← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 24, 2026 20:45
Stade Brestois 29
#12 · 38 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Lens
#2 · 67 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lens, result Pareggio
D. Guindo (ast. J. Chotard) 7'
L. Tousart (ast. D. Guindo) 25'
J. Dina Ebimbe (ast. L. Ajorque) 42'
60' F. Thauvin
64' (ast. S. Abdulhamid) A. Sima
90'+4 (ast. M. Sangare) A. Saint-Maximin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 58% win probability (draw 19%, Stade Brestois 29 21%). The final result was Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lens. In 1 previous meetings, Stade Brestois 29 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lens.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
16
3
Shots on target
7
0.20
Actual xG
2.65
3
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
0
Corners
6
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Guindo · ast. J. Chotard
7'
⚽L. Tousart · ast. D. Guindo
25'
⚽J. Dina Ebimbe · ast. L. Ajorque
42'
52'
F. Thauvin / F. Sotoca ↕
53'
S. Baidoo / A. Masuaku ↕
53'
S. Abdulhamid / R. Aguilar ↕
53'
A. Saint-Maximin / W. Said ↕
56'
A. Thomasson
60'
F. Thauvin⚽
64'
ast. S. Abdulhamid · A. Sima⚽
64'
O. Edouard / A. Sima ↕
↕ J. Dina Ebimbe / M. Balde
67'
J. Dina Ebimbe
75'
↕ L. Tousart / J. M. Diaz
80'
85'
M. Sangare
↕ D. Guindo / L. Zogbe
89'
↕ R. Del Castillo / P. Mboup
89'
K. Lala
90'+4
90'+4
ast. M. Sangare · A. Saint-Maximin⚽
G. Coudert
90'+6
90'+6
A. Saint-Maximin
Pre-match prediction
21.55%
Stade
19.94%
X ←
58.51%
Lens
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stade
1.20
0.20
-1.01
Lens
2.34
2.65
+0.31
Lens dominated by xG (2.65 vs 0.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-1-4-1
30 Grégoire Coudert Grégoire Coudert G 6.30
27 Daouda Guindo Daouda Guindo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 88' D 8.20
44
S. Coulibaly D 6.20
5 Brendan Chardonnet Brendan Chardonnet D 7.20
77 Kenny Lala Kenny Lala D 6.30
13 Joris Chotard Joris Chotard 1 👟 M 7.00
7 Eric Ebimbe Eric Ebimbe 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.20
8 Hugo Magnetti Hugo Magnetti M 6.90
24 Lucas Tousart Lucas Tousart 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.20
10 Romain Del Castillo Romain Del Castillo 89' M 6.60
19 Ludovic Ajorque Ludovic Ajorque 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
4 Michel Diaz Michel Diaz 12' D 6.30
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 5.90
27 Arthur Masuaku Arthur Masuaku 53' D 5.30
20 Malang Sarr Malang Sarr D 6.70
25 Ismaelo Ganiou Ismaelo Ganiou D 5.90
14 Matthieu Udol Matthieu Udol M 6.90
28 Adrien Thomasson Adrien Thomasson M 6.00
8 Mamadou Sangare Mamadou Sangare 1 👟 M 7.20
2 Ruben Aguilar Ruben Aguilar 52' M 7.20
22 Wesley Saïd Wesley Saïd 53' F 6.50
7 Florian Sotoca Florian Sotoca 52' F 6.30
19 Abdallah Sima Abdallah Sima 1 ⚽ 64' F 6.90
Bench
9 Allan Saint-Maximin Allan Saint-Maximin 1 ⚽ 39' F 7.20
21 Amadou Haidara Amadou Haidara M
5 Andrija Bulatovic Andrija Bulatovic M
10 Florian Thauvin Florian Thauvin 1 ⚽ 40' F 7.90
11 Odsonne Édouard Odsonne Édouard 28' F 6.20
38
R. Fofana F
6 Samson Baidoo Samson Baidoo 39' D 6.30
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 1 👟 40' D 7.60
Best on the pitch
Daouda Guindo
Daouda Guindo
D · Stade
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
Florian Thauvin
Florian Thauvin
F · Lens
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid
D · Lens
7.60
1 👟
· 20 pass
Ruben Aguilar
Ruben Aguilar
M · Lens
7.20
· 47 pass
Mamadou Sangare
Mamadou Sangare
M · Lens
7.20
1 👟
3 shots · 94 pass
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin
F · Lens
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Grégoire Coudert G 92 6.30 — — — 42 23% — — —
Daouda Guindo D 88 8.20 1 1 1 29 24% — — —
S. Coulibaly D 92 6.20 — — — 21 17% — — —
Brendan Chardonnet D 92 7.20 — — — 27 23% 2 — —
Kenny Lala D 92 6.30 — — — 26 18% — — —
Joris Chotard M 92 7.00 — 1 — 36 32% 1 — —
Eric Ebimbe M 67 7.20 1 — 1 17 14% — 1 —
Hugo Magnetti M 92 6.90 — — — 34 25% — — —
Lucas Tousart M 80 7.20 1 — 1 20 12% 1 — —
Romain Del Castillo M 89 6.60 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
Ludovic Ajorque F 92 7.20 — 1 1 33 23% 4 — —
Michel Diaz D 12 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 5.90 — — — 17 17% — — —
Arthur Masuaku D 53 5.30 — — — 45 33% 1 — —
Malang Sarr D 92 6.70 — — — 51 44% — — —
Ismaelo Ganiou D 92 5.90 — — 1 82 74% — — —
Matthieu Udol M 92 6.90 — — — 37 35% 2 — —
Adrien Thomasson M 92 6.00 — — 3 50 39% 3 1 —
Mamadou Sangare M 92 7.20 — 1 3 94 79% 2 1 —
Ruben Aguilar M 52 7.20 — — — 47 44% 1 — —
Wesley Saïd F 53 6.50 — — — 22 19% — — —
Florian Sotoca F 52 6.30 — — — 31 25% — — —
Abdallah Sima F 64 6.90 1 — 6 10 9% — — —
Allan Saint-Maximin F 39 7.20 1 — 1 22 20% — — —
Florian Thauvin F 40 7.90 1 — 1 24 19% — — —
Odsonne Édouard F 28 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Samson Baidoo D 39 6.30 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
Saud Abdulhamid D 40 7.60 — 1 — 20 19% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens?
The final score was Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lens.
What did the model predict before Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Stade Brestois 29 win, 19% to a draw, and 58% to an Lens win.