Pro League
· Regular Season - 8
October 11, 2026 13:30
58'
(ast. P. Pflucke)
C. Keita
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charleroi a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Standard Liege 34%). The final result was Standard Liege 0–1 Charleroi. In 4 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Charleroi.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
1.51
Actual xG
1.61
3
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
8
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
I. Hautekiet
36'
45'
A. Boukamir
58'
ast. P. Pflucke ·
C. Keita⚽
B. Nguene
/ S. Drammeh
65'
C. Nielsen
/ A. Zeqiri
65'
71'
T. Rowe
/
P. Pflucke
77'
I. Cisse
/
A. Boukamir
77'
G. Nawata
/
F. Mbemba
D. Eckert
/ B. Nsimba
77'
R. Touzghar
/ R. Fosso
84'
A. Trouillet
/ M. Ilaimaharitra
84'
86'
M. Sow
/
J. Romsaas
G. Mortensen
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
34.4%
Standard
25.73%
X
39.87%
Charleroi ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charleroi)
39.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.68
1.51
-1.17
3.21
1.61
-1.6
xG dominance was balanced (1.51 – 1.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Epolo
G
M. Epolo
G
3
G. Mortensen
D
G. Mortensen
D
25
Ibe Hautekiet
D
Ibe Hautekiet
D
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
D
Ibrahim Karamoko
D
13
Marlon Fossey
D
Marlon Fossey
D
84
Rayan Touzghar
84'
M
Rayan Touzghar
84'
M
22
Alexis Trouillet
84'
M
Alexis Trouillet
84'
M
94
C. Nielsen
65'
M
C. Nielsen
65'
M
11
A. Abid
F
A. Abid
F
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
77'
F
D. Eckert Ayensa
77'
F
17
Bernard Nguene
65'
F
Bernard Nguene
65'
F
Bench
9
Andi Zeqiri
25'
F
Andi Zeqiri
25'
F
77
Bruny Nsimba
13'
F
Bruny Nsimba
13'
F
29
Daan Dierckx
D
Daan Dierckx
D
18
Henry Lawrence
D
Henry Lawrence
D
21
Lucas Pirard
G
Lucas Pirard
G
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
12'
M
Marco Ilaimaharitra
12'
M
80
Ryan Fosso
12'
M
Ryan Fosso
12'
M
15
Salieu Drammeh
25'
M
Salieu Drammeh
25'
M
7
Tobias Mohr
M
Tobias Mohr
M
30
Mohamed Koné
G
Mohamed Koné
G
24
Mardochee Nzita
D
Mardochee Nzita
D
95
Cheick Keita
1 ⚽
D
Cheick Keita
1 ⚽
D
4
A. Ousou
D
A. Ousou
D
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
D
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
D
18
Yassine Khalifi
M
Yassine Khalifi
M
6
Amine Boukamir
77'
M
Amine Boukamir
77'
M
20
F. Situmona Mbemba
77'
M
F. Situmona Mbemba
77'
M
8
J. Romsaas
86'
M
J. Romsaas
86'
M
14
P. Pflücke
1 👟
71'
M
P. Pflücke
1 👟
71'
M
21
Aurélien Scheidler
F
Aurélien Scheidler
F
Bench
9
Adama Bojang
F
Adama Bojang
F
25
Antoine Colassin
F
Antoine Colassin
F
13
Gaku Nawata
13'
M
Gaku Nawata
13'
M
19
Isaac Ismaël Cissé
13'
M
Isaac Ismaël Cissé
13'
M
1
Martin Delavallée
G
Martin Delavallée
G
44
Massamba Sow
10'
D
Massamba Sow
10'
D
65
Mory Kera
M
Mory Kera
M
33
Noah Solheid
D
Noah Solheid
D
2
Triston Rowe
19'
D
Triston Rowe
19'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Epolo
G · Standard
8.30
· 34 pass
P. Pflücke
M · Charleroi
8.30
1 👟
· 28 pass
Cheick Keita
D · Charleroi
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 56 pass
A. Ousou
D · Charleroi
7.90
1 shots
· 62 pass
Mohamed Koné
G · Charleroi
7.70
· 32 pass
J. Romsaas
M · Charleroi
7.30
2 shots
· 45 pass
Standard Liege — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Epolo | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| G. Mortensen | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Ibe Hautekiet | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Karamoko | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Fossey | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan Touzghar | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Trouillet | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Nielsen | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Abid | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| D. Eckert Ayensa | F | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Bernard Nguene | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Andi Zeqiri | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Bruny Nsimba | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marco Ilaimaharitra | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Salieu Drammeh | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Charleroi — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Koné | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Mardochee Nzita | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Cheick Keita | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 56 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ousou | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Kevin Van Den Kerkhof | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Yassine Khalifi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 83 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Amine Boukamir | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Situmona Mbemba | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Romsaas | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| P. Pflücke | M | 71 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Aurélien Scheidler | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gaku Nawata | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Isaac Ismaël Cissé | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Massamba Sow | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Triston Rowe | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
The final score was Standard Liege 0–1 Charleroi.
What did the model predict before Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Standard Liege win, 25% to a draw, and 39% to an Charleroi win.