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#13 · 9 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#16 · 8 pts
Daniel Kemp 23'
Josh Magennis 70'
75' (ast. Kasey Palmer) Mads Juel Andersen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Stevenage 33%). The final result was Stevenage 2–1 Luton. In 2 previous meetings, Stevenage have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Luton.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
1
29%
Possession
71%
2
Corners
4
21
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Daniel Phillips
4'
⚽Daniel Kemp
23'
24'
Jack Wilshere
Lewis Freestone
26'
30'
Liam Walsh
Daniel Kemp
44'
↕ Jordan Roberts / Ben Broggio
56'
58'
Kasey Palmer / Gideon kadua ↕
58'
Jake Richards / Jamie Donley ↕
66'
Nahki Wells / Callum Marshall ↕
⚽Josh Magennis
70'
75'
ast. Kasey Palmer · Mads Juel Andersen⚽
↕ O. Sanderson / Saxon Earley
76'
↕ Josh Magennis / Michael Mellon
76'
↕ Daniel Kemp / Jordan Houghton
76'
Saxon Earley
80'
84'
Tudor Mendel-Idowu / Hakeem Odofin ↕
↕ Daniel Phillips / Matthew Smith
85'
Luther Wildin
90'+3
90'+5
Mads Juel Andersen
Pre-match prediction
33.81%
Stevenage ←
28.92%
X
37.27%
Luton
we assigned to the actual result (Stevenage) 33.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stevenage
1.68
—
—
Luton
2.03
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bradford Bradford 7 15
2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 7 14
3 Stockport County Stockport County 8 13
4 Plymouth Plymouth 8 13
5 Cambridge United Cambridge United 8 13
6 Huddersfield Huddersfield 7 12
7 Burton Albion Burton Albion 8 12
8 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 8 12
9 Reading Reading 7 11
10 Oxford United Oxford United 6 11
11 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 7 10
12 Wycombe Wycombe 8 10
13 Stevenage Stevenage 7 9
14 Leicester Leicester 7 9
15 Blackpool Blackpool 7 8
16 Luton Luton 7 8
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 7 8
18 Barnsley Barnsley 7 8
19 Bromley Bromley 7 8
20 Notts County Notts County 7 7
21 Doncaster Doncaster 7 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 7 6
23 Peterborough Peterborough 8 5
24 Wigan Wigan 7 4
Lineups
Stevenage Stevenage 4-4-1-1
1 T. Setford T. Setford G 6.03
6 L. Freestone L. Freestone D 5.93
5 C. Piergianni C. Piergianni D 7.02
15 T. Vancooten T. Vancooten D 6.44
2 L. James-Wildin L. James-Wildin D 6.45
11 J. Roberts J. Roberts 56' M 6.45
23 L. Thompson L. Thompson M 6.23
8 D. Phillips D. Phillips 85' M 6.19
18 O. Sanderson O. Sanderson 76' M 6.14
10 D. Kemp D. Kemp 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.41
9 J. Magennis J. Magennis 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.69
Bench
27 B. Broggio B. Broggio 34' F 6.74
12 D. Barden D. Barden G 0.00
4 J. Houghton J. Houghton 14' M 6.42
16 K. Casey K. Casey D 0.00
28 M. Mellon M. Mellon 14' F 6.31
24 M. Smith M. Smith 5' M 5.85
14 S. Earley S. Earley 14' D 5.89
Luton Luton 4-1-4-1
24 Joshua Keeley Joshua Keeley G 6.41
12 J. Johnson J. Johnson D 5.96
6 G. Johnston G. Johnston D 6.14
5 M. Andersen M. Andersen 1 ⚽ D 7.48
2 H. Odoffin H. Odoffin 84' D 6.51
8 L. Walsh L. Walsh M 7.20
30 G. Kodua G. Kodua 58' M 6.33
16 Daniel Gore Daniel Gore M 6.47
10 J. Donley J. Donley 58' M 6.00
25 I. Jones I. Jones M 6.23
9 C. Marshall C. Marshall 66' F 6.29
Bench
22 H. Fox H. Fox M 0.00
7 J. Richards J. Richards 32' M 5.86
1 J. Shea J. Shea G 0.00
3 K. Naismith K. Naismith D 0.00
45 K. Palmer K. Palmer 1 👟 32' M 6.67
21 N. Wells N. Wells 24' F 6.38
17 T. Mendel-Idowu T. Mendel-Idowu 6' F 6.63
Best on the pitch
J. Magennis
J. Magennis
F · Stevenage
7.69
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
M. Andersen
M. Andersen
D · Luton
7.48
1 ⚽
1 shots · 89 pass
D. Kemp
D. Kemp
M · Stevenage
7.41
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
M · Luton
7.20
· 99 pass
C. Piergianni
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.02
1 shots · 23 pass
B. Broggio
B. Broggio
F · Stevenage
6.74
1 shots · 5 pass
Stevenage Stevenage — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Setford G 90 6.03 — — 0 24 10% 0 — —
L. Freestone D 90 5.93 — — 1 22 14% 0 1 —
C. Piergianni D 90 7.02 — — 1 23 23% 2 — —
T. Vancooten D 90 6.44 — — 0 28 20% 2 — —
L. James-Wildin D 90 6.45 — — 0 37 27% 2 1 —
J. Roberts M 56 6.45 — — 0 14 8% 4 — —
L. Thompson M 90 6.23 — — 0 30 22% 2 — —
D. Phillips M 85 6.19 — — 0 25 17% 4 1 —
O. Sanderson M 76 6.14 — — 0 17 11% 2 — —
D. Kemp M 76 7.41 1 — 3 18 16% 0 1 —
J. Magennis F 76 7.69 1 — 2 4 2% 0 — —
B. Broggio F 34 6.74 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
J. Houghton M 14 6.42 — — 1 2 0% 2 — —
M. Mellon F 14 6.31 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
M. Smith M 5 5.85 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
S. Earley D 14 5.89 — — 0 4 1% 0 1 —
Luton Luton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joshua Keeley G 90 6.41 — — 0 20 19% 0 — —
J. Johnson D 90 5.96 — — 0 44 34% 4 — —
G. Johnston D 90 6.14 — — 0 116 97% 2 — —
M. Andersen D 90 7.48 1 — 1 89 81% 1 1 —
H. Odoffin D 84 6.51 — — 1 48 38% 2 — —
L. Walsh M 90 7.20 — — 0 99 94% 2 1 —
G. Kodua M 58 6.33 — — 1 18 15% 0 — —
Daniel Gore M 90 6.47 — — 0 75 71% 0 — —
J. Donley M 58 6.00 — — 2 16 10% 0 — —
I. Jones M 90 6.23 — — 0 40 33% 1 — —
C. Marshall F 66 6.29 — — 3 12 10% 1 — —
J. Richards M 32 5.86 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
K. Palmer M 32 6.67 — 1 2 15 10% 0 — —
N. Wells F 24 6.38 — — 0 8 6% 1 — —
T. Mendel-Idowu F 6 6.63 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Luton?
The final score was Stevenage 2–1 Luton.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Luton?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Stevenage win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Luton win.