✗Model wrong — prediction St Patrick's Athl., result Shelbourne wins
82'
(ast. R. Freitas)
D. Kelly
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Shelbourne 17%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 Shelbourne. In 2 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shelbourne.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.45
Actual xG
0.81
3
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
4
12
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
L. Turner
15'
S. Hoare
28'
39'
K. McInroy
46'
E. Caffrey
/
K. McInroy
57'
M. Mbeng
58'
S. Gannon
/
M. Mbeng
58'
D. Kelly
/
A. Coote
73'
R. Freitas
/
W. Jarvis
76'
Z. Ibsen Rossi
B. Baggley
/ R. Palmer
76'
C. Forrester
/ D. Nugent
77'
80'
J. Martin
R. Edmondson
/ A. Keena
80'
82'
ast. R. Freitas ·
D. Kelly⚽
J. Lennon
84'
J. Lennon
/ S. Rooney
89'
J. Brown
/ J. McClelland
89'
89'
E. Chapman
/
J. Martin
90'+2
W. Speel
90'+6
S. Gannon
S. Hoare
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
63.89%
St
18.6%
X
17.51%
Shelbourne ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
17.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.76
0.45
-2.31
1.31
0.81
-0.5
Shelbourne dominated by xG (0.81 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
94
J. Anang
G
J. Anang
G
24
L. Turner
D
L. Turner
D
2
S. Hoare
D
S. Hoare
D
4
J. Redmond
D
J. Redmond
D
7
Z. Elbouzedi
M
Z. Elbouzedi
M
19
B. Baggley
76'
M
B. Baggley
76'
M
6
J. Lennon
89'
M
J. Lennon
89'
M
23
J. Brown
89'
M
J. Brown
89'
M
8
C. Forrester
77'
F
C. Forrester
77'
F
27
R. Edmondson
80'
F
R. Edmondson
80'
F
10
K. Leavy
F
K. Leavy
F
Bench
3
A. Breslin
D
A. Breslin
D
9
A. Keena
16'
F
A. Keena
16'
F
16
D. Nugent
19'
M
D. Nugent
19'
M
1
D. Rogers
G
D. Rogers
G
42
Glory Nzingo
M
Glory Nzingo
M
11
J. McClelland
7'
F
J. McClelland
7'
F
17
R. Palmer
20'
M
R. Palmer
20'
M
35
S. Rooney
7'
F
S. Rooney
7'
F
5
T. Grivosti
D
T. Grivosti
D
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
K. Ledwidge
D
K. Ledwidge
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
15
Sam Bone
D
Sam Bone
D
25
M. Mbeng
58'
D
M. Mbeng
58'
D
36
W. Jarvis
73'
M
W. Jarvis
73'
M
7
H. Wood
M
H. Wood
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
23
Kerr McInroy
45'
M
Kerr McInroy
45'
M
14
A. Coote
58'
M
A. Coote
58'
M
10
J. Martin
89'
F
J. Martin
89'
F
Bench
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
38'
M
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
38'
M
27
E. Caffrey
51'
M
E. Caffrey
51'
M
5
E. Chapman
7'
M
E. Chapman
7'
M
28
Maill Lundgren
M
Maill Lundgren
M
11
M. Odubeko
F
M. Odubeko
F
20
R. Freitas
1 👟
23'
F
R. Freitas
1 👟
23'
F
9
Sean Boyd
F
Sean Boyd
F
2
S. Gannon
38'
D
S. Gannon
38'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Hoare
D · St
7.60
1 shots
· 105 pass
J. Lennon
M · St
7.50
· 57 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Sam Bone
D · Shelbourne
7.30
· 40 pass
K. Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.30
· 42 pass
L. Turner
D · St
7.20
1 shots
· 76 pass
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anang | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Turner | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 65% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 92% | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Redmond | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Baggley | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lennon | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Brown | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Forrester | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Leavy | F | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| A. Keena | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Nugent | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. McClelland | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Palmer | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Rooney | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Ledwidge | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Zeno Ibsen Rossi | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mbeng | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| W. Jarvis | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Kerr McInroy | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Coote | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martin | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 38 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Caffrey | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Freitas | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Gannon | D | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 63% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Shelbourne win.