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Premier Division · Regular Season - 25 July 24, 2026 21:00 Richmond Park, Dublin
St Patrick's Athl.
#2 · 53 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Dundalk
#4 · 41 pts
S. Hoare (ast. A. Keena) 57'
(pen.) 36' D. Horgan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Dundalk 27%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk. In 2 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.98
Actual xG
1.38
3
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
3
28
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
5'
B. Burns
12'
R. Cornwall
24'
A. Dervin
A. Breslin
35'
36'
(pen.) D. Horgan⚽
46'
E. Vassenin / R. Cornwall ↕
46'
K. Buckley / A. Dervin ↕
S. Hoare
49'
↕ B. Baggley / C. Forrester
57'
⚽S. Hoare · ast. A. Keena
57'
↕ A. Breslin / J. McClelland
57'
69'
D. McDaid / T. Clarke ↕
70'
K. Buckley
76'
S. Tracey / B. Burns ↕
↕ R. Edmondson / S. Rooney
76'
77'
L. Gaxha / C. Dillon ↕
J. Brown
90'+4
↕ L. Turner / D. Nugent
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.38%
St
23.45%
X ←
27.18%
Dundalk
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St
1.61
1.98
+0.37
Dundalk
1.23
1.38
+0.15
St Patrick's Athl. dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.38). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 30 56
2 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 30 53
3 Bohemians Bohemians 30 53
4 Dundalk Dundalk 30 41
5 Derry City Derry City 30 37
6 Shelbourne Shelbourne 29 36
7 Galway United Galway United 29 34
8 Waterford Waterford 30 33
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 30 31
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 30 23
Lineups
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 3-4-1-2
94 J. Anang J. Anang G 7.30
24 L. Turner L. Turner D 7.30
2 S. Hoare S. Hoare 1 ⚽ D 7.90
4 J. Redmond J. Redmond D 6.90
3 A. Breslin A. Breslin 57' M 6.00
19 B. Baggley B. Baggley 57' M 7.00
6 J. Lennon J. Lennon M 7.20
23 J. Brown J. Brown M 6.90
10 K. Leavy K. Leavy F 7.70
9 A. Keena A. Keena 1 👟 F 8.00
27 R. Edmondson R. Edmondson 76' F 6.70
Bench
32 Billy Canny Billy Canny D
8 C. Forrester C. Forrester 39' M 6.90
16 D. Nugent D. Nugent 6' M
1 D. Rogers D. Rogers G
11 J. McClelland J. McClelland 39' F 7.00
37 Joe Byrne Joe Byrne M
48 R. Sheridan R. Sheridan M
35 S. Rooney S. Rooney 20' F 6.50
5 T. Grivosti T. Grivosti D
Dundalk Dundalk 4-2-3-1
1 E. Minogue E. Minogue G 7.70
3 B. Burns B. Burns 76' D 6.60
24 R. Cornwall R. Cornwall 45' D 6.90
4 M. Animasahun M. Animasahun D 7.00
22 Tyreke Wilson Tyreke Wilson D 7.20
6 A. Dervin A. Dervin 45' M 6.20
8 H. Groome H. Groome M 6.90
7 D. Horgan D. Horgan 1 ⚽ M 7.20
11 Ronan Teahan Ronan Teahan M 6.90
15 Trevor Clarke Trevor Clarke 69' M 6.60
9 C. Dillon C. Dillon 77' F 5.90
Bench
23 A. M. Keogh A. M. Keogh M
27 D. McDaid D. McDaid 27' M 6.30
16 E. Vassenin E. Vassenin 51' D 6.20
18 K. Buckley K. Buckley 51' M 6.70
10 Leonardo Gaxha Leonardo Gaxha 19' F 6.50
12 L. Mulligan L. Mulligan D
13 Peter Cherrie Peter Cherrie G
19 Sean Spaight Sean Spaight D
17 S. Tracey S. Tracey 20' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
A. Keena
A. Keena
F · St
8.00
1 👟
2 shots · 28 pass
S. Hoare
S. Hoare
D · St
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
E. Minogue
E. Minogue
G · Dundalk
7.70
· 35 pass
K. Leavy
K. Leavy
F · St
7.70
2 shots · 22 pass
J. Anang
J. Anang
G · St
7.30
· 28 pass
L. Turner
L. Turner
D · St
7.30
· 40 pass
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Anang G 96 7.30 — — — 28 16% — — —
L. Turner D 90 7.30 — — — 40 27% 2 — —
S. Hoare D 96 7.90 1 — 1 51 37% 3 1 —
J. Redmond D 96 6.90 — — 1 56 42% 1 — —
A. Breslin M 57 6.00 — — 1 15 11% 1 1 —
B. Baggley M 57 7.00 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
J. Lennon M 96 7.20 — — — 34 25% 8 — —
J. Brown M 96 6.90 — — — 40 34% 3 1 —
K. Leavy F 96 7.70 — — 2 22 17% 5 — —
A. Keena F 96 8.00 — 1 2 28 21% — — —
R. Edmondson F 76 6.70 — — 2 11 8% 2 — —
C. Forrester M 39 6.90 — — — 22 16% — — —
D. Nugent M 6 — — — — 1 — — — —
J. McClelland F 39 7.00 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
S. Rooney F 20 6.50 — — 1 3 1% — — —
Dundalk Dundalk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Minogue G 96 7.70 — — — 35 10% — — —
B. Burns D 76 6.60 — — 1 32 18% — 1 —
R. Cornwall D 45 6.90 — — — 14 10% — 1 —
M. Animasahun D 96 7.00 — — 2 19 19% 1 — —
Tyreke Wilson D 96 7.20 — — — 29 27% 2 — —
A. Dervin M 45 6.20 — — — 23 20% — 1 —
H. Groome M 96 6.90 — — 1 35 30% 2 — —
D. Horgan M 96 7.20 1 — 3 33 28% — — —
Ronan Teahan M 96 6.90 — — — 35 31% 2 — —
Trevor Clarke M 69 6.60 — — 2 14 9% — — —
C. Dillon F 77 5.90 — — — 23 13% — — —
D. McDaid M 27 6.30 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
E. Vassenin D 51 6.20 — — — 8 4% 1 — —
K. Buckley M 51 6.70 — — — 23 18% 1 1 —
Leonardo Gaxha F 19 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
S. Tracey M 20 6.60 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 49% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 23% to a draw, and 27% to an Dundalk win.