Pro League
· Championship Group - 34
April 23, 2026 20:45
K. Goto
(ast. R. Ito)
75'
R. Merlen
(ast. I. Sebaoui)
90'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 37% win probability (draw 24%, Anderlecht 37%). The final result was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht. In 3 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Anderlecht.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
5
1.29
Actual xG
0.98
5
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
7
21
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
N. Saliba
66'
M. Diarra
J. Pupe
/ S. Jukleroed
66'
70'
I. Camara
/
A. Maamar
70'
T. Hazard
/
Y. Verschaeren
R. Yamamoto
/ R. Merlen
71'
⚽K. Goto
· ast. R. Ito
75'
80'
C. da Costa
/
A. Bertaccini
K. Matsuzawa
/ O. Diouf
85'
K. Goto
/ L. Mbe Soh
85'
85'
K. Nga
/
E. Llansana
⚽R. Merlen
· ast. I. Sebaoui
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.6%
St. ←
24.96%
X
37.44%
Anderlecht
we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden)
37.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
1.29
-0.11
1.65
0.98
-0.67
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.98).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
Léo Kokubo
G
Léo Kokubo
G
23
Joedrick Pupe
66'
D
Joedrick Pupe
66'
D
26
D
5
D
60
R. Vanwesemael
D
R. Vanwesemael
D
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
M
Abdoulaye Sissako
M
6
R. Yamamoto
71'
M
R. Yamamoto
71'
M
38
K. Matsuzawa
85'
M
K. Matsuzawa
85'
M
13
R. Ito
1 👟
M
R. Ito
1 👟
M
10
Ilias Sebaoui
1 👟
M
Ilias Sebaoui
1 👟
M
42
K. Goto
1 ⚽
85'
F
K. Goto
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
77
Oumar Diouf
9'
F
Oumar Diouf
9'
F
14
R. Merlen
1 ⚽
19'
M
R. Merlen
1 ⚽
19'
M
26
G
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
D
93
Moussa Diarra
D
Moussa Diarra
D
54
Killian Sardella
D
Killian Sardella
D
79
Ali Maamar
70'
D
24
Enric Llansana
85'
M
13
N. Saliba
M
N. Saliba
M
83
Tristan Degreef
M
10
Yari Verschaeren
70'
M
Yari Verschaeren
70'
M
9
Mihajlo Cvetković
M
91
Adriano Bertaccini
80'
F
Bench
77
Coba
10'
F
Coba
10'
F
7
Ilay Camara
20'
D
Ilay Camara
20'
D
55
Marco Kana
D
4
Mathys Angely
D
Mathys Angely
D
11
T. Hazard
20'
M
T. Hazard
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Léo Kokubo
G · St.
9.00
· 40 pass
K. Goto
F · St.
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
D · St.
7.90
· 63 pass
R. Ito
M · St.
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 53 pass
R. Merlen
M · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
D · St.
7.50
· 59 pass
St. Truiden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Kokubo | G | 90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Joedrick Pupe | D | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | 5 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Vanwesemael | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Sissako | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 44% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Yamamoto | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Matsuzawa | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Ito | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilias Sebaoui | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Goto | F | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Oumar Diouf | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Merlen | M | 19 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Anderlecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Ludwig Augustinsson | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Moussa Diarra | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Killian Sardella | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Maamar | D | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Enric Llansana | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Tristan Degreef | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Yari Verschaeren | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Mihajlo Cvetković | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Adriano Bertaccini | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Coba | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ilay Camara | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Hazard | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The final score was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The model assigned 37% probability to a St. Truiden win, 24% to a draw, and 37% to an Anderlecht win.