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League One · Regular Season - 44 April 18, 2026 16:00
Stevenage
#6 · 75 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Lincoln
#1 · 103 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lincoln, result Pareggio
L. Thompson (ast. C. Piergianni) 3'
J. Reid (ast. D. Kemp) 27'
17' T. Darikwa
90'+1 R. Street

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Stevenage 22%). The final result was Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln. In 1 previous meetings, Stevenage have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lincoln.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
7
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Thompson · ast. C. Piergianni
3'
17'
T. Darikwa⚽
⚽J. Reid · ast. D. Kemp
27'
44'
S. Bradley
M. Phillips
45'+2
51'
I. Varfolomeev
↕ L. Thompson / J. Houghton
56'
62'
T. Bayliss / I. Varfolomeev ↕
63'
R. Street / R. One ↕
63'
A. Lloyd / B. House ↕
78'
D. Elerewe / T. Darikwa ↕
78'
D. Jefferies / R. Towler ↕
↕ M. Phillips / B. Lubala
87'
↕ J. Reid / D. Sweeney
87'
90'+1
R. Street⚽
90'+5
R. Street
↕ S. Earley / D. Butler
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
22.09%
Stevenage
25.66%
X ←
52.25%
Lincoln
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.66% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stevenage
0.85
—
—
Lincoln
1.54
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Stevenage Stevenage 4-4-2
1
G 6.20
14 Saxon Earley Saxon Earley D 6.70
15 C. Goode C. Goode D 6.70
5 C. Piergianni C. Piergianni 1 👟 D 6.90
17 Jasper Pattenden Jasper Pattenden D 6.60
11 Jordan Roberts Jordan Roberts M 6.60
18 H. White H. White M 7.50
23 Louis Thompson Louis Thompson 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.90
10 Daniel Kemp Daniel Kemp 1 👟 M 6.90
19 J. Reid J. Reid 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.20
25 Matt Phillips Matt Phillips 87' F 5.90
Bench
6 Dan Sweeney Dan Sweeney 4' D
Lincoln Lincoln 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.00
6
R. Towler 78' D 6.30
15
S. Bradley D 6.90
22
T. Hamer D 5.90
2
T. Darikwa 1 ⚽ 77' D 7.30
14
C. McGrandles M 7.00
24
I. Varfolomeev 62' M 6.30
18
B. House 63' M 6.20
10
J. Moylan M 6.50
7 R. Hackett R. Hackett M 5.90
20
R. One 63' F 6.30
Bench
19
A. Lloyd 28' F 6.20
16
D. Jefferies 13' M 6.20
17
R. Street 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.20
8
T. Bayliss 29' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Louis Thompson
Louis Thompson
M · Stevenage
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
H. White
H. White
M · Stevenage
7.50
1 shots · 35 pass
T. Darikwa
D · Lincoln
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
R. Street
F · Lincoln
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
J. Reid
J. Reid
F · Stevenage
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
C. McGrandles
M · Lincoln
7.00
· 52 pass
Stevenage Stevenage — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 6.20 — — — 29 13% — — —
Saxon Earley D 91 6.70 — — — 25 16% 3 — —
C. Goode D 91 6.70 — — 1 16 10% — — —
C. Piergianni D 91 6.90 — 1 — 19 9% — — —
Jasper Pattenden D 91 6.60 — — — 25 16% 4 — —
Jordan Roberts M 91 6.60 — — — 21 11% 3 — —
H. White M 91 7.50 — — 1 35 26% 1 — —
Louis Thompson M 56 7.90 1 — 1 15 11% 3 — —
Daniel Kemp M 91 6.90 — 1 — 27 24% — — —
J. Reid F 87 7.20 1 — 1 10 9% — — —
Matt Phillips F 87 5.90 — — 1 13 5% — 1 —
Dan Sweeney D 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
Lincoln Lincoln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 6.00 — — — 56 27% — — —
R. Towler D 78 6.30 — — — 29 16% 3 — —
S. Bradley D 91 6.90 — — — 57 47% 2 1 —
T. Hamer D 91 5.90 — — — 50 37% — — —
T. Darikwa D 77 7.30 1 — 1 27 20% 3 — —
C. McGrandles M 91 7.00 — — — 52 40% 1 — —
I. Varfolomeev M 62 6.30 — — — 31 22% 1 1 —
B. House M 63 6.20 — — — 11 2% 1 — —
J. Moylan M 91 6.50 — — 2 23 14% 1 — —
R. Hackett M 91 5.90 — — — 26 19% 2 — —
R. One F 63 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
A. Lloyd F 28 6.20 — — — 2 — — — —
D. Jefferies M 13 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
R. Street F 28 7.20 1 — 1 3 — — — —
T. Bayliss M 29 6.90 — — 1 6 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Lincoln?
The final score was Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Stevenage win, 25% to a draw, and 52% to an Lincoln win.