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Pro League · Championship Group - 36 May 02, 2026 20:45
St. Truiden
#10 · 8 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Union St. Gilloise
#1 · 16 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result St. Truiden wins
O. Diouf (ast. S. Jukleroed) 86'
R. Ito 90'+10 (pen.)
90'+2 (ast. R. Schoofs) K. Rodriguez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 55% win probability (draw 19%, St. Truiden 24%). The final result was St. Truiden 2–1 Union St. Gilloise. In 4 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for Union St. Gilloise.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.77
Actual xG
0.28
0
Saves
2
77%
Possession
23%
9
Corners
1
13
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
12'
K. Mac Allister
18'
F. Leysen / A. Ait El Hadj ↕
K. Goto
33'
45'
A. Zorgane
46'
R. Schoofs / O. Niang ↕
56'
C. Burgess
↕ I. Sebaoui / K. Matsuzawa
63'
67'
K. Van De Perre
↕ R. Merlen / O. Diouf
79'
↕ J. Pupe / S. Jukleroed
85'
⚽O. Diouf · ast. S. Jukleroed
86'
90'+2
ast. R. Schoofs · K. Rodriguez⚽
90'+6
L. Patris / K. Rodriguez ↕
90'+7
M. Sylla
⚽R. Ito (pen.)
90'+10
90'
M. Sylla / R. Sykes ↕
90'
M. Fuseini / K. Van De Perre ↕
Pre-match prediction
24.73%
St. ←
19.69%
X
55.59%
Union
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 24.73% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.18
1.77
+0.59
Union
2.21
0.28
-1.93
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.28). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 6 16
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 6 15
3 Gent Gent 5 15
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 6 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 5 8
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Antwerp Antwerp 6 7
12 Lommel United Lommel United 6 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 6 7
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 6 3
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 6 1
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo L. Kokubo G 6.30
23 J. Pupe J. Pupe 85' D 6.60
26
D 7.20
5
D 7.70
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael D 6.50
6 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto M 7.20
8 A. Sissako A. Sissako M 6.90
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 79' M 7.00
13 R. Ito R. Ito 1 ⚽ M 7.30
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui 63' M 7.00
42 K. Goto K. Goto F 6.30
Bench
38 K. Matsuzawa K. Matsuzawa 27' F 6.60
77 O. Diouf O. Diouf 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.20
3 T. Hata T. Hata D
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3-4-3
37
G 6.60
26
Ross Sykes 89' D 6.90
16 C. Burgess C. Burgess D 6.70
5 K. Mac Allister K. Mac Allister 12' D 3.00
22 Ousseynou Niang Ousseynou Niang 45' M 6.60
8 A. Zorgane A. Zorgane M 5.90
6 K. Van de Perre K. Van de Perre 89' M 7.20
25 A. Khalaili A. Khalaili M 7.00
10 Anouar Ait El Hadj Anouar Ait El Hadj 18' F 6.70
13 Kevin Rodriguez Kevin Rodriguez 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.90
11 Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho F 6.30
Bench
14 I. Pavlić I. Pavlić M
29 M. Sylla M. Sylla 10' D 5.90
30 R. Florucz R. Florucz F
17 R. Schoofs R. Schoofs 1 👟 45' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
D · St.
7.70
· 99 pass
R. Ito
R. Ito
M · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 67 pass
O. Diouf
O. Diouf
F · St.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
D · St.
7.20
2 shots · 99 pass
R. Yamamoto
R. Yamamoto
M · St.
7.20
1 shots · 53 pass
K. Van de Perre
K. Van de Perre
M · Union
7.20
· 13 pass
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Kokubo G 90 6.30 — — — 17 16% — — —
J. Pupe D 85 6.60 — — — 57 51% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — 2 99 93% 3 — —
D 90 7.70 — — — 99 91% 1 — —
R. Vanwesemael D 90 6.50 — — — 58 50% — — —
R. Yamamoto M 90 7.20 — — 1 53 48% 1 — —
A. Sissako M 90 6.90 — — — 60 52% 3 — —
R. Merlen M 79 7.00 — — 3 55 49% 1 — —
R. Ito M 90 7.30 1 — 3 67 61% 1 — —
I. Sebaoui M 63 7.00 — — — 37 34% 2 — —
K. Goto F 90 6.30 — — 1 5 5% 1 1 —
K. Matsuzawa F 27 6.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
O. Diouf F 11 7.20 1 — 1 2 — — — —
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 34 10% — — —
Ross Sykes D 89 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
C. Burgess D 90 6.70 — — — 23 13% 1 1 —
K. Mac Allister D 12 3.00 — — — 4 4% — — 1
Ousseynou Niang M 45 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
A. Zorgane M 90 5.90 — — — 29 24% — 1 —
K. Van de Perre M 89 7.20 — — — 13 8% 2 1 —
A. Khalaili M 90 7.00 — — — 20 14% 4 — —
Anouar Ait El Hadj F 18 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Kevin Rodriguez F 89 6.90 1 — 2 10 2% — — —
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho F 90 6.30 — — — 14 8% — — —
M. Sylla D 10 5.90 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
R. Schoofs M 45 6.90 — 1 1 8 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
The final score was St. Truiden 2–1 Union St. Gilloise.
What did the model predict before St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model assigned 24% probability to a St. Truiden win, 19% to a draw, and 55% to an Union St. Gilloise win.