← 1. Division

Stabaek - Raufoss

1. Division May 16, 2026 16:00
Stabaek
#3 · 13 pts
vs
Raufoss
#15 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.44%
Win
Stabaek
22.04%
Draw
20.52%
Win
Raufoss
3.58
Expected xG
0.4
Model prediction
Stabaek
57.44%
Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stabaek a 57% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Raufoss. Expected goals are 3.6 for Stabaek and 0.4 for Raufoss (total 4.0), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 14.3% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Stabaek Raufoss →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% — — —
1 6.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% — —
2 12.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% — —
3 14.3% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% — —
4 12.8% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% — —
5 9.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Stabaek Stabaek
W Sandnes ULF 0–1
W Lyn 0–4
W Haugesund 3–2
D ODD Ballklubb 2–2
W Asane 4–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
Raufoss Raufoss
L Lyn 0–1
L Egersund 2–1
L ODD Ballklubb 1–0
D hodd 1–1
L Ranheim 5–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 18%
Playing profile
Stabaek Stabaek
Attack
62
Defence
76
Form
74
Raufoss Raufoss
Attack
16
Defence
51
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 ODD Ballklubb ODD Ballklubb 6 16
2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 6 14
3 Stabaek Stabaek 6 13
4 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 6 13
5 Egersund Egersund 6 12
6 Haugesund Haugesund 6 12
7 Ranheim Ranheim 5 10
8 hodd hodd 6 10
9 Moss Moss 6 9
10 Sogndal Sogndal 6 7
11 Lyn Lyn 6 6
12 Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF 6 4
13 Bryne Bryne 6 4
14 Strommen Strommen 5 4
15 Raufoss Raufoss 6 1
16 Asane Asane 6 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stabaek vs Raufoss?
The model gives Stabaek a 57% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 20% for an Raufoss win.
How many goals are expected in Stabaek vs Raufoss?
Expected goals: Stabaek 3.6, Raufoss 0.4 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Stabaek vs Raufoss?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.3%.