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League One · Regular Season - 2 August 22, 2026 16:00 Broadhall Way, Stevenage
Stevenage
#13 · 15 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Oxford United
#3 · 22 pts
J. Roberts 90'+8
67' (ast. S. Mills) G. O'Donkor
(pen.) 87' C. Brannagan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Stevenage 32%). The final result was Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
0.82
Actual xG
0.37
3
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
S. Eastwood / J. Cumming ↕
15'
M. Helik
↕ J. Pattenden / J. Houghton
33'
L. Freestone
56'
60'
C. Brannagan
65'
G. O'Donkor / L. Sibley ↕
65'
S. Mills / S. Dembele ↕
67'
ast. S. Mills · G. O'Donkor⚽
↕ L. Thompson / T. Taylor
72'
↕ S. Earley / P. Patterson
72'
76'
M. Harris
↕ D. Phillips / J. Roberts
80'
↕ J. Reid / O. Sanderson
80'
87'
(pen.) C. Brannagan⚽
88'
T. Goodrham / M. Harris ↕
88'
B. Spencer / J. Currie ↕
90'+5
S. Mills
⚽J. Roberts
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
32.72%
Stevenage
31.77%
X
35.52%
Oxford ←
we assigned to the actual result (Oxford United) 35.52% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stevenage
1.01
0.82
-0.19
Oxford
2.89
0.37
-2.52
Stevenage dominated by xG (0.82 vs 0.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Stevenage Stevenage 3-4-1-2
1 F. Marschall F. Marschall 66' G 6.90
6 L. Freestone L. Freestone 66' D 6.90
5 C. Piergianni C. Piergianni 66' D 7.00
15 T. Vancooten T. Vancooten 66' D 6.90
14 S. Earley S. Earley 66' M 7.30
8 D. Phillips D. Phillips 66' M 6.90
23 L. Thompson L. Thompson 66' M 6.90
17 Jasper Pattenden Jasper Pattenden 33' M 6.30
10 D. Kemp D. Kemp 66' F 6.30
9 J. Magennis J. Magennis 66' F 6.20
19 J. Reid J. Reid 66' F 6.70
Bench
12 D. Barden D. Barden G
22 Jack Taylor Jack Taylor D
4 J. Houghton J. Houghton 33' M 7.00
11 J. Roberts J. Roberts 1 ⚽ F
18 O. Sanderson O. Sanderson F
44 P. Patterson P. Patterson F
7 T. Taylor T. Taylor M
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1 J. Cumming J. Cumming 9' G 6.70
26 J. Currie J. Currie 66' D 7.30
3 C. Brown C. Brown 66' D 7.30
6 M. Helik M. Helik 66' D 6.70
30 P. Kioso P. Kioso 66' D 7.20
8 C. Brannagan C. Brannagan 1 ⚽ 66' M 6.60
18 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell 66' M 6.30
23 S. Dembélé S. Dembélé 65' M 6.70
32 L. Sibley L. Sibley 65' M 7.20
10 A. Emakhu A. Emakhu 66' M 6.30
9 M. Harris M. Harris 66' F 6.50
Bench
15 B. Spencer B. Spencer D
19 G. O'Donkor G. O'Donkor 1 ⚽ 1' F
57 M. Missanga M. Missanga F
13 S. Eastwood S. Eastwood 57' G 6.70
2 S. Long S. Long D
17 S. Mills S. Mills 1 👟 1' M
11 T. Goodrham T. Goodrham F
Best on the pitch
S. Earley
S. Earley
M · Stevenage
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
C. Brown
C. Brown
D · Oxford
7.30
· 40 pass
J. Currie
J. Currie
D · Oxford
7.30
· 30 pass
L. Sibley
L. Sibley
M · Oxford
7.20
2 shots · 16 pass
P. Kioso
P. Kioso
D · Oxford
7.20
2 shots · 26 pass
J. Houghton
J. Houghton
M · Stevenage
7.00
· 17 pass
Stevenage Stevenage — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Marschall G 66 6.90 — — — 23 6% — — —
L. Freestone D 66 6.90 — — 2 23 16% 1 1 —
C. Piergianni D 66 7.00 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
T. Vancooten D 66 6.90 — — — 20 10% 1 — —
S. Earley M 66 7.30 — — 1 23 14% 1 — —
D. Phillips M 66 6.90 — — — 17 14% 4 — —
L. Thompson M 66 6.90 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Jasper Pattenden M 33 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
D. Kemp F 66 6.30 — — 3 14 12% 1 — —
J. Magennis F 66 6.20 — — 1 8 3% 1 — —
J. Reid F 66 6.70 — — 1 7 5% — — —
J. Houghton M 33 7.00 — — — 17 11% 2 — —
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Cumming G 9 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Currie D 66 7.30 — — — 30 21% 2 — —
C. Brown D 66 7.30 — — — 40 30% 1 — —
M. Helik D 66 6.70 — — — 26 22% — 1 —
P. Kioso D 66 7.20 — — 2 26 20% 3 — —
C. Brannagan M 66 6.60 1 — 1 31 27% — 1 —
Jamie Carson McDonnell M 66 6.30 — — — 30 19% 2 — —
S. Dembélé M 65 6.70 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
L. Sibley M 65 7.20 — — 2 16 10% 1 — —
A. Emakhu M 66 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
M. Harris F 66 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
G. O'Donkor F 1 — 1 — — — — — — —
S. Eastwood G 57 6.70 — — — 27 15% — — —
S. Mills M 1 — — 1 — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Oxford United?
The final score was Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Oxford United?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Stevenage win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Oxford United win.