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League One · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 16:00
Stevenage
#5 · 9 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Oxford United
#11 · 7 pts
J. Roberts 90'+8
67' (ast. S. Mills) G. O'Donkor
(pen.) 87' C. Brannagan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Stevenage 32%). The final result was Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
0.82
Actual xG
0.37
3
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
S. Eastwood / J. Cumming ↕
15'
M. Helik
↕ J. Pattenden / J. Houghton
33'
L. Freestone
56'
60'
C. Brannagan
65'
G. O'Donkor / L. Sibley ↕
65'
S. Mills / S. Dembele ↕
67'
ast. S. Mills · G. O'Donkor⚽
↕ L. Thompson / T. Taylor
72'
↕ S. Earley / P. Patterson
72'
76'
M. Harris
↕ D. Phillips / J. Roberts
80'
↕ J. Reid / O. Sanderson
80'
87'
(pen.) C. Brannagan⚽
88'
T. Goodrham / M. Harris ↕
88'
B. Spencer / J. Currie ↕
90'+5
S. Mills
⚽J. Roberts
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
32.72%
Stevenage
31.77%
X
35.52%
Oxford ←
we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 35.52% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stevenage
1.01
0.82
-0.19
Oxford
2.89
0.37
-2.52
Stevenage dominated by xG (0.82 vs 0.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 5 12
2 Bradford Bradford 6 12
3 Huddersfield Huddersfield 5 11
4 Stockport County Stockport County 5 9
5 Stevenage Stevenage 6 9
6 Burton Albion Burton Albion 5 8
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 5 8
8 Luton Luton 6 8
9 Reading Reading 4 7
10 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 6 7
11 Oxford United Oxford United 4 7
12 Blackpool Blackpool 5 7
13 Notts County Notts County 6 7
14 Plymouth Plymouth 5 7
15 Barnsley Barnsley 5 7
16 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 5 7
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 5 6
18 Wycombe Wycombe 6 6
19 Leicester Leicester 5 5
20 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 5 4
21 Peterborough Peterborough 5 4
22 Bromley Bromley 5 4
23 Doncaster Doncaster 5 3
24 Wigan Wigan 5 3
Lineups
Stevenage Stevenage 3-4-1-2
1 F. Marschall F. Marschall 66' G 6.90
6 L. Freestone L. Freestone 66' D 6.90
5 C. Piergianni C. Piergianni 66' D 7.00
15 T. Vancooten T. Vancooten 66' D 6.90
14 S. Earley S. Earley 66' M 7.30
8 D. Phillips D. Phillips 66' M 6.90
23 L. Thompson L. Thompson 66' M 6.90
17 Jasper Pattenden Jasper Pattenden 33' M 6.30
10 D. Kemp D. Kemp 66' F 6.30
9 J. Magennis J. Magennis 66' F 6.20
19 J. Reid J. Reid 66' F 6.70
Bench
12 D. Barden D. Barden G
22 Jack Taylor Jack Taylor D
4 J. Houghton J. Houghton 33' M 7.00
11 J. Roberts J. Roberts 1 ⚽ F
18 O. Sanderson O. Sanderson F
44 P. Patterson P. Patterson F
7 T. Taylor T. Taylor M
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1 J. Cumming J. Cumming 9' G 6.70
26 J. Currie J. Currie 66' D 7.30
3 C. Brown C. Brown 66' D 7.30
6 M. Helik M. Helik 66' D 6.70
30 P. Kioso P. Kioso 66' D 7.20
8 C. Brannagan C. Brannagan 1 ⚽ 66' M 6.60
18 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell 66' M 6.30
23 S. Dembélé S. Dembélé 65' M 6.70
32 L. Sibley L. Sibley 65' M 7.20
10 Aidomo Emakhu Aidomo Emakhu 66' M 6.30
9 M. Harris M. Harris 66' F 6.50
Bench
15 B. Spencer B. Spencer D
19 G. O'Donkor G. O'Donkor 1 ⚽ 1' F
57 M. Missanga M. Missanga F
13 S. Eastwood S. Eastwood 57' G 6.70
2 S. Long S. Long D
17 S. Mills S. Mills 1 👟 1' M
11 T. Goodrham T. Goodrham F
Best on the pitch
S. Earley
S. Earley
M · Stevenage
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
C. Brown
C. Brown
D · Oxford
7.30
· 40 pass
J. Currie
J. Currie
D · Oxford
7.30
· 30 pass
L. Sibley
L. Sibley
M · Oxford
7.20
2 shots · 16 pass
P. Kioso
P. Kioso
D · Oxford
7.20
2 shots · 26 pass
J. Houghton
J. Houghton
M · Stevenage
7.00
· 17 pass
Stevenage Stevenage — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Marschall G 66 6.90 — — — 23 6% — — —
L. Freestone D 66 6.90 — — 2 23 16% 1 1 —
C. Piergianni D 66 7.00 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
T. Vancooten D 66 6.90 — — — 20 10% 1 — —
S. Earley M 66 7.30 — — 1 23 14% 1 — —
D. Phillips M 66 6.90 — — — 17 14% 4 — —
L. Thompson M 66 6.90 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Jasper Pattenden M 33 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
D. Kemp F 66 6.30 — — 3 14 12% 1 — —
J. Magennis F 66 6.20 — — 1 8 3% 1 — —
J. Reid F 66 6.70 — — 1 7 5% — — —
J. Houghton M 33 7.00 — — — 17 11% 2 — —
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Cumming G 9 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Currie D 66 7.30 — — — 30 21% 2 — —
C. Brown D 66 7.30 — — — 40 30% 1 — —
M. Helik D 66 6.70 — — — 26 22% — 1 —
P. Kioso D 66 7.20 — — 2 26 20% 3 — —
C. Brannagan M 66 6.60 1 — 1 31 27% — 1 —
Jamie Carson McDonnell M 66 6.30 — — — 30 19% 2 — —
S. Dembélé M 65 6.70 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
L. Sibley M 65 7.20 — — 2 16 10% 1 — —
Aidomo Emakhu M 66 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
M. Harris F 66 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
G. O'Donkor F 1 — 1 — — — — — — —
S. Eastwood G 57 6.70 — — — 27 15% — — —
S. Mills M 1 — — 1 — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Oxford United?
The final score was Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Oxford United?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Stevenage win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Oxford United win.