✗Model wrong — prediction St Patrick's Athl., result Shelbourne wins
82'
(ast. R. Freitas)
D. Kelly
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Shelbourne 17%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 Shelbourne. In 1 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shelbourne.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.45
Actual xG
0.81
3
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
4
12
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
L. Turner
15'
S. Hoare
28'
39'
K. McInroy
46'
E. Caffrey
/
K. McInroy
57'
M. Mbeng
58'
S. Gannon
/
M. Mbeng
58'
D. Kelly
/
A. Coote
73'
R. Freitas
/
W. Jarvis
76'
Z. Ibsen Rossi
B. Baggley
/ R. Palmer
76'
C. Forrester
/ D. Nugent
77'
80'
J. Martin
R. Edmondson
/ A. Keena
80'
82'
ast. R. Freitas ·
D. Kelly⚽
J. Lennon
84'
J. Lennon
/ S. Rooney
89'
J. Brown
/ J. McClelland
89'
89'
E. Chapman
/
J. Martin
90'+2
W. Speel
90'+6
S. Gannon
S. Hoare
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
63.89%
St
18.6%
X
17.51%
Shelbourne ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne)
17.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.76
0.45
-2.31
1.31
0.81
-0.5
Shelbourne dominated by xG (0.81 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
94
Joseph Anang
G
Joseph Anang
G
24
Luke Turner
D
Luke Turner
D
2
S. Hoare
D
S. Hoare
D
4
Joe Redmond
D
Joe Redmond
D
7
Z. Elbouzedi
M
Z. Elbouzedi
M
19
Barry Baggley
76'
M
Barry Baggley
76'
M
6
Jamie Lennon
89'
M
Jamie Lennon
89'
M
23
James Brown
89'
M
James Brown
89'
M
8
Chris Forrester
77'
F
Chris Forrester
77'
F
27
R. Edmondson
80'
F
R. Edmondson
80'
F
10
K. Leavy
F
K. Leavy
F
Bench
9
Aidan Keena
16'
F
Aidan Keena
16'
F
3
Anto Breslin
D
Anto Breslin
D
1
Danny Rogers
G
Danny Rogers
G
16
Darragh Nugent
19'
M
Darragh Nugent
19'
M
42
Glory Nzingo
M
Glory Nzingo
M
11
Jason McClelland
7'
F
Jason McClelland
7'
F
17
Romal Palmer
20'
M
Romal Palmer
20'
M
35
Sam Rooney
7'
F
Sam Rooney
7'
F
5
Tom Grivosti
D
Tom Grivosti
D
1
Wessel Speel
G
4
Kameron Ledwidge
D
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
D
15
Sam Bone
D
25
Milan Mbeng
58'
D
36
Will Jarvis
73'
M
7
H. Wood
M
H. Wood
M
6
J. Lunney
M
J. Lunney
M
23
Kerr McInroy
45'
M
Kerr McInroy
45'
M
14
Ali Coote
58'
M
10
J. Martin
89'
F
J. Martin
89'
F
Bench
11
Ademipo Odubeko
F
Ademipo Odubeko
F
31
Conor Walsh
G
Conor Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
38'
M
D. Kelly
1 ⚽
38'
M
5
Ellis Chapman
7'
M
Ellis Chapman
7'
M
27
Evan Caffrey
51'
M
28
Maill Lundgren
M
Maill Lundgren
M
20
Rodrigo Freitas
1 👟
23'
F
Rodrigo Freitas
1 👟
23'
F
9
Sean Boyd
F
Sean Boyd
F
2
S. Gannon
38'
D
S. Gannon
38'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Hoare
D · St
7.60
1 shots
· 105 pass
Jamie Lennon
M · St
7.50
· 57 pass
D. Kelly
M · Shelbourne
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Sam Bone
D · Shelbourne
7.30
· 40 pass
Kameron Ledwidge
D · Shelbourne
7.30
· 42 pass
Luke Turner
D · St
7.20
1 shots
· 76 pass
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Anang | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Luke Turner | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 65% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 92% | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Joe Redmond | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Barry Baggley | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamie Lennon | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| James Brown | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Chris Forrester | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Leavy | F | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Aidan Keena | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Darragh Nugent | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jason McClelland | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Romal Palmer | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sam Rooney | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Shelbourne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Kameron Ledwidge | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Zeno Ibsen Rossi | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sam Bone | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Milan Mbeng | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Will Jarvis | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wood | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lunney | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Kerr McInroy | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Coote | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martin | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 38 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evan Caffrey | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Freitas | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Gannon | D | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 63% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Shelbourne win.