Pro League · Championship Group - 36 May 02, 2026 20:45

St. Truiden

#3 · 43 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Union St. Gilloise

#2 · 53 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result St. Truiden wins

O. Diouf (ast. S. Jukleroed) 86'

R. Ito 90'+10 (pen.)

90'+2 (ast. R. Schoofs) K. Rodriguez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 55% win probability (draw 19%, St. Truiden 24%). The final result was St. Truiden 2–1 Union St. Gilloise. In 3 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Union St. Gilloise.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

3

5

Shots on target

1

1.77

Actual xG

0.28

0

Saves

2

77%

Possession

23%

9

Corners

1

13

Tackles

9

1

🟨 Yellow cards

4

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

12'

K. Mac Allister

18'

F. Leysen / A. Ait El Hadj ↕

K. Goto

33'

45'

A. Zorgane

46'

R. Schoofs / O. Niang ↕

56'

C. Burgess

↕ I. Sebaoui / K. Matsuzawa

63'

67'

K. Van De Perre

↕ R. Merlen / O. Diouf

79'

↕ J. Pupe / S. Jukleroed

85'

⚽O. Diouf · ast. S. Jukleroed

86'

90'+2

ast. R. Schoofs · K. Rodriguez⚽

90'+6

L. Patris / K. Rodriguez ↕

90'+7

M. Sylla

⚽R. Ito (pen.)

90'+10

90'

M. Sylla / R. Sykes ↕

90'

M. Fuseini / K. Van De Perre ↕

Pre-match prediction

24.73%

St. ←

19.69%

X

55.59%

Union

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 24.73% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

St.

1.18

1.77

+0.59

Union

2.21

0.28

-1.93

St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.28). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club Brugge KV	40	57
2	Union St. Gilloise	40	53
3	St. Truiden	40	43
4	Anderlecht	40	33
5	Gent	40	29
6	KV Mechelen	40	29

Lineups

St. Truiden 4-2-3-1

16 Léo Kokubo G 6.30

23 Joedrick Pupe 85' D 6.60

26

D 7.20

5

D 7.70

60 R. Vanwesemael D 6.50

6 R. Yamamoto M 7.20

8 Abdoulaye Sissako M 6.90

14 R. Merlen 79' M 7.00

13 R. Ito 1 ⚽ M 7.30

10 Ilias Sebaoui 63' M 7.00

42 K. Goto F 6.30

Bench

38 Kaito Matsuzawa 27' F 6.60

77 Oumar Diouf 11' F 7.20

3 Taiga Hata D

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-3

37

G 6.60

26 R. Sykes 89' D 6.90

16 C. Burgess D 6.70

5 K. Mac Allister 12' D 3.00

22 Ousseynou Niang 45' M 6.60

8 A. Zorgane M 5.90

6 K. Van de Perre 89' M 7.20

25 Anan Khalaili M 7.00

10 Anouar Ait El Hadj 18' F 6.70

13 K. Rodríguez 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.90

11 Guilherme Smith F 6.30

Bench

14 Ivan Pavlić M

29 Massire Sylla 10' D 5.90

30 Raul Florucz F

17 Rob Schoofs 1 👟 45' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

D · St.

7.70

· 99 pass

R. Ito

M · St.

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 67 pass

Oumar Diouf

F · St.

7.20

1 shots · 2 pass

D · St.

7.20

2 shots · 99 pass

R. Yamamoto

M · St.

7.20

1 shots · 53 pass

K. Van de Perre

M · Union

7.20

· 13 pass

St. Truiden — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Léo Kokubo	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	17	16%	—	—	—
Joedrick Pupe	D	85	6.60	—	—	—	57	51%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	99	93%	3	—	—
	D	90	7.70	—	—	—	99	91%	1	—	—
R. Vanwesemael	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	58	50%	—	—	—
R. Yamamoto	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	53	48%	1	—	—
Abdoulaye Sissako	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	60	52%	3	—	—
R. Merlen	M	79	7.00	—	—	3	55	49%	1	—	—
R. Ito	M	90	7.30	1	—	3	67	61%	1	—	—
Ilias Sebaoui	M	63	7.00	—	—	—	37	34%	2	—	—
K. Goto	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	5	5%	1	1	—
Kaito Matsuzawa	F	27	6.60	—	—	—	14	10%	—	—	—
Oumar Diouf	F	11	7.20	—	—	1	2	—	—	—	—

Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	34	10%	—	—	—
R. Sykes	D	89	6.90	—	—	—	8	5%	1	—	—
C. Burgess	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	23	13%	1	1	—
K. Mac Allister	D	12	3.00	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	1
Ousseynou Niang	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
A. Zorgane	M	90	5.90	—	—	—	29	24%	—	1	—
K. Van de Perre	M	89	7.20	—	—	—	13	8%	2	1	—
Anan Khalaili	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	20	14%	4	—	—
Anouar Ait El Hadj	F	18	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—
K. Rodríguez	F	89	6.90	1	—	2	10	2%	—	—	—
Guilherme Smith	F	90	6.30	—	—	—	14	8%	—	—	—
Massire Sylla	D	10	5.90	—	—	—	3	3%	—	1	—
Rob Schoofs	M	45	6.90	—	1	1	8	4%	—	—	—