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Pro League · Championship Group - 36 May 02, 2026 20:45
St. Truiden
#13 · 8 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Union St. Gilloise
#3 · 23 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result St. Truiden wins
O. Diouf (ast. S. Jukleroed) 86'
R. Ito 90'+10 (pen.)
90'+2 (ast. R. Schoofs) K. Rodriguez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 55% win probability (draw 19%, St. Truiden 24%). The final result was St. Truiden 2–1 Union St. Gilloise. In 4 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for Union St. Gilloise.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.77
Actual xG
0.28
0
Saves
2
77%
Possession
23%
9
Corners
1
13
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
12'
K. Mac Allister
18'
F. Leysen / A. Ait El Hadj ↕
K. Goto
33'
45'
A. Zorgane
46'
R. Schoofs / O. Niang ↕
56'
C. Burgess
↕ I. Sebaoui / K. Matsuzawa
63'
67'
K. Van De Perre
↕ R. Merlen / O. Diouf
79'
↕ J. Pupe / S. Jukleroed
85'
⚽O. Diouf · ast. S. Jukleroed
86'
90'+2
ast. R. Schoofs · K. Rodriguez⚽
90'+6
L. Patris / K. Rodriguez ↕
90'+7
M. Sylla
⚽R. Ito (pen.)
90'+10
90'
M. Sylla / R. Sykes ↕
90'
M. Fuseini / K. Van De Perre ↕
Pre-match prediction
24.73%
St. ←
19.69%
X
55.59%
Union
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 24.73% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.18
1.77
+0.59
Union
2.21
0.28
-1.93
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.28). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
16 Léo Kokubo Léo Kokubo G 6.30
23 Joedrick Pupe Joedrick Pupe 85' D 6.60
26
D 7.20
5
D 7.70
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael D 6.50
6 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto M 7.20
8 Abdoulaye Sissako Abdoulaye Sissako M 6.90
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 79' M 7.00
13 R. Ito R. Ito 1 ⚽ M 7.30
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui 63' M 7.00
42 K. Goto K. Goto F 6.30
Bench
38 Kaito Matsuzawa Kaito Matsuzawa 27' F 6.60
77 Oumar Diouf Oumar Diouf 11' F 7.20
3 Taiga Hata Taiga Hata D
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3-4-3
37
G 6.60
26 Ross Sykes Ross Sykes 89' D 6.90
16 Christian Burgess Christian Burgess D 6.70
5 K. Mac Allister K. Mac Allister 12' D 3.00
22 Ousseynou Niang Ousseynou Niang 45' M 6.60
8 Adem Zorgane Adem Zorgane M 5.90
6 Kamiel Van de Perre Kamiel Van de Perre 89' M 7.20
25 A. Khalaili A. Khalaili M 7.00
10 Anouar Ait El Hadj Anouar Ait El Hadj 18' F 6.70
13 Kevin Rodriguez Kevin Rodriguez 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.90
11 Guilherme Smith Guilherme Smith F 6.30
Bench
14 Ivan Pavlić Ivan Pavlić M
29 Massire Sylla Massire Sylla 10' D 5.90
30 R. Florucz R. Florucz F
17 R. Schoofs R. Schoofs 1 👟 45' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
D · St.
7.70
· 99 pass
R. Ito
R. Ito
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 67 pass
Oumar Diouf
Oumar Diouf
F · St.
7.20
1 shots · 2 pass
D · St.
7.20
2 shots · 99 pass
R. Yamamoto
R. Yamamoto
M · St.
7.20
1 shots · 53 pass
Kamiel Van de Perre
Kamiel Van de Perre
M · Union
7.20
· 13 pass
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Kokubo G 90 6.30 — — — 17 16% — — —
Joedrick Pupe D 85 6.60 — — — 57 51% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — 2 99 93% 3 — —
D 90 7.70 — — — 99 91% 1 — —
R. Vanwesemael D 90 6.50 — — — 58 50% — — —
R. Yamamoto M 90 7.20 — — 1 53 48% 1 — —
Abdoulaye Sissako M 90 6.90 — — — 60 52% 3 — —
R. Merlen M 79 7.00 — — 3 55 49% 1 — —
R. Ito M 90 7.30 1 — 3 67 61% 1 — —
I. Sebaoui M 63 7.00 — — — 37 34% 2 — —
K. Goto F 90 6.30 — — 1 5 5% 1 1 —
Kaito Matsuzawa F 27 6.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
Oumar Diouf F 11 7.20 — — 1 2 — — — —
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 34 10% — — —
Ross Sykes D 89 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Christian Burgess D 90 6.70 — — — 23 13% 1 1 —
K. Mac Allister D 12 3.00 — — — 4 4% — — 1
Ousseynou Niang M 45 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
Adem Zorgane M 90 5.90 — — — 29 24% — 1 —
Kamiel Van de Perre M 89 7.20 — — — 13 8% 2 1 —
A. Khalaili M 90 7.00 — — — 20 14% 4 — —
Anouar Ait El Hadj F 18 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Kevin Rodriguez F 89 6.90 1 — 2 10 2% — — —
Guilherme Smith F 90 6.30 — — — 14 8% — — —
Massire Sylla D 10 5.90 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
R. Schoofs M 45 6.90 — 1 1 8 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
The final score was St. Truiden 2–1 Union St. Gilloise.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model assigned 24% probability to a St. Truiden win, 19% to a draw, and 55% to an Union St. Gilloise win.