League One
· Regular Season - 44
April 18, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Lincoln, result Draw
L. Thompson
(ast. C. Piergianni)
3'
J. Reid
(ast. D. Kemp)
27'
17'
T. Darikwa
90'+1
R. Street
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Stevenage 22%). The final result was Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln. In 1 previous meetings, Stevenage have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lincoln.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
7
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Thompson
· ast. C. Piergianni
3'
17'
T. Darikwa⚽
⚽J. Reid
· ast. D. Kemp
27'
44'
S. Bradley
M. Phillips
45'+2
51'
I. Varfolomeev
L. Thompson
/ J. Houghton
56'
62'
T. Bayliss
/
I. Varfolomeev
63'
R. Street
/
R. One
63'
A. Lloyd
/
B. House
78'
D. Elerewe
/
T. Darikwa
78'
D. Jefferies
/
R. Towler
M. Phillips
/ B. Lubala
87'
J. Reid
/ D. Sweeney
87'
90'+1
R. Street⚽
90'+5
R. Street
S. Earley
/ D. Butler
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
22.09%
Stevenage
25.66%
X ←
52.25%
Lincoln
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
—
—
1.54
—
—
Lineups
1
G
14
S. Earley
D
S. Earley
D
15
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
5
C. Piergianni
1 👟
D
C. Piergianni
1 👟
D
17
Jasper Pattenden
D
Jasper Pattenden
D
11
J. Roberts
M
J. Roberts
M
18
H. White
M
H. White
M
23
L. Thompson
1 ⚽
56'
M
L. Thompson
1 ⚽
56'
M
10
D. Kemp
1 👟
M
D. Kemp
1 👟
M
19
J. Reid
1 ⚽
87'
F
J. Reid
1 ⚽
87'
F
25
Matt Phillips
87'
F
Matt Phillips
87'
F
Bench
6
D. Sweeney
4'
D
D. Sweeney
4'
D
1
G
6
R. Towler
78'
D
R. Towler
78'
D
15
S. Bradley
D
S. Bradley
D
22
Tom Hamer
D
Tom Hamer
D
2
Tendayi Darikwa
1 ⚽
77'
D
Tendayi Darikwa
1 ⚽
77'
D
14
C. McGrandles
M
C. McGrandles
M
24
I. Varfolomeev
62'
M
I. Varfolomeev
62'
M
18
B. House
63'
M
B. House
63'
M
10
J. Moylan
M
J. Moylan
M
7
R. Hackett
M
R. Hackett
M
20
R. Oné
63'
F
R. Oné
63'
F
Bench
19
A. Lloyd
28'
F
A. Lloyd
28'
F
16
D. Jefferies
13'
M
D. Jefferies
13'
M
17
R. Street
1 ⚽
28'
F
R. Street
1 ⚽
28'
F
8
T. Bayliss
29'
M
T. Bayliss
29'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Thompson
M · Stevenage
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
H. White
M · Stevenage
7.50
1 shots
· 35 pass
Tendayi Darikwa
D · Lincoln
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
R. Street
F · Lincoln
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
J. Reid
F · Stevenage
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
C. McGrandles
M · Lincoln
7.00
· 52 pass
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| S. Earley | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Goode | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Roberts | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| H. White | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 56 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Kemp | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Reid | F | 87 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | F | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Sweeney | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| R. Towler | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Bradley | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tom Hamer | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | D | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| C. McGrandles | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Varfolomeev | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. House | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Moylan | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hackett | M | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Oné | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Lloyd | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Jefferies | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Street | F | 28 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Lincoln?
The final score was Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Stevenage win, 25% to a draw, and 52% to an Lincoln win.