55'
(ast. T. Lonergan)
J. Voilas
76'
(ast. B. Couto)
J. Mahon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Waterford 17%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 0–2 Waterford. In 3 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
0.71
Actual xG
1.67
2
Saves
5
71%
Possession
29%
6
Corners
8
8
Tackles
11
Match Events
55'
ast. T. Lonergan ·
J. Voilas⚽
D. Nugent
/ R. Sheridan
59'
A. Breslin
/ J. Brown
60'
A. Keena
/ R. Edmondson
66'
76'
ast. B. Couto ·
J. Mahon⚽
C. Forrester
/ S. Rooney
78'
L. Turner
/ J. McClelland
78'
78'
H. Cann
/
J. Houston
88'
D. McMenamy
/
N. Mawene
88'
L. Heeney
/
E. McLaughlin
Pre-match prediction
56.72%
St
25.84%
X
17.44%
Waterford ←
we assigned to the actual result (Waterford)
17.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
0.71
-1.13
0.98
1.67
+0.69
Waterford dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
94
J. Anang
77'
G
J. Anang
77'
G
24
L. Turner
77'
D
L. Turner
77'
D
2
S. Hoare
77'
D
S. Hoare
77'
D
4
J. Redmond
77'
D
J. Redmond
77'
D
3
A. Breslin
59'
M
A. Breslin
59'
M
16
D. Nugent
59'
M
D. Nugent
59'
M
6
J. Lennon
77'
M
J. Lennon
77'
M
8
C. Forrester
77'
M
C. Forrester
77'
M
7
Z. Elbouzedi
77'
M
Z. Elbouzedi
77'
M
9
A. Keena
66'
F
A. Keena
66'
F
21
A. Olusanya
77'
F
A. Olusanya
77'
F
Bench
19
B. Baggley
M
B. Baggley
M
1
D. Rogers
G
D. Rogers
G
23
J. Brown
18'
D
J. Brown
18'
D
11
J. McClelland
F
J. McClelland
F
27
R. Edmondson
11'
F
R. Edmondson
11'
F
17
R. Palmer
M
R. Palmer
M
48
R. Sheridan
18'
M
R. Sheridan
18'
M
33
S. McHale
D
S. McHale
D
35
S. Rooney
F
S. Rooney
F
1
S. McMullan
77'
G
S. McMullan
77'
G
13
K. Long
77'
D
K. Long
77'
D
5
J. Mahon
1 ⚽
77'
D
J. Mahon
1 ⚽
77'
D
2
J. Houston
77'
D
3
Benny Couto
1 👟
77'
M
Benny Couto
1 👟
77'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
77'
M
E. McLaughlin
77'
M
7
N. Mawene
77'
M
N. Mawene
77'
M
10
C. Noonan
77'
M
C. Noonan
77'
M
20
J. Voilås
1 ⚽
77'
M
J. Voilås
1 ⚽
77'
M
18
T. Lonergan
1 👟
77'
F
T. Lonergan
1 👟
77'
F
9
P. Amond
77'
F
P. Amond
77'
F
Bench
56
A. Brennan
D
A. Brennan
D
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
12
B. McKenzie
D
B. McKenzie
D
27
D. McMenamy
M
D. McMenamy
M
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
6
J. Ashton
D
J. Ashton
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
15
L. Heeney
M
L. Heeney
M
11
T. Coyle
F
T. Coyle
F
Best on the pitch
J. Redmond
D · St
8.00
1 shots
· 73 pass
J. Houston
D · Waterford
7.70
· 21 pass
J. Mahon
D · Waterford
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
S. McMullan
G · Waterford
7.70
· 30 pass
J. Voilås
M · Waterford
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Benny Couto
M · Waterford
7.60
1 👟
· 19 pass
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anang | G | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Turner | D | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | — | — | — |
| J. Redmond | D | 77 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 62% | — | — | — |
| A. Breslin | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Nugent | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Lennon | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Forrester | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Keena | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Olusanya | F | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Brown | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Sheridan | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 77 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 77 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Houston | D | 77 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Benny Couto | M | 77 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mawene | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Voilås | M | 77 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 0–2 Waterford.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
The model assigned 56% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Waterford win.