Skip to main content
← FA Cup

Stafford Rangers - Hereford

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.91%
Win
Stafford Rangers
31.91%
Draw
33.17%
Win
Hereford
1.68
Expected xG
1.38

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.51%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stafford Rangers a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Hereford. Expected goals are 1.7 for Stafford Rangers and 1.4 for Hereford (total 3.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.51% probability.

Season Stats

Stafford Rangers
1W 0D 1L
Hereford
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.7
0.5
Conceded
2.3
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 3 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Stafford Rangers
1W 0D 1L · at home
Hereford
1W 1D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.5
0.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Stafford Rangers Hereford →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7% 6.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.9% 10.9% 7.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Northampton ON Chenecks 3–0
L Lutterworth Town 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
L Hemel Hempstead Town 0–3
D Hemel Hempstead Town 2–2
W Sporting Khalsa 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Stafford Rangers Stafford Rangers
Attack
42
Defence
99
Form
68
Hereford Hereford
Attack
47
Defence
88
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stafford Rangers vs Hereford?
The model gives Stafford Rangers a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Hereford win.
How many goals are expected in Stafford Rangers vs Hereford?
Expected goals: Stafford Rangers 1.7, Hereford 1.4 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Stafford Rangers vs Hereford?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.51%.