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Pro League · Championship Group - 34 April 23, 2026 20:45
St. Truiden
#10 · 8 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Anderlecht
#7 · 10 pts
K. Goto (ast. R. Ito) 75'
R. Merlen (ast. I. Sebaoui) 90'+2
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 37% win probability (draw 24%, Anderlecht 37%). The final result was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht. In 3 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Anderlecht.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
5
1.29
Actual xG
0.98
5
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
7
21
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
N. Saliba
66'
M. Diarra
↕ J. Pupe / S. Jukleroed
66'
70'
I. Camara / A. Maamar ↕
70'
T. Hazard / Y. Verschaeren ↕
↕ R. Yamamoto / R. Merlen
71'
⚽K. Goto · ast. R. Ito
75'
80'
C. da Costa / A. Bertaccini ↕
↕ K. Matsuzawa / O. Diouf
85'
↕ K. Goto / L. Mbe Soh
85'
85'
K. Nga / E. Llansana ↕
⚽R. Merlen · ast. I. Sebaoui
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.6%
St. ←
24.96%
X
37.44%
Anderlecht
we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 37.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.40
1.29
-0.11
Anderlecht
1.65
0.98
-0.67
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.98). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 6 16
2 Gent Gent 6 16
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 6 15
4 Charleroi Charleroi 6 15
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 6 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 6 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 6 9
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Antwerp Antwerp 6 7
12 Lommel United Lommel United 6 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 6 7
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 6 3
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 6 1
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo L. Kokubo G 9.00
23 J. Pupe J. Pupe 66' D 6.60
26
D 7.90
5
D 7.50
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael D 7.00
8 A. Sissako A. Sissako M 7.20
6 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto 71' M 7.20
38 K. Matsuzawa K. Matsuzawa 85' M 7.20
13 R. Ito R. Ito 1 👟 M 7.90
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui 1 👟 M 7.00
42 K. Goto K. Goto 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.20
Bench
77 O. Diouf O. Diouf 9' F 6.70
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.60
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
26
G 7.30
6 L. Augustinsson L. Augustinsson D 6.00
93 Moussa Diarra Moussa Diarra D 6.20
54 Killian Sardella Killian Sardella D 6.20
79 A. Maamar A. Maamar 70' D 7.00
24 E. Llansana E. Llansana 85' M 6.70
13 N. Saliba N. Saliba M 6.20
83 T. Degreef T. Degreef M 6.90
10 Y. Verschaeren Y. Verschaeren 70' M 6.30
9 M. Cvetković M. Cvetković M 7.20
91
Adriano Bertaccini 80' F 6.20
Bench
77 Coba Coba 10' F 6.50
7 Ilay Camara Ilay Camara 20' D 6.30
4 M. Angely M. Angely D
55 M. Kana M. Kana D
11 T. Hazard T. Hazard 20' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
L. Kokubo
L. Kokubo
G · St.
9.00
· 40 pass
K. Goto
K. Goto
F · St.
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
D · St.
7.90
· 63 pass
R. Ito
R. Ito
M · St.
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 53 pass
R. Merlen
R. Merlen
M · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D · St.
7.50
· 59 pass
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Kokubo G 90 9.00 — — — 40 33% — — —
J. Pupe D 66 6.60 — — — 28 21% — — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 63 57% 5 — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 59 50% 1 — —
R. Vanwesemael D 90 7.00 — — 1 41 34% 3 — —
A. Sissako M 90 7.20 — — 1 50 44% 5 — —
R. Yamamoto M 71 7.20 — — — 46 37% 1 — —
K. Matsuzawa M 85 7.20 — — 1 28 21% — — —
R. Ito M 90 7.90 — 1 3 53 46% 1 — —
I. Sebaoui M 90 7.00 — 1 2 31 26% 1 — —
K. Goto F 85 8.20 1 — 3 15 10% 4 — —
O. Diouf F 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
R. Merlen M 19 7.60 1 — 1 7 6% — — —
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 39 29% — — —
L. Augustinsson D 90 6.00 — — — 32 17% — — —
Moussa Diarra D 90 6.20 — — 1 59 45% 1 1 —
Killian Sardella D 90 6.20 — — — 61 53% 1 — —
A. Maamar D 70 7.00 — — — 21 17% 3 — —
E. Llansana M 85 6.70 — — 1 42 38% 1 — —
N. Saliba M 90 6.20 — — 1 33 27% 3 1 —
T. Degreef M 90 6.90 — — 1 21 17% 5 — —
Y. Verschaeren M 70 6.30 — — 1 19 11% — — —
M. Cvetković M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 14% 2 — —
Adriano Bertaccini F 80 6.20 — — 2 28 23% — — —
Coba F 10 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ilay Camara D 20 6.30 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
T. Hazard M 20 6.30 — — 1 13 8% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The final score was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The model assigned 37% probability to a St. Truiden win, 24% to a draw, and 37% to an Anderlecht win.