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Pro League · Championship Group - 40 May 24, 2026 18:30
St. Truiden
#10 · 8 pts
3 – 0
Final score
KV Mechelen
#15 · 2 pts
✓Model correct — prediction St. Truiden
A. Muja (ast. R. Yamamoto) 24'
T. Hata (ast. A. Muja) 45'+3
R. Merlen 71'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 69% win probability (draw 19%, KV Mechelen 10%). The final result was St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen. In 3 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for KV Mechelen.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.52
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Muja · ast. R. Yamamoto
24'
40'
M. Decoene
⚽T. Hata · ast. A. Muja
45'+3
46'
B. Raman / D. Salifou ↕
48'
R. Halhal
63'
B. Antonio / M. Servais ↕
68'
R. Vanwesemael
69'
⚽R. Merlen
71'
74'
K. Vanrafelghem / B. Boersma ↕
79'
M. Konate / K. Mrabti ↕
79'
M. Kireev / T. Koudou ↕
↕ A. Muja / K. Matsuzawa
81'
↕ K. Goto / O. Diouf
81'
↕ R. Yamamoto / S. Shinkawa
85'
↕ S. Taniguchi / W. Janssens
85'
R. Merlen
87'
↕ M. Lendfers / J. Coppens
89'
Pre-match prediction
69.99%
St. ←
19.47%
X
10.54%
KV
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 69.99% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
2.44
1.52
-0.92
KV
0.68
0.42
-0.26
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 5 15
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 5 13
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 5 12
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 5 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 5 8
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Lommel United Lommel United 5 7
12 Antwerp Antwerp 5 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 5 4
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 5 2
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5 0
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
21 M. Lendfers M. Lendfers 89' G 7.00
3 T. Hata T. Hata 1 ⚽ D 7.70
26 V. Musliu V. Musliu D 7.20
5 S. Taniguchi S. Taniguchi 85' D 7.20
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael D 7.00
8 A. Sissako A. Sissako M 6.90
6 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto 1 👟 85' M 6.90
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui M 6.90
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 1 ⚽ M 7.30
7 A. Muja A. Muja 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' M 9.20
42 K. Goto K. Goto 81' F 6.70
Bench
33 A. Diriken A. Diriken M
12 Jo Coppens Jo Coppens 2' G
23 J. Pupe J. Pupe D
38 K. Matsuzawa K. Matsuzawa 10' F 6.30
4 L. Mbe Soh L. Mbe Soh D
77 O. Diouf O. Diouf 10' F 6.30
18 Simen Juklerød Simen Juklerød D
99 S. Shinkawa S. Shinkawa 6' F
22 W. Janssens W. Janssens 6' D
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 3-4-3
1 O. De Wolf O. De Wolf G 6.00
3 José Marsà José Marsà D 5.60
2 Redouane Halhal Redouane Halhal D 5.90
39 M. Decoene M. Decoene D 6.00
17 Mathis Servais Mathis Servais 63' M 6.20
6 F. Hammar F. Hammar M 6.60
29 Dikeni Salifou Dikeni Salifou 45' M 6.30
7 T. Koudou T. Koudou 79' M 6.20
9 M. van Brederode M. van Brederode F 7.00
28 Bouke Boersma Bouke Boersma 74' F 6.50
19
Kerim Mrabti 79' F 6.60
Bench
38 B. Antonio B. Antonio 28' F 6.70
11 B. Bafdili B. Bafdili M
14 B. Raman B. Raman 46' F 6.50
4 Gora Diouf Gora Diouf D
18 Ian Struyf Ian Struyf D
27 K. Van Rafelghem K. Van Rafelghem 17' F 6.50
10 M. Kireev M. Kireev 12' M 6.70
8 M. Konaté M. Konaté 12' M 6.30
15 Tijn Van Ingelgom Tijn Van Ingelgom G
Best on the pitch
A. Muja
A. Muja
M · St.
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 26 pass
T. Hata
T. Hata
D · St.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
R. Merlen
R. Merlen
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
V. Musliu
V. Musliu
D · St.
7.20
· 52 pass
S. Taniguchi
S. Taniguchi
D · St.
7.20
· 62 pass
M. Lendfers
M. Lendfers
G · St.
7.00
· 20 pass
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Lendfers G 89 7.00 — — — 20 15% — — —
T. Hata D 91 7.70 1 — 1 21 15% 5 — —
V. Musliu D 91 7.20 — — — 52 49% 1 — —
S. Taniguchi D 85 7.20 — — — 62 50% 1 — —
R. Vanwesemael D 91 7.00 — — — 36 33% 1 1 —
A. Sissako M 91 6.90 — — 2 38 31% 3 — —
R. Yamamoto M 85 6.90 — 1 1 28 20% — — —
I. Sebaoui M 91 6.90 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
R. Merlen M 91 7.30 1 — 1 42 32% — 1 —
A. Muja M 81 9.20 1 1 3 26 24% — — —
K. Goto F 81 6.70 — — 1 21 18% — — —
Jo Coppens G 2 — — — — 1 — — — —
K. Matsuzawa F 10 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
O. Diouf F 10 6.30 — — — — — — — —
S. Shinkawa F 6 — — — — 1 1% — — —
W. Janssens D 6 — — — — 1 — 1 — —
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. De Wolf G 91 6.00 — — — 46 26% — — —
José Marsà D 91 5.60 — — — 38 33% — — —
Redouane Halhal D 91 5.90 — — — 54 52% — 1 —
M. Decoene D 91 6.00 — — 1 53 41% — 1 —
Mathis Servais M 63 6.20 — — 2 20 16% — — —
F. Hammar M 91 6.60 — — 1 49 39% 6 — —
Dikeni Salifou M 45 6.30 — — — 18 13% 3 — —
T. Koudou M 79 6.20 — — 1 39 32% 1 — —
M. van Brederode F 91 7.00 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Bouke Boersma F 74 6.50 — — — 9 6% — — —
Kerim Mrabti F 79 6.60 — — — 40 33% — — —
B. Antonio F 28 6.70 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
B. Raman F 46 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
K. Van Rafelghem F 17 6.50 — — 1 4 2% — — —
M. Kireev M 12 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Konaté M 12 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The final score was St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The model assigned 69% probability to a St. Truiden win, 19% to a draw, and 10% to an KV Mechelen win.