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Pro League · Championship Group - 40 May 24, 2026 18:30
St. Truiden
#13 · 8 pts
3 – 0
Final score
KV Mechelen
#15 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction St. Truiden
A. Muja (ast. R. Yamamoto) 24'
T. Hata (ast. A. Muja) 45'+3
R. Merlen 71'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 69% win probability (draw 19%, KV Mechelen 10%). The final result was St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen. In 4 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for KV Mechelen.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.52
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Muja · ast. R. Yamamoto
24'
40'
M. Decoene
⚽T. Hata · ast. A. Muja
45'+3
46'
B. Raman / D. Salifou ↕
48'
R. Halhal
63'
B. Antonio / M. Servais ↕
68'
R. Vanwesemael
69'
⚽R. Merlen
71'
74'
K. Vanrafelghem / B. Boersma ↕
79'
M. Konate / K. Mrabti ↕
79'
M. Kireev / T. Koudou ↕
↕ A. Muja / K. Matsuzawa
81'
↕ K. Goto / O. Diouf
81'
↕ R. Yamamoto / S. Shinkawa
85'
↕ S. Taniguchi / W. Janssens
85'
R. Merlen
87'
↕ M. Lendfers / J. Coppens
89'
Pre-match prediction
69.99%
St. ←
19.47%
X
10.54%
KV
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 69.99% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
2.44
1.52
-0.92
KV
0.68
0.42
-0.26
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
21 Matt Lendfers Matt Lendfers 89' G 7.00
3 Taiga Hata Taiga Hata 1 ⚽ D 7.70
26 Visar Musliu Visar Musliu D 7.20
5 Shogo Taniguchi Shogo Taniguchi 85' D 7.20
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael D 7.00
8 Abdoulaye Sissako Abdoulaye Sissako M 6.90
6 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto 1 👟 85' M 6.90
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui M 6.90
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 1 ⚽ M 7.30
7 Arbnor Muja Arbnor Muja 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' M 9.20
42 K. Goto K. Goto 81' F 6.70
Bench
33 Alouis Diriken Alouis Diriken M
12 Jo Coppens Jo Coppens 2' G
23 Joedrick Pupe Joedrick Pupe D
38 Kaito Matsuzawa Kaito Matsuzawa 10' F 6.30
4 L. Mbe Soh L. Mbe Soh D
77 Oumar Diouf Oumar Diouf 10' F 6.30
99 Shion Shinkawa Shion Shinkawa 6' F
18 Simen Juklerød Simen Juklerød D
22 Wolke Janssens Wolke Janssens 6' D
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 3-4-3
1 Ortwin De Wolf Ortwin De Wolf G 6.00
3 José Marsà José Marsà D 5.60
2 R. Halhal R. Halhal D 5.90
39 M. Decoene M. Decoene D 6.00
17 M. Servais M. Servais 63' M 6.20
6 F. Hammar F. Hammar M 6.60
29 Dikeni Salifou Dikeni Salifou 45' M 6.30
7 Thérence Koudou Thérence Koudou 79' M 6.20
9 Myron Van Brederode Myron Van Brederode F 7.00
28 Bouke Boersma Bouke Boersma 74' F 6.50
19
K. Mrabti 79' F 6.60
Bench
11 B. Bafdili B. Bafdili M
14 Benito Raman Benito Raman 46' F 6.50
38 Bill Antonio Bill Antonio 28' F 6.70
4 Gora Diouf Gora Diouf D
18 Ian Struyf Ian Struyf D
27 K. Van Rafelghem K. Van Rafelghem 17' F 6.50
10 Maxim Kireev Maxim Kireev 12' M 6.70
8 M. Konaté M. Konaté 12' M 6.30
15 Tijn Van Ingelgom Tijn Van Ingelgom G
Best on the pitch
Arbnor Muja
Arbnor Muja
M · St.
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 26 pass
Taiga Hata
Taiga Hata
D · St.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
R. Merlen
R. Merlen
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Visar Musliu
Visar Musliu
D · St.
7.20
· 52 pass
Shogo Taniguchi
Shogo Taniguchi
D · St.
7.20
· 62 pass
Matt Lendfers
Matt Lendfers
G · St.
7.00
· 20 pass
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matt Lendfers G 89 7.00 — — — 20 15% — — —
Taiga Hata D 91 7.70 1 — 1 21 15% 5 — —
Visar Musliu D 91 7.20 — — — 52 49% 1 — —
Shogo Taniguchi D 85 7.20 — — — 62 50% 1 — —
R. Vanwesemael D 91 7.00 — — — 36 33% 1 1 —
Abdoulaye Sissako M 91 6.90 — — 2 38 31% 3 — —
R. Yamamoto M 85 6.90 — 1 1 28 20% — — —
I. Sebaoui M 91 6.90 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
R. Merlen M 91 7.30 1 — 1 42 32% — 1 —
Arbnor Muja M 81 9.20 1 1 3 26 24% — — —
K. Goto F 81 6.70 — — 1 21 18% — — —
Jo Coppens G 2 — — — — 1 — — — —
Kaito Matsuzawa F 10 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Oumar Diouf F 10 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Shion Shinkawa F 6 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Wolke Janssens D 6 — — — — 1 — 1 — —
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ortwin De Wolf G 91 6.00 — — — 46 26% — — —
José Marsà D 91 5.60 — — — 38 33% — — —
R. Halhal D 91 5.90 — — — 54 52% — 1 —
M. Decoene D 91 6.00 — — 1 53 41% — 1 —
M. Servais M 63 6.20 — — 2 20 16% — — —
F. Hammar M 91 6.60 — — 1 49 39% 6 — —
Dikeni Salifou M 45 6.30 — — — 18 13% 3 — —
Thérence Koudou M 79 6.20 — — 1 39 32% 1 — —
Myron Van Brederode F 91 7.00 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Bouke Boersma F 74 6.50 — — — 9 6% — — —
K. Mrabti F 79 6.60 — — — 40 33% — — —
Benito Raman F 46 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Bill Antonio F 28 6.70 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
K. Van Rafelghem F 17 6.50 — — 1 4 2% — — —
Maxim Kireev M 12 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Konaté M 12 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The final score was St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
The model assigned 69% probability to a St. Truiden win, 19% to a draw, and 10% to an KV Mechelen win.