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Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów

I Liga August 08, 2026 15:30
#6 · 4 pts
vs
#18 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.91%
Win
Stal Mielec
30.3%
Draw
29.79%
Win
Stal Rzeszów
2.74
Expected xG
1.09

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.25%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stal Mielec a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Stal Rzeszów. Expected goals are 2.7 for Stal Mielec and 1.1 for Stal Rzeszów (total 3.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.25% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Stal Mielec have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stal Rzeszów.

Season Stats

Stal Mielec
8W 2D 5L
Stal Rzeszów
2W 2D 11L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.1
1.3
Conceded
2.5
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
87%
80%
O 2.5
73%
80%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 15 matches in I Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
85%
BTTS
Stal Mielec
4W 3D 3L · at home
Stal Rzeszów
2W 3D 5L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.4
1.4
Conceded
2.3
40%
Win %
20%
70%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
80%
60%
O 3.5
50%
80%
BTTS
90%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Stal Mielec Stal Rzeszów →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.5% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Recent form

D Podbeskidzie 3–3
W Unia Skierniewice 1–2
W Polonia Bytom 4–1
W Pogoń Siedlce 1–3
D Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
L Arka Gdynia 4–0
L Chrobry Głogów 1–5
D Tychy 71 3–3
L Wieczysta Kraków 1–5
W Pogoń Siedlce 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
Attack
31
Defence
39
Form
32
Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów
Attack
17
Defence
24
Form
19
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Stal Mielec
0
Draw
1
Stal Rzeszów
11 Apr 2026 I Liga 3–1
27 Sep 2025 I Liga 2–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów?
The model gives Stal Mielec a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Stal Rzeszów win.
How many goals are expected in Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów?
Expected goals: Stal Mielec 2.7, Stal Rzeszów 1.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszów?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.25%.