Pro League
· Championship Group - 40
May 24, 2026 18:30
✓Model correct — prediction St. Truiden
A. Muja
(ast. R. Yamamoto)
24'
T. Hata
(ast. A. Muja)
45'+3
R. Merlen
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 69% win probability (draw 19%, KV Mechelen 10%). The final result was St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen. In 3 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for KV Mechelen.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.52
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Muja
· ast. R. Yamamoto
24'
40'
M. Decoene
⚽T. Hata
· ast. A. Muja
45'+3
46'
B. Raman
/
D. Salifou
48'
R. Halhal
63'
B. Antonio
/
M. Servais
68'
R. Vanwesemael
69'
⚽R. Merlen
71'
74'
K. Vanrafelghem
/
B. Boersma
79'
M. Konate
/
K. Mrabti
79'
M. Kireev
/
T. Koudou
A. Muja
/ K. Matsuzawa
81'
K. Goto
/ O. Diouf
81'
R. Yamamoto
/ S. Shinkawa
85'
S. Taniguchi
/ W. Janssens
85'
R. Merlen
87'
M. Lendfers
/ J. Coppens
89'
Pre-match prediction
69.99%
St. ←
19.47%
X
10.54%
KV
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden)
69.99%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.44
1.52
-0.92
0.68
0.42
-0.26
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
Matt Lendfers
89'
G
Matt Lendfers
89'
G
3
Taiga Hata
1 ⚽
D
Taiga Hata
1 ⚽
D
26
Visar Musliu
D
Visar Musliu
D
5
S. Taniguchi
85'
D
S. Taniguchi
85'
D
60
R. Vanwesemael
D
R. Vanwesemael
D
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
M
Abdoulaye Sissako
M
6
R. Yamamoto
1 👟
85'
M
R. Yamamoto
1 👟
85'
M
10
Ilias Sebaoui
M
Ilias Sebaoui
M
14
R. Merlen
1 ⚽
M
R. Merlen
1 ⚽
M
7
A. Muja
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
A. Muja
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
42
K. Goto
81'
F
K. Goto
81'
F
Bench
33
Alouis Diriken
M
Alouis Diriken
M
12
Jo Coppens
2'
G
Jo Coppens
2'
G
23
Joedrick Pupe
D
Joedrick Pupe
D
38
Kaito Matsuzawa
10'
F
Kaito Matsuzawa
10'
F
4
Loïc Mbe Soh
D
Loïc Mbe Soh
D
77
Oumar Diouf
10'
F
Oumar Diouf
10'
F
99
Shion Shinkawa
6'
F
Shion Shinkawa
6'
F
18
Simen Juklerød
D
Simen Juklerød
D
22
Wolke Janssens
6'
D
Wolke Janssens
6'
D
1
Ortwin De Wolf
G
Ortwin De Wolf
G
3
José Marsà
D
José Marsà
D
2
R. Halhal
D
R. Halhal
D
39
Massimo Decoene
D
Massimo Decoene
D
17
Mathis Servais
63'
M
Mathis Servais
63'
M
6
F. Hammar
M
F. Hammar
M
29
Dikeni Salifou
45'
M
Dikeni Salifou
45'
M
7
Thérence Koudou
79'
M
Thérence Koudou
79'
M
9
M. van Brederode
F
M. van Brederode
F
28
Bouke Boersma
74'
F
Bouke Boersma
74'
F
19
Kerim Mrabti
79'
F
Kerim Mrabti
79'
F
Bench
11
Bilal Bafdili
M
Bilal Bafdili
M
38
Bill Antonio
28'
F
Bill Antonio
28'
F
14
B. Raman
46'
F
B. Raman
46'
F
4
G. Diouf
D
G. Diouf
D
18
Ian Struyf
D
Ian Struyf
D
27
Keano Vanrafelghem
17'
F
Keano Vanrafelghem
17'
F
10
Maxim Kireev
12'
M
8
Mory Konate
12'
M
Mory Konate
12'
M
15
Tijn Van Ingelgom
G
Tijn Van Ingelgom
G
Best on the pitch
A. Muja
M · St.
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 26 pass
Taiga Hata
D · St.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
R. Merlen
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Visar Musliu
D · St.
7.20
· 52 pass
S. Taniguchi
D · St.
7.20
· 62 pass
Matt Lendfers
G · St.
7.00
· 20 pass
St. Truiden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Lendfers | G | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Taiga Hata | D | 91 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Visar Musliu | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Taniguchi | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Vanwesemael | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abdoulaye Sissako | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Yamamoto | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ilias Sebaoui | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Merlen | M | 91 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Muja | M | 81 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| K. Goto | F | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jo Coppens | G | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kaito Matsuzawa | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oumar Diouf | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shion Shinkawa | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wolke Janssens | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
KV Mechelen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ortwin De Wolf | G | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 26% | — | — | — |
| José Marsà | D | 91 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| R. Halhal | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| Massimo Decoene | D | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Mathis Servais | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Hammar | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | 6 | — | — |
| Dikeni Salifou | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Thérence Koudou | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. van Brederode | F | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Bouke Boersma | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kerim Mrabti | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Bill Antonio | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Raman | F | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Keano Vanrafelghem | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Maxim Kireev | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mory Konate | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The final score was St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The model assigned 69% probability to a St. Truiden win, 19% to a draw, and 10% to an KV Mechelen win.