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Pro League · Championship Group - 34 April 23, 2026 22:45
St. Truiden
#3 · 39 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Anderlecht
#4 · 29 pts
K. Goto (ast. R. Ito) 75'
R. Merlen (ast. I. Sebaoui) 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 37% win probability (draw 24%, Anderlecht 37%). The final result was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht. In 2 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Anderlecht.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
5
1.29
Actual xG
0.98
5
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
7
21
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
N. Saliba
66'
M. Diarra
↕ J. Pupe / S. Jukleroed
66'
70'
I. Camara / A. Maamar ↕
70'
T. Hazard / Y. Verschaeren ↕
↕ R. Yamamoto / R. Merlen
71'
⚽K. Goto · ast. R. Ito
75'
80'
C. da Costa / A. Bertaccini ↕
↕ K. Matsuzawa / O. Diouf
85'
↕ K. Goto / L. Mbe Soh
85'
85'
K. Nga / E. Llansana ↕
⚽R. Merlen · ast. I. Sebaoui
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.6%
St. ←
24.96%
X
37.44%
Anderlecht
we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 37.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.40
1.29
-0.11
Anderlecht
1.65
0.98
-0.67
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.98). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
16 Léo Kokubo Léo Kokubo G 9.00
23 Joedrick Pupe Joedrick Pupe 66' D 6.60
26
D 7.90
5
D 7.50
60 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Robert-Jan Vanwesemael D 7.00
8 Abdoulaye Sissako Abdoulaye Sissako M 7.20
6
R. Yamamoto 71' M 7.20
38 Kaito Matsuzawa Kaito Matsuzawa 85' M 7.20
13 Ryotaro Ito Ryotaro Ito 1 👟 M 7.90
10 Ilias Sebaoui Ilias Sebaoui 1 👟 M 7.00
42 Keisuke Goto Keisuke Goto 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.20
Bench
77 Oumar Diouf Oumar Diouf 9' F 6.70
14 Ryan Merlen Ryan Merlen 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.60
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
26
G 7.30
6 Ludwig Augustinsson Ludwig Augustinsson D 6.00
93
M. Diarra D 6.20
54
K. Sardella D 6.20
79 Ali Maamar Ali Maamar 70' D 7.00
24
E. Llansana 85' M 6.70
13 N. Saliba N. Saliba M 6.20
83 Tristan Degreef Tristan Degreef M 6.90
10 Yari Verschaeren Yari Verschaeren 70' M 6.30
9 Mihajlo Cvetković Mihajlo Cvetković M 7.20
91 Adriano Bertaccini Adriano Bertaccini 80' F 6.20
Bench
77 Coba Coba 10' F 6.50
7 Ilay Camara Ilay Camara 20' D 6.30
55 Marco Kana Marco Kana D
4 Mathys Angely Mathys Angely D
11 Thorgan Hazard Thorgan Hazard 20' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Léo Kokubo
Léo Kokubo
G · St.
9.00
· 40 pass
Keisuke Goto
Keisuke Goto
F · St.
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
D · St.
7.90
· 63 pass
Ryotaro Ito
Ryotaro Ito
M · St.
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 53 pass
Ryan Merlen
Ryan Merlen
M · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D · St.
7.50
· 59 pass
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Kokubo G 90 9.00 — — — 40 33% — — —
Joedrick Pupe D 66 6.60 — — — 28 21% — — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 63 57% 5 — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 59 50% 1 — —
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael D 90 7.00 — — 1 41 34% 3 — —
Abdoulaye Sissako M 90 7.20 — — 1 50 44% 5 — —
R. Yamamoto M 71 7.20 — — — 46 37% 1 — —
Kaito Matsuzawa M 85 7.20 — — 1 28 21% — — —
Ryotaro Ito M 90 7.90 — 1 3 53 46% 1 — —
Ilias Sebaoui M 90 7.00 — 1 2 31 26% 1 — —
Keisuke Goto F 85 8.20 1 — 3 15 10% 4 — —
Oumar Diouf F 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Ryan Merlen M 19 7.60 1 — 1 7 6% — — —
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 39 29% — — —
Ludwig Augustinsson D 90 6.00 — — — 32 17% — — —
M. Diarra D 90 6.20 — — 1 59 45% 1 1 —
K. Sardella D 90 6.20 — — — 61 53% 1 — —
Ali Maamar D 70 7.00 — — — 21 17% 3 — —
E. Llansana M 85 6.70 — — 1 42 38% 1 — —
N. Saliba M 90 6.20 — — 1 33 27% 3 1 —
Tristan Degreef M 90 6.90 — — 1 21 17% 5 — —
Yari Verschaeren M 70 6.30 — — 1 19 11% — — —
Mihajlo Cvetković M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 14% 2 — —
Adriano Bertaccini F 80 6.20 — — 2 28 23% — — —
Coba F 10 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ilay Camara D 20 6.30 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
Thorgan Hazard M 20 6.30 — — 1 13 8% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The final score was St. Truiden 2–0 Anderlecht.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs Anderlecht?
The model assigned 37% probability to a St. Truiden win, 24% to a draw, and 37% to an Anderlecht win.