —
Z. Mitchell D 95 7.30 — — — 49 42% 1 — —
L. Smith D 84 6.50 — — — 26 23% — — —
J. Holt M 79 7.00 — — — 41 39% 1 — —
R. McAlear M 95 6.90 — — 1 70 60% 4 — —
R. Paton M 95 6.30 — — — 14 11% — — —
J. Gullan M 95 5.50 — — 1 29 18% 2 1 —
S. Stanton M 95 6.70 — — — 29 23% 2 — —
J. Fowler F 64 6.50 — — — 9 5% 1 — —
K. Fotheringham F 16 6.90 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
L. Chalmers M 31 6.20 — — 1 8 8% 1 — —
Louis LLoyd F 11 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
The final score was ST Mirren 1–0 ST Johnstone.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
The model assigned 32% probability to a ST Mirren win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an ST Johnstone win.