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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29 May 13, 2026 19:00 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Stade Brestois 29
#4 · 0 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Strasbourg
#16 · 0 pts
L. Ajorque (ast. K. Lala) 13'
9' (ast. S. Nanasi) V. Barco
20' (ast. J. Enciso) S. Nanasi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Stade Brestois 29 23%). The final result was Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Stade Brestois 29 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Strasbourg.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
3.03
Actual xG
1.79
2
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
5
Corners
4
22
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
ast. S. Nanasi · V. Barco⚽
⚽L. Ajorque · ast. K. Lala
13'
20'
ast. J. Enciso · S. Nanasi⚽
↕ J. Dina Ebimbe / R. Labeau Lascary
64'
72'
S. Amo-Ameyaw / D. Moreira ↕
↕ K. Doumbia / H. Makalou
77'
↕ R. Del Castillo / P. Mboup
78'
82'
Y. Dieme / M. Godo ↕
↕ J. Chotard / L. Tousart
83'
↕ H. Magnetti / M. Balde
84'
85'
Y. Dieme
90'+2
T. Noubissie / V. Barco ↕
Pre-match prediction
23.45%
Stade
27.32%
X
49.24%
Strasbourg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg) 49.24% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stade
1.04
3.03
+1.99
Strasbourg
1.89
1.79
-0.1
Stade Brestois 29 dominated by xG (3.03 vs 1.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Auxerre Auxerre 0 0
2 Angers Angers 0 0
3 Monaco Monaco 0 0
4 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
5 Lorient Lorient 0 0
6 Le Havre Le Havre 0 0
7 Le Mans Le Mans 0 0
8 Lille Lille 0 0
9 Nice Nice 0 0
10 Lyon Lyon 0 0
11 Marseille Marseille 0 0
12 Paris FC Paris FC 0 0
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
14 Lens Lens 0 0
15 Rennes Rennes 0 0
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 0 0
17 Toulouse Toulouse 0 0
18 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 0 0
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
30 Grégoire Coudert Grégoire Coudert G 7.20
27 Daouda Guindo Daouda Guindo D 6.20
4 Michel Diaz Michel Diaz D 6.90
71 Raphaël Le Guen Raphaël Le Guen D 6.90
77 Kenny Lala Kenny Lala 1 👟 D 6.60
8 Hugo Magnetti Hugo Magnetti 84' M 7.90
13 Joris Chotard Joris Chotard 83' M 6.90
7 Eric Ebimbe Eric Ebimbe 64' M 6.70
23 Kamory Doumbia Kamory Doumbia 77' M 5.90
10 R. Del Castillo R. Del Castillo 78' M 7.20
19 L. Ajorque L. Ajorque 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
39 Axel Lassus Axel Lassus M
33 Hamidou Makalou Hamidou Makalou 17' M 6.90
24 Lucas Tousart Lucas Tousart 11' M 6.30
12 Luc Zogbé Luc Zogbé D
17 Mama Baldé Mama Baldé 10' F 6.30
50 Noah Jauny Noah Jauny G
99 Pathé Mboup Pathé Mboup 16' F 7.20
14 Remy Labeau Lascary Remy Labeau Lascary 30' F 6.90
29 Serigne Diop Serigne Diop F
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
39 Mike Penders Mike Penders G 7.90
42 Abdoul Ouattara Abdoul Ouattara D 6.90
24 Lucas Høgsberg Lucas Høgsberg D 7.30
2 Andrew Omobamidele Andrew Omobamidele D 6.30
22 Guéla Doué Guéla Doué D 6.70
29 Samir El Mourabet Samir El Mourabet M 7.20
32 V. Barco V. Barco 1 ⚽ M 6.90
20 M. Godo M. Godo 82' M 6.30
11 S. Nanasi S. Nanasi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.70
7 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 72' M 7.00
19 J. Enciso J. Enciso 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
3 Ben Chilwell Ben Chilwell D
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine F
1 Karl-Johan Johnsson Karl-Johan Johnsson G
17 Mathis Amougou Mathis Amougou M
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele M
83 Rafael Luis Rafael Luis M
27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 22' F 6.50
28 Tyrese Noubissie Tyrese Noubissie 2' M
34 Yaya Diémé Yaya Diémé 12' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
Hugo Magnetti
Hugo Magnetti
M · Stade
7.90
1 shots · 47 pass
Mike Penders
Mike Penders
G · Strasbourg
7.90
· 55 pass
L. Ajorque
L. Ajorque
F · Stade
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
S. Nanasi
S. Nanasi
M · Strasbourg
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
Lucas Høgsberg
Lucas Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.30
· 47 pass
J. Enciso
J. Enciso
F · Strasbourg
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Grégoire Coudert G 94 7.20 — — — 43 26% — — —
Daouda Guindo D 94 6.20 — — 1 47 38% 2 — —
Michel Diaz D 94 6.90 — — 2 48 46% 3 — —
Raphaël Le Guen D 94 6.90 — — — 54 47% 3 — —
Kenny Lala D 94 6.60 — 1 — 51 40% — — —
Hugo Magnetti M 84 7.90 — — 1 47 46% 3 — —
Joris Chotard M 83 6.90 — — — 46 39% 1 — —
Eric Ebimbe M 64 6.70 — — 1 19 13% 4 — —
Kamory Doumbia M 77 5.90 — — 2 24 17% 3 — —
R. Del Castillo M 78 7.20 — — 1 37 33% — — —
L. Ajorque F 94 7.90 1 — 5 20 18% 2 — —
Hamidou Makalou M 17 6.90 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Lucas Tousart M 11 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Mama Baldé F 10 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Pathé Mboup F 16 7.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
Remy Labeau Lascary F 30 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Penders G 94 7.90 — — — 55 43% — — —
Abdoul Ouattara D 94 6.90 — — 1 55 51% 1 — —
Lucas Høgsberg D 94 7.30 — — — 47 45% 1 — —
Andrew Omobamidele D 94 6.30 — — — 67 61% — — —
Guéla Doué D 94 6.70 — — — 39 29% 1 — —
Samir El Mourabet M 94 7.20 — — — 50 47% 4 — —
V. Barco M 92 6.90 1 — 3 65 52% 2 — —
M. Godo M 82 6.30 — — — 23 20% — — —
S. Nanasi M 94 7.70 1 1 1 39 30% 1 — —
Diego Moreira M 72 7.00 — — 1 43 31% 2 — —
J. Enciso F 94 7.20 — 1 1 30 24% — — —
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F 22 6.50 — — 1 7 7% 1 — —
Tyrese Noubissie M 2 — — — — 3 3% — — —
Yaya Diémé F 12 6.50 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Stade Brestois 29 win, 27% to a draw, and 49% to an Strasbourg win.