St Patrick's Athl. - Shelbourne

Premier Division May 15, 2026 20:45

St Patrick's Athl.

#2 · 31 pts

20:45

vs

Shelbourne

#7 · 18 pts

Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 11.5°C 💨 6 km/h 🌧️ 22% · Dublin

⚡ Pre-match analysis

63.89%

Win

St Patrick's Athl.

18.6%

Draw

17.51%

Win

Shelbourne

2.76

Expected xG

1.31

Model prediction

St Patrick's Athl.

63.89%

Probability

36.4%

1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives St Patrick's Athl. a 63% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Shelbourne. Expected goals are 2.8 for St Patrick's Athl. and 1.3 for Shelbourne (total 4.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shelbourne.

Score Matrix

↕ St Patrick's Athl. Shelbourne →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	1.7%	2.2%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
1	4.7%	6.2%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
2	6.5%	8.5%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
3	6.0%	7.8%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	4.1%	5.4%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
5	2.3%	3.0%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Recent form

St Patrick's Athl.

W Waterford 4–1

D Sligo Rovers 1–1

D Galway United 2–2

W Bohemians 3–1

W Drogheda United 1–3

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%

Shelbourne

D Sligo Rovers 0–0

D Bohemians 2–2

W Dundalk 1–2

L Drogheda United 3–4

L Derry City 1–2

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%

Playing profile

St Patrick's Athl.

Attack

54

Defence

64

Form

63

Shelbourne

Attack

46

Defence

54

Form

44

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1

St Patrick's Athl.

0

Draw

0

Shelbourne

W 6 Mar 2026 Premier Division 3–2

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	16	34
2	St Patrick's Athl.	16	31
3	Bohemians	16	25
4	Dundalk	16	22
5	Derry City	16	19
6	Drogheda United	15	19
7	Shelbourne	15	18
8	Galway United	15	17
9	Sligo Rovers	16	16
10	Waterford	15	6