Michael Mellon
(ast. Josh Magennis)
19'
Josh Magennis
27'
Phoenix Patterson
(ast. Daniel Kemp)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stevenage a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Plymouth 34%). The final result was Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth. In 2 previous meetings, Stevenage have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Plymouth.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
1
1.32
Actual xG
0.97
1
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
5
10
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
Ronan Curtis
Louis Thompson
7'
⚽Michael Mellon
· ast. Josh Magennis
19'
⚽Josh Magennis
27'
Alex Revell
33'
45'
Xavier Amaechi
/
Ronan Curtis
45'
Caleb Watts
/
Oliver Irow
Ben Broggio
/ Phoenix Patterson
64'
Michael Mellon
/ O. Sanderson
64'
Louis Thompson
/ Terry·Taylor
74'
76'
Matthew Sorinola
/
Joe Edwards
76'
Bradley Ibrahim
/
Tyreeq Bakinson
⚽Phoenix Patterson
· ast. Daniel Kemp
83'
87'
Julio Pleguezuelo
/
Alex·Hartridge
Pre-match prediction
34.92%
Stevenage ←
30.41%
X
34.67%
Plymouth
we assigned to the actual result (Stevenage)
34.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.32
+0.3
1.05
0.97
-0.08
Stevenage dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
T. Setford
G
T. Setford
G
14
S. Earley
D
S. Earley
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
15
T. Vancooten
D
T. Vancooten
D
2
L. James-Wildin
D
L. James-Wildin
D
27
B. Broggio
64'
M
B. Broggio
64'
M
8
D. Phillips
M
D. Phillips
M
23
L. Thompson
74'
M
L. Thompson
74'
M
28
M. Mellon
1 ⚽
64'
M
M. Mellon
1 ⚽
64'
M
10
D. Kemp
1 👟
M
D. Kemp
1 👟
M
9
J. Magennis
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
J. Magennis
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
20
C. Campbell
M
C. Campbell
M
12
D. Barden
G
D. Barden
G
16
K. Casey
D
K. Casey
D
18
O. Sanderson
26'
F
O. Sanderson
26'
F
44
P. Patterson
1 ⚽
26'
F
P. Patterson
1 ⚽
26'
F
4
T. Taylor
16'
M
T. Taylor
16'
M
19
T. Turhan
F
T. Turhan
F
1
M. Mahoney
G
M. Mahoney
G
45
W. Harding
D
W. Harding
D
22
A. Hartridge
87'
D
A. Hartridge
87'
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
A. Mitchell
D
8
J. Edwards
76'
D
J. Edwards
76'
D
14
O. Irow
45'
M
O. Irow
45'
M
7
H. White
M
H. White
M
19
T. Bakinson
76'
M
T. Bakinson
76'
M
11
R. Curtis
45'
M
R. Curtis
45'
M
27
A. Pepple
F
A. Pepple
F
9
W. Evans
F
W. Evans
F
Bench
23
B. Ibrahim
14'
M
B. Ibrahim
14'
M
17
C. Watts
45'
M
C. Watts
45'
M
21
James Storer
G
James Storer
G
5
Julio Pleguezuelo
3'
D
Julio Pleguezuelo
3'
D
29
M. Sorinola
14'
D
M. Sorinola
14'
D
10
X. Amaechi
45'
F
X. Amaechi
45'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Magennis
F · Stevenage
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 21 pass
M. Mellon
M · Stevenage
8.09
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
D. Kemp
M · Stevenage
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 31 pass
P. Patterson
F · Stevenage
7.66
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.32
1 shots
· 39 pass
T. Vancooten
D · Stevenage
7.25
1 shots
· 33 pass
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Setford | G | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Earley | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Vancooten | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| L. James-Wildin | D | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Broggio | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Phillips | M | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Mellon | M | 64 | 8.09 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kemp | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 31 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Magennis | F | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Sanderson | F | 26 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Patterson | F | 26 | 7.66 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Taylor | M | 16 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mahoney | G | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Harding | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hartridge | D | 87 | 5.29 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mitchell | D | 90 | 5.51 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 76 | 5.73 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Irow | M | 45 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| H. White | M | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Bakinson | M | 76 | 5.68 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Curtis | M | 45 | 5.59 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Pepple | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Evans | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Ibrahim | M | 14 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Watts | M | 45 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Julio Pleguezuelo | D | 3 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sorinola | D | 14 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Amaechi | F | 45 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Plymouth?
The final score was Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Plymouth?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Stevenage win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Plymouth win.