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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2 August 29, 2026 20:45 Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
Stade Brestois 29
#7 · 5 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Toulouse
#17 · 1 pts
K. Doumbia (ast. M. Diambou) 18'
L. Ajorque (ast. H. Magnetti) 90'+5
9' (ast. Y. Gboho) J. Russell-Rowe
62' (ast. C. Casseres) C. Tape
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stade Brestois 29 a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Toulouse 33%). The final result was Stade Brestois 29 2–2 Toulouse. In 2 previous meetings, Stade Brestois 29 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.01
Actual xG
1.12
0
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
2
22
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
ast. Y. Gboho · J. Russell-Rowe⚽
⚽K. Doumbia · ast. M. Diambou
18'
B. Locko
31'
P. Mboup
44'
45'+3
C. Casseres
46'
R. Messali / I. Diallo ↕
60'
N. Schmidt / A. Vossah ↕
62'
ast. C. Casseres · C. Tape⚽
67'
S. Oppong / J. Vignolo ↕
↕ R. Del Castillo / M. Balde
67'
↕ K. Doumbia / J. Nonge
75'
↕ M. Diambou / H. Magnetti
75'
78'
S. Hidalgo / J. Russell-Rowe ↕
78'
S. Koumbassa / T. Jorgensen ↕
↕ P. Mboup / L. C. Laine M.
83'
↕ G. Lloris / L. Tousart
83'
89'
N. Schmidt
90'+4
R. Nicolaisen
⚽L. Ajorque · ast. H. Magnetti
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
33.12%
Stade
33.2%
X ←
33.68%
Toulouse
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 33.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stade
0.82
2.01
+1.19
Toulouse
1.05
1.12
+0.07
Stade Brestois 29 dominated by xG (2.01 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
1 E. Selvik E. Selvik G 6.30
2 B. Locko B. Locko D 7.00
4 G. Lloris G. Lloris 83' D 6.50
71 R. Le Guen R. Le Guen D 6.90
70 K. Lala K. Lala D 6.90
6 M. Diambou M. Diambou 1 👟 75' M 7.20
13 J. Chotard J. Chotard M 8.30
9 P. Mboup P. Mboup 83' M 5.90
23 K. Doumbia K. Doumbia 1 ⚽ 75' M 6.90
10 R. Del Castillo R. Del Castillo 67' M 6.20
19 L. Ajorque L. Ajorque 1 ⚽ F 6.20
Bench
11 A. Camblan A. Camblan M
8 H. Magnetti H. Magnetti 1 👟 19' M 6.70
7 J. Nonge Boende J. Nonge Boende 19' M 6.70
29 L. Tousart L. Tousart 11' M 6.30
20 L. Zogbe L. Zogbe D
17 Mama Baldé Mama Baldé 27' F 6.30
30 M. Patouillet M. Patouillet G
Toulouse Toulouse 4-2-3-1
16 G. Restes G. Restes G 7.20
12 C. Tapé C. Tapé 1 ⚽ D 7.90
2 R. Nicolaisen R. Nicolaisen D 7.60
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie D 7.20
94 I. Diallo I. Diallo 45' D 6.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 1 👟 M 8.90
6 A. Vossah A. Vossah 60' M 6.70
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 1 👟 M 7.00
8 T. Jørgensen T. Jørgensen 78' M 6.20
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo 67' M 6.30
13 J. Russell-Rowe J. Russell-Rowe 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.20
Bench
19 D. Odogu D. Odogu D
60 M. Niflore M. Niflore G
31 N. Schmidt N. Schmidt 34' M 6.90
22 R. Messali R. Messali 49' M 6.30
9 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 16' F 6.70
5 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa 16' D 6.70
37 Y. Azizi Y. Azizi F
Best on the pitch
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
8.90
1 👟
· 77 pass
J. Chotard
J. Chotard
M · Stade
8.30
1 shots · 66 pass
C. Tapé
C. Tapé
D · Toulouse
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 44 pass
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
D · Toulouse
7.60
· 44 pass
J. Russell-Rowe
J. Russell-Rowe
F · Toulouse
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
D · Toulouse
7.20
· 54 pass
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Selvik G 94 6.30 — — — 25 17% — — —
B. Locko D 94 7.00 — — — 38 29% 4 1 —
G. Lloris D 83 6.50 — — 1 52 47% — — —
R. Le Guen D 94 6.90 — — 1 61 57% 1 — —
K. Lala D 94 6.90 — — 1 42 32% 2 — —
M. Diambou M 75 7.20 — 1 4 34 31% 6 — —
J. Chotard M 94 8.30 — — 1 66 50% 3 — —
P. Mboup M 83 5.90 — — 2 16 12% 3 1 —
K. Doumbia M 75 6.90 1 — 2 24 23% 1 — —
R. Del Castillo M 67 6.20 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
L. Ajorque F 94 6.20 1 — — 20 15% — — —
H. Magnetti M 19 6.70 — 1 1 7 7% — — —
J. Nonge Boende M 19 6.70 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
L. Tousart M 11 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Mama Baldé F 27 6.30 — — 1 6 3% — — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Restes G 94 7.20 — — — 36 29% — — —
C. Tapé D 94 7.90 1 — 2 44 35% 2 — —
R. Nicolaisen D 94 7.60 — — — 44 44% 1 — —
M. McKenzie D 94 7.20 — — — 54 49% 1 — —
I. Diallo D 45 6.30 — — 1 18 10% 1 — —
C. Cásseres M 94 8.90 — 1 — 77 60% 6 1 —
A. Vossah M 60 6.70 — — — 24 18% 2 — —
Y. Gboho M 94 7.00 — 1 — 29 26% 1 — —
T. Jørgensen M 78 6.20 — — 1 33 24% 3 — —
Julián Vignolo M 67 6.30 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
J. Russell-Rowe F 78 7.20 1 — 1 16 14% — — —
N. Schmidt M 34 6.90 — — — 24 22% — 1 —
R. Messali M 49 6.30 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
S. Hidalgo F 16 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Koumbassa D 16 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?
The final score was Stade Brestois 29 2–2 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Stade Brestois 29 win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Toulouse win.