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League One · Regular Season - 13 October 24, 2026 16:00 Broadhall Way, Stevenage
Stevenage
#13 · 15 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Milton Keynes Dons
#14 · 15 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Stevenage, result Milton Keynes Dons wins
81' (ast. Aaron Collins) Sam Nombe
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stevenage a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Milton Keynes Dons 21%). The final result was Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
4
0.53
Actual xG
1.96
3
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
9
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
Alex Gilbey
Josh Magennis
9'
25'
Aaron Collins
Carl Piergianni
35'
44'
Jack Sanders
↕ Luther Wildin / Kaelan Casey
62'
↕ Ben Broggio / O. Sanderson
63'
81'
ast. Aaron Collins · Sam Nombe⚽
82'
Ben Wiles / Dan Crowley ↕
82'
Callum Paterson / Sam Nombe ↕
↕ Daniel Phillips / Terry·Taylor
84'
↕ Michael Mellon / Phoenix Patterson
85'
90'+4
Gethin Jones / Samuel Silvera ↕
90'+4
ibrahim fullah / Aaron Collins ↕
↕ Daniel Kemp / Chem Campbell
90'
Pre-match prediction
50.22%
Stevenage
28.27%
X
21.51%
Milton ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Milton Keynes Dons) 21.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stevenage
1.42
0.53
-0.89
Milton
0.49
1.96
+1.47
Milton Keynes Dons dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.53). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Stevenage Stevenage 4-4-1-1
1 T. Setford T. Setford G 6.17
14 S. Earley S. Earley D 6.61
5 C. Piergianni C. Piergianni D 6.07
15 T. Vancooten T. Vancooten D 6.29
2 L. James-Wildin L. James-Wildin 62' D 6.12
27 B. Broggio B. Broggio 63' M 6.29
8 D. Phillips D. Phillips 84' M 6.42
23 L. Thompson L. Thompson M 6.44
10 D. Kemp D. Kemp 89' M 6.96
28 M. Mellon M. Mellon 85' M 6.46
9 J. Magennis J. Magennis F 6.05
Bench
20 C. Campbell C. Campbell 1' M 0.00
12 D. Barden D. Barden G 0.00
16 K. Casey K. Casey 28' D 6.70
18 O. Sanderson O. Sanderson 27' F 6.75
44 P. Patterson P. Patterson 5' F 6.24
7 T. Taylor T. Taylor 6' M 6.45
19 T. Turhan T. Turhan F 0.00
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
23 W. Dennis W. Dennis G 6.72
32 J. Sanders J. Sanders D 6.24
5 C. Goode C. Goode D 7.88
21 M. Ekpiteta M. Ekpiteta D 6.86
24 R. Wintle R. Wintle M 6.25
20 Elijah Xavier Campbell Elijah Xavier Campbell M 6.14
8 A. Gilbey A. Gilbey M 6.29
7 D. Crowley D. Crowley 82' M 6.75
17 S. Silvera S. Silvera 89' M 7.01
10 A. Collins A. Collins 1 👟 89' F 7.24
9 S. Nombe S. Nombe 1 ⚽ 82' F 8.05
Bench
26 B. Wiles B. Wiles 8' F 6.46
15 C. Bramall C. Bramall D 0.00
13 C. Paterson C. Paterson 8' F 6.58
4 D. Barlaser D. Barlaser M 0.00
2 G. Jones G. Jones 1' D 0.00
22 I. Fullah I. Fullah 1' M 0.00
51 S. Stacey S. Stacey G 0.00
Best on the pitch
S. Nombe
S. Nombe
F · Milton
8.05
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
C. Goode
C. Goode
D · Milton
7.88
4 shots · 14 pass
A. Collins
A. Collins
F · Milton
7.24
1 👟
2 shots · 7 pass
S. Silvera
S. Silvera
M · Milton
7.01
· 25 pass
D. Kemp
D. Kemp
M · Stevenage
6.96
1 shots · 21 pass
M. Ekpiteta
M. Ekpiteta
D · Milton
6.86
· 13 pass
Stevenage Stevenage — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Setford G 90 6.17 — — 0 28 8% 0 — —
S. Earley D 90 6.61 — — 0 36 28% 1 — —
C. Piergianni D 90 6.07 — — 0 38 25% 2 1 —
T. Vancooten D 90 6.29 — — 1 29 20% 0 — —
L. James-Wildin D 62 6.12 — — 0 26 18% 1 — —
B. Broggio M 63 6.29 — — 2 19 15% 0 — —
D. Phillips M 84 6.42 — — 1 35 28% 1 — —
L. Thompson M 90 6.44 — — 1 44 37% 4 — —
D. Kemp M 89 6.96 — — 1 21 18% 0 — —
M. Mellon M 85 6.46 — — 2 13 6% 0 — —
J. Magennis F 90 6.05 — — 1 12 10% 0 1 —
C. Campbell M 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
K. Casey D 28 6.70 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
O. Sanderson F 27 6.75 — — 1 8 2% 0 — —
P. Patterson F 5 6.24 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Taylor M 6 6.45 — — 0 8 6% 1 — —
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Dennis G 90 6.72 — — 0 28 7% 0 — —
J. Sanders D 90 6.24 — — 1 20 9% 2 1 —
C. Goode D 90 7.88 — — 4 14 8% 1 — —
M. Ekpiteta D 90 6.86 — — 0 13 8% 1 — —
R. Wintle M 90 6.25 — — 1 26 11% 0 — —
Elijah Xavier Campbell M 90 6.14 — — 0 20 8% 1 — —
A. Gilbey M 90 6.29 — — 0 26 15% 2 1 —
D. Crowley M 82 6.75 — — 0 27 19% 3 — —
S. Silvera M 89 7.01 — — 0 25 19% 2 — —
A. Collins F 89 7.24 — 1 2 7 3% 2 1 —
S. Nombe F 82 8.05 1 — 3 10 7% 0 — —
B. Wiles F 8 6.46 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
C. Paterson F 8 6.58 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
G. Jones D 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
I. Fullah M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The final score was Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Stevenage win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Milton Keynes Dons win.