Stenhousemuir - Morton
Weather at kick-off
🌦️
Light drizzle
16.0°C
💨 19 km/h
🌧️ 25%
· Stenhousemuir
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.06%
Win
Stenhousemuir
32.48%
Draw
31.45%
Win
Morton
1.39
0.4
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.93%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stenhousemuir a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Morton. Expected goals are 1.4 for Stenhousemuir and 0.4 for Morton (total 1.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.93% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Stenhousemuir have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Morton.
Season Stats
1W
3D
1L
4W
3D
8L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
20%
O 2.5
53%
80%
BTTS
53%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
0W
1D
1L
· at home
1W
1D
8L
· away
0.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.6
0%
Win %
10%
50%
Win or Draw
20%
50%
O 1.5
80%
0%
O 2.5
70%
0%
O 3.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
10%
50%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Stenhousemuir
Morton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.6% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 16.1% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Stenhousemuir
Attack
22
Defence
42
Form
31
Morton
Attack
12
Defence
30
Form
19
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
17 Jan 2026
4–0
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Livingston
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Ayr Utd
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Partick
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Raith Rovers
|
1 | 1 |
| 5 |
Stenhousemuir
|
1 | 1 |
| 6 |
Inverness CT
|
1 | 1 |
| 7 |
Dunfermline
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Morton
|
1 | 0 |
| 9 |
Queen's Park
|
1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Arbroath
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Morton?
The model gives Stenhousemuir a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Morton win.
How many goals are expected in Stenhousemuir vs Morton?
Expected goals: Stenhousemuir 1.4, Morton 0.4 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Stenhousemuir vs Morton?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.93%.