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Pro League · Championship Group - 34 April 23, 2026 20:45
St. Truiden
#13 · 8 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Anderlecht
#5 · 16 pts
K. Goto (ast. R. Ito) 75'
R. Merlen (ast. I. Sebaoui) 90'+2
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 37% win probability (draw 24%, Anderlecht 37%). The final result was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht. In 3 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Anderlecht.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
5
1.29
Actual xG
0.98
5
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
7
21
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
N. Saliba
66'
M. Diarra
↕ J. Pupe / S. Jukleroed
66'
70'
I. Camara / A. Maamar ↕
70'
T. Hazard / Y. Verschaeren ↕
↕ R. Yamamoto / R. Merlen
71'
⚽K. Goto · ast. R. Ito
75'
80'
C. da Costa / A. Bertaccini ↕
↕ K. Matsuzawa / O. Diouf
85'
↕ K. Goto / L. Mbe Soh
85'
85'
K. Nga / E. Llansana ↕
⚽R. Merlen · ast. I. Sebaoui
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.6%
St. ←
24.96%
X
37.44%
Anderlecht
we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 37.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.40
1.29
-0.11
Anderlecht
1.65
0.98
-0.67
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.98). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
16 Léo Kokubo Léo Kokubo G 9.00
23 Joedrick Pupe Joedrick Pupe 66' D 6.60
26
D 7.90
5
D 7.50
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael D 7.00
8 Abdoulaye Sissako Abdoulaye Sissako M 7.20
6 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto 71' M 7.20
38 Kaito Matsuzawa Kaito Matsuzawa 85' M 7.20
13 R. Ito R. Ito 1 👟 M 7.90
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui 1 👟 M 7.00
42 K. Goto K. Goto 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.20
Bench
77 Oumar Diouf Oumar Diouf 9' F 6.70
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.60
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
26
G 7.30
6 Ludwig Augustinsson Ludwig Augustinsson D 6.00
93 M. Diarra M. Diarra D 6.20
54 Killian Sardella Killian Sardella D 6.20
79 Ali Maamar Ali Maamar 70' D 7.00
24 Enric Llansana Enric Llansana 85' M 6.70
13 N. Saliba N. Saliba M 6.20
83 Tristan Degreef Tristan Degreef M 6.90
10 Y. Verschaeren Y. Verschaeren 70' M 6.30
9 Mihajlo Cvetković Mihajlo Cvetković M 7.20
91 Adriano Bertaccini Adriano Bertaccini 80' F 6.20
Bench
77 Coba Coba 10' F 6.50
7 Ilay Camara Ilay Camara 20' D 6.30
4 M. Angely M. Angely D
55 M. Kana M. Kana D
11 T. Hazard T. Hazard 20' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Léo Kokubo
Léo Kokubo
G · St.
9.00
· 40 pass
K. Goto
K. Goto
F · St.
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
D · St.
7.90
· 63 pass
R. Ito
R. Ito
M · St.
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 53 pass
R. Merlen
R. Merlen
M · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D · St.
7.50
· 59 pass
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Kokubo G 90 9.00 — — — 40 33% — — —
Joedrick Pupe D 66 6.60 — — — 28 21% — — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 63 57% 5 — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 59 50% 1 — —
R. Vanwesemael D 90 7.00 — — 1 41 34% 3 — —
Abdoulaye Sissako M 90 7.20 — — 1 50 44% 5 — —
R. Yamamoto M 71 7.20 — — — 46 37% 1 — —
Kaito Matsuzawa M 85 7.20 — — 1 28 21% — — —
R. Ito M 90 7.90 — 1 3 53 46% 1 — —
I. Sebaoui M 90 7.00 — 1 2 31 26% 1 — —
K. Goto F 85 8.20 1 — 3 15 10% 4 — —
Oumar Diouf F 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
R. Merlen M 19 7.60 1 — 1 7 6% — — —
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 39 29% — — —
Ludwig Augustinsson D 90 6.00 — — — 32 17% — — —
M. Diarra D 90 6.20 — — 1 59 45% 1 1 —
Killian Sardella D 90 6.20 — — — 61 53% 1 — —
Ali Maamar D 70 7.00 — — — 21 17% 3 — —
Enric Llansana M 85 6.70 — — 1 42 38% 1 — —
N. Saliba M 90 6.20 — — 1 33 27% 3 1 —
Tristan Degreef M 90 6.90 — — 1 21 17% 5 — —
Y. Verschaeren M 70 6.30 — — 1 19 11% — — —
Mihajlo Cvetković M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 14% 2 — —
Adriano Bertaccini F 80 6.20 — — 2 28 23% — — —
Coba F 10 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ilay Camara D 20 6.30 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
T. Hazard M 20 6.30 — — 1 13 8% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The final score was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The model assigned 37% probability to a St. Truiden win, 24% to a draw, and 37% to an Anderlecht win.