The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aalesund a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Start 32%). The final result was Start 1–1 Aalesund.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
2.90
Actual xG
0.96
58%
Possession
42%
10
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
32.51%
Start
32.88%
X ←
34.61%
Aalesund
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.71
2.90
+2.19
1.47
0.96
-0.51
Start dominated by xG (2.90 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Start vs Aalesund?
The final score was Start 1–1 Aalesund.
What did the model predict before Start vs Aalesund?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Start win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Aalesund win.