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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29 May 13, 2026 19:00 Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
Stade Brestois 29
#11 · 5 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Strasbourg
#8 · 7 pts
L. Ajorque (ast. K. Lala) 13'
9' (ast. S. Nanasi) V. Barco
20' (ast. J. Enciso) S. Nanasi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Stade Brestois 29 23%). The final result was Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Stade Brestois 29 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Strasbourg.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
3.03
Actual xG
1.79
2
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
5
Corners
4
22
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
ast. S. Nanasi · V. Barco⚽
⚽L. Ajorque · ast. K. Lala
13'
20'
ast. J. Enciso · S. Nanasi⚽
↕ J. Dina Ebimbe / R. Labeau Lascary
64'
72'
S. Amo-Ameyaw / D. Moreira ↕
↕ K. Doumbia / H. Makalou
77'
↕ R. Del Castillo / P. Mboup
78'
82'
Y. Dieme / M. Godo ↕
↕ J. Chotard / L. Tousart
83'
↕ H. Magnetti / M. Balde
84'
85'
Y. Dieme
90'+2
T. Noubissie / V. Barco ↕
Pre-match prediction
23.45%
Stade
27.32%
X
49.24%
Strasbourg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg) 49.24% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stade
1.04
3.03
+1.99
Strasbourg
1.89
1.79
-0.1
Stade Brestois 29 dominated by xG (3.03 vs 1.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 5 13
2 Lyon Lyon 5 11
3 Paris FC Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille Lille 5 10
5 Rennes Rennes 5 10
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 8
7 Angers Angers 5 7
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 5 7
9 Le Mans Le Mans 5 6
10 Auxerre Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 Lorient Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse Toulouse 5 5
14 Nice Nice 5 5
15 Lens Lens 5 4
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 5 4
17 Marseille Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre Le Havre 5 2
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
30 G. Coudert G. Coudert G 7.20
27 D. Guindo D. Guindo D 6.20
4 M. Diaz M. Diaz D 6.90
71 R. Le Guen R. Le Guen D 6.90
77 K. Lala K. Lala 1 👟 D 6.60
8 H. Magnetti H. Magnetti 84' M 7.90
13 J. Chotard J. Chotard 83' M 6.90
7 J. Dina Ebimbe J. Dina Ebimbe 64' M 6.70
23 K. Doumbia K. Doumbia 77' M 5.90
10 R. Del Castillo R. Del Castillo 78' M 7.20
19 L. Ajorque L. Ajorque 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
39 Axel Lassus Axel Lassus M
33 Hamidou Makalou Hamidou Makalou 17' M 6.90
24 L. Tousart L. Tousart 11' M 6.30
12
L. Zogbe D
17 Mama Baldé Mama Baldé 10' F 6.30
50 Noah Jauny Noah Jauny G
99 P. Mboup P. Mboup 16' F 7.20
14 R. Labeau Lascary R. Labeau Lascary 30' F 6.90
29 Serigne Diop Serigne Diop F
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
39 M. Penders M. Penders G 7.90
42 A. Ouattara A. Ouattara D 6.90
24 L. Høgsberg L. Høgsberg D 7.30
2 A. Omobamidele A. Omobamidele D 6.30
22 G. Doué G. Doué D 6.70
29 S. El Mourabet S. El Mourabet M 7.20
32 V. Barco V. Barco 1 ⚽ M 6.90
20 M. Godo M. Godo 82' M 6.30
11 S. Nanasi S. Nanasi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.70
7 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 72' M 7.00
19 J. Enciso J. Enciso 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
3 B. Chilwell B. Chilwell D
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine F
1 Karl-Johan Johnsson Karl-Johan Johnsson G
17 M. Amougou M. Amougou M
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele M
83 Rafael Luis Rafael Luis M
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw S. Amo-Ameyaw 22' F 6.50
28 Tyrese Noubissie Tyrese Noubissie 2' M
34 Yaya Diémé Yaya Diémé 12' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
H. Magnetti
H. Magnetti
M · Stade
7.90
1 shots · 47 pass
M. Penders
M. Penders
G · Strasbourg
7.90
· 55 pass
L. Ajorque
L. Ajorque
F · Stade
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
S. Nanasi
S. Nanasi
M · Strasbourg
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
L. Høgsberg
L. Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.30
· 47 pass
J. Enciso
J. Enciso
F · Strasbourg
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Coudert G 94 7.20 — — — 43 26% — — —
D. Guindo D 94 6.20 — — 1 47 38% 2 — —
M. Diaz D 94 6.90 — — 2 48 46% 3 — —
R. Le Guen D 94 6.90 — — — 54 47% 3 — —
K. Lala D 94 6.60 — 1 — 51 40% — — —
H. Magnetti M 84 7.90 — — 1 47 46% 3 — —
J. Chotard M 83 6.90 — — — 46 39% 1 — —
J. Dina Ebimbe M 64 6.70 — — 1 19 13% 4 — —
K. Doumbia M 77 5.90 — — 2 24 17% 3 — —
R. Del Castillo M 78 7.20 — — 1 37 33% — — —
L. Ajorque F 94 7.90 1 — 5 20 18% 2 — —
Hamidou Makalou M 17 6.90 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
L. Tousart M 11 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Mama Baldé F 10 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
P. Mboup F 16 7.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
R. Labeau Lascary F 30 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Penders G 94 7.90 — — — 55 43% — — —
A. Ouattara D 94 6.90 — — 1 55 51% 1 — —
L. Høgsberg D 94 7.30 — — — 47 45% 1 — —
A. Omobamidele D 94 6.30 — — — 67 61% — — —
G. Doué D 94 6.70 — — — 39 29% 1 — —
S. El Mourabet M 94 7.20 — — — 50 47% 4 — —
V. Barco M 92 6.90 1 — 3 65 52% 2 — —
M. Godo M 82 6.30 — — — 23 20% — — —
S. Nanasi M 94 7.70 1 1 1 39 30% 1 — —
Diego Moreira M 72 7.00 — — 1 43 31% 2 — —
J. Enciso F 94 7.20 — 1 1 30 24% — — —
S. Amo-Ameyaw F 22 6.50 — — 1 7 7% 1 — —
Tyrese Noubissie M 2 — — — — 3 3% — — —
Yaya Diémé F 12 6.50 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Stade Brestois 29 win, 27% to a draw, and 49% to an Strasbourg win.