S. Hoare
(ast. A. Keena)
57'
(pen.)
36'
D. Horgan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Dundalk 27%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk. In 2 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.98
Actual xG
1.38
3
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
3
28
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
5'
B. Burns
12'
R. Cornwall
24'
A. Dervin
A. Breslin
35'
36'
(pen.)
D. Horgan⚽
46'
E. Vassenin
/
R. Cornwall
46'
K. Buckley
/
A. Dervin
S. Hoare
49'
B. Baggley
/ C. Forrester
57'
⚽S. Hoare
· ast. A. Keena
57'
A. Breslin
/ J. McClelland
57'
69'
D. McDaid
/
T. Clarke
70'
K. Buckley
76'
S. Tracey
/
B. Burns
R. Edmondson
/ S. Rooney
76'
77'
L. Gaxha
/
C. Dillon
J. Brown
90'+4
L. Turner
/ D. Nugent
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.38%
St
23.45%
X ←
27.18%
Dundalk
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
1.98
+0.37
1.23
1.38
+0.15
St Patrick's Athl. dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
94
Joseph Anang
G
Joseph Anang
G
24
Luke Turner
D
Luke Turner
D
2
S. Hoare
1 ⚽
D
S. Hoare
1 ⚽
D
4
Joe Redmond
D
Joe Redmond
D
3
Anto Breslin
57'
M
Anto Breslin
57'
M
19
Barry Baggley
57'
M
Barry Baggley
57'
M
6
Jamie Lennon
M
Jamie Lennon
M
23
James Brown
M
James Brown
M
10
K. Leavy
F
K. Leavy
F
9
Aidan Keena
1 👟
F
Aidan Keena
1 👟
F
27
R. Edmondson
76'
F
R. Edmondson
76'
F
Bench
32
Billy Canny
D
Billy Canny
D
8
Chris Forrester
39'
M
Chris Forrester
39'
M
1
Danny Rogers
G
Danny Rogers
G
16
Darragh Nugent
6'
M
Darragh Nugent
6'
M
11
Jason McClelland
39'
F
Jason McClelland
39'
F
37
Joe Byrne
M
Joe Byrne
M
48
Ryan Sheridan
M
Ryan Sheridan
M
35
Sam Rooney
20'
F
Sam Rooney
20'
F
5
Tom Grivosti
D
Tom Grivosti
D
1
Enda Minogue
G
Enda Minogue
G
3
B. Burns
76'
D
B. Burns
76'
D
24
R. Cornwall
45'
D
R. Cornwall
45'
D
4
Mayowa Animasahun
D
Mayowa Animasahun
D
22
Tyreke Wilson
D
Tyreke Wilson
D
6
A. Dervin
45'
M
A. Dervin
45'
M
8
Harry Groome
M
Harry Groome
M
7
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
D. Horgan
1 ⚽
M
11
Ronan Teahan
M
Ronan Teahan
M
15
Trevor Clarke
69'
M
Trevor Clarke
69'
M
9
Cian Dillon
77'
F
Cian Dillon
77'
F
Bench
23
Aaron Keogh
M
Aaron Keogh
M
27
D. McDaid
27'
M
D. McDaid
27'
M
16
Egor Vassenin
51'
D
Egor Vassenin
51'
D
18
K. Buckley
51'
M
K. Buckley
51'
M
10
Leonardo Gaxha
19'
F
Leonardo Gaxha
19'
F
12
Luke Mulligan
D
Luke Mulligan
D
13
Peter Cherrie
G
Peter Cherrie
G
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
Shane Tracey
20'
M
Shane Tracey
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Aidan Keena
F · St
8.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
S. Hoare
D · St
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 51 pass
Enda Minogue
G · Dundalk
7.70
· 35 pass
K. Leavy
F · St
7.70
2 shots
· 22 pass
Joseph Anang
G · St
7.30
· 28 pass
Luke Turner
D · St
7.30
· 40 pass
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Anang | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Luke Turner | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 51 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Joe Redmond | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Anto Breslin | M | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Barry Baggley | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Jamie Lennon | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 8 | — | — |
| James Brown | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Leavy | F | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Aidan Keena | F | 96 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Chris Forrester | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Darragh Nugent | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jason McClelland | F | 39 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Rooney | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enda Minogue | G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Mayowa Animasahun | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyreke Wilson | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Harry Groome | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ronan Teahan | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Trevor Clarke | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Cian Dillon | F | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Egor Vassenin | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Gaxha | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Shane Tracey | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 49% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 23% to a draw, and 27% to an Dundalk win.