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Premier Division · Regular Season - 34 October 16, 2026 21:00 Richmond Park, Dublin
St Patrick's Athl.
#3 · 60 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Shelbourne
#4 · 49 pts
Jamie Lennon (ast. Barry Baggley) 43'
49' (ast. Daniel Kelly) Sean Moore
84' Daniel Kelly
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Shelbourne 18%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shelbourne. In 3 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shelbourne.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
2.57
Actual xG
0.55
0
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
12
Corners
3
18
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Aidan Keena (missed pen.)
15'
⚽Jamie Lennon · ast. Barry Baggley
43'
49'
ast. Daniel Kelly · Sean Moore⚽
↕ Kian Leavy / Ryan Sheridan
62'
66'
John Martin / Ademipo Odubeko ↕
66'
Jonathan Lunney / Marco Untergrabner ↕
71'
Sam Bone / James Norris ↕
↕ Anthony Olusanya / Ryan Edmondson
72'
72'
Alistair Coote / Jack Henry-Francis ↕
↕ Barry Baggley / Christopher Forrester
72'
Jason McClelland
80'
81'
Daniel Kelly
↕ Aidan Keena / Romal Palmer
83'
↕ Jason McClelland / James Brown
83'
84'
Daniel Kelly⚽
88'
Sean Boyd / Sean Moore ↕
90'+4
Eddie Beach
90'
Alistair Coote
Pre-match prediction
60.75%
St
21.11%
X
18.14%
Shelbourne ←
we assigned to the actual result (Shelbourne) 18.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St
2.23
2.57
+0.34
Shelbourne
1.14
0.55
-0.59
St Patrick's Athl. dominated by xG (2.57 vs 0.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 35 68
2 Bohemians Bohemians 35 62
3 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 35 60
4 Shelbourne Shelbourne 35 49
5 Derry City Derry City 35 47
6 Galway United Galway United 35 42
7 Dundalk Dundalk 35 42
8 Waterford Waterford 35 40
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 35 37
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 35 24
Lineups
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 3-4-3
94 J. Anang J. Anang G 5.68
24 L. Turner L. Turner D 6.57
2 S. Hoare S. Hoare D 7.04
4 J. Redmond J. Redmond D 6.55
11 J. McClelland J. McClelland 83' M 6.29
19 B. Baggley B. Baggley 1 👟 72' M 7.70
6 J. Lennon J. Lennon 1 ⚽ M 7.86
7 Z. Elbouzedi Z. Elbouzedi M 6.40
9 A. Keena A. Keena 83' F 6.79
21 A. Olusanya A. Olusanya 72' F 5.44
10 K. Leavy K. Leavy 62' F 5.94
Bench
3 A. Breslin A. Breslin D 0.00
8 C. Forrester C. Forrester 18' M 6.08
16 D. Nugent D. Nugent M 0.00
1 D. Rogers D. Rogers G 0.00
23 J. Brown J. Brown 7' D 6.06
27 R. Edmondson R. Edmondson 18' F 6.38
17 R. Palmer R. Palmer 7' M 6.01
48 R. Sheridan R. Sheridan 28' M 6.63
33 S. McHale S. McHale D 0.00
Shelbourne Shelbourne 5-4-1
19 E. Beach E. Beach G 6.70
18 James Barry Norris James Barry Norris 71' D 6.49
4 K. Ledwidge K. Ledwidge D 6.14
16 O. Casey O. Casey D 6.76
24 M. Untergrabner M. Untergrabner 66' D 6.39
17 D. Kelly D. Kelly 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 7.39
27 E. Caffrey E. Caffrey M 6.36
23 K. McInroy K. McInroy M 6.63
21 Jack Henry-Francis Jack Henry-Francis 72' M 5.86
22 S. Moore S. Moore 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.52
11 M. Odubeko M. Odubeko 66' F 6.20
Bench
14 A. Coote A. Coote 18' M 5.38
31 C. Walsh C. Walsh G 0.00
55 James Roche James Roche D 0.00
6 J. Lunney J. Lunney 24' M 6.21
10 J. Martin J. Martin 24' F 6.33
15 S. Bone S. Bone 19' D 6.29
9 S. Boyd S. Boyd 2' F 6.66
2 S. Gannon S. Gannon D 0.00
36 W. Jarvis W. Jarvis M 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Lennon
J. Lennon
M · St
7.86
1 ⚽
2 shots · 78 pass
B. Baggley
B. Baggley
M · St
7.70
1 👟
· 55 pass
S. Moore
S. Moore
M · Shelbourne
7.52
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
D. Kelly
D. Kelly
D · Shelbourne
7.39
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 20 pass
S. Hoare
S. Hoare
D · St
7.04
3 shots · 59 pass
A. Keena
A. Keena
F · St
6.79
4 shots · 19 pass
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Anang G 90 5.68 — — 0 26 16% 0 — —
L. Turner D 90 6.57 — — 0 46 36% 3 — —
S. Hoare D 90 7.04 — — 3 59 52% 3 — —
J. Redmond D 90 6.55 — — 1 71 55% 4 — —
J. McClelland M 83 6.29 — — 1 40 31% 1 1 —
B. Baggley M 72 7.70 — 1 0 55 50% 2 — —
J. Lennon M 90 7.86 1 — 2 78 64% 2 — —
Z. Elbouzedi M 90 6.40 — — 1 27 24% 0 — —
A. Keena F 83 6.79 — — 4 19 12% 1 — —
A. Olusanya F 72 5.44 — — 4 12 9% 2 — —
K. Leavy F 62 5.94 — — 2 29 22% 0 — —
C. Forrester M 18 6.08 — — 2 13 8% 0 — —
J. Brown D 7 6.06 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
R. Edmondson F 18 6.38 — — 3 7 3% 0 — —
R. Palmer M 7 6.01 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
R. Sheridan M 28 6.63 — — 1 18 12% 0 — —
Shelbourne Shelbourne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Beach G 90 6.70 — — 0 33 14% 0 1 —
James Barry Norris D 71 6.49 — — 0 29 23% 3 — —
K. Ledwidge D 90 6.14 — — 0 41 26% 1 — —
O. Casey D 90 6.76 — — 1 34 27% 1 — —
M. Untergrabner D 66 6.39 — — 1 17 12% 1 — —
D. Kelly D 90 7.39 1 1 2 20 16% 2 1 —
E. Caffrey M 90 6.36 — — 0 35 29% 0 — —
K. McInroy M 90 6.63 — — 2 45 35% 1 — —
Jack Henry-Francis M 72 5.86 — — 1 28 23% 4 — —
S. Moore M 88 7.52 1 — 2 17 13% 2 — —
M. Odubeko F 66 6.20 — — 1 11 9% 0 — —
A. Coote M 18 5.38 — — 0 2 2% 0 — 1
J. Lunney M 24 6.21 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
J. Martin F 24 6.33 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
S. Bone D 19 6.29 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
S. Boyd F 2 6.66 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shelbourne.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?
The model assigned 60% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Shelbourne win.