← Challenge League

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy - Neuchatel Xamax FC

Challenge League May 15, 2026 20:15
#5 · 47 pts
vs
#4 · 49 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light rain 7.0°C 💨 11 km/h 🌧️ 30% · Lausanne
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.1%
Win
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
22.48%
Draw
41.42%
Win
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.59
Expected xG
1.98

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Neuchatel Xamax FC a 41% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Expected goals are 1.6 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 2.0 for Neuchatel Xamax FC (total 3.6), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.8% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Neuchatel Xamax FC.

Score Matrix
↕ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Neuchatel Xamax FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 5.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.5% 8.8% 8.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.5% 7.0% 7.0% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Stade Nyonnais 1–3
W Bellinzona 5–0
D FC Vaduz 2–2
L Yverdon Sport 0–3
L FC Aarau 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 19%
W Étoile Carouge 3–0
W Rapperswil 2–3
L FC Aarau 1–3
W Bellinzona 2–1
D Yverdon Sport 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%
Playing profile
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Attack
37
Defence
57
Form
43
Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC
Attack
57
Defence
51
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FC Aarau FC Aarau 35 79
2 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 35 78
3 Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport 35 66
4 Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC 35 49
5 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 35 47
6 Rapperswil Rapperswil 35 41
7 FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900 35 40
8 Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge 35 39
9 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 35 28
10 Bellinzona Bellinzona 35 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
The model gives Stade Lausanne-Ouchy a 36% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 41% for an Neuchatel Xamax FC win.
How many goals are expected in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
Expected goals: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.6, Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.0 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.8%.