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Stevenage - Reading

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 16:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.72%
Win
Stevenage
32.0%
Draw
38.27%
Win
Reading
0.62
Expected xG
1.21

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.49%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 32%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 70%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 44%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Reading a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Stevenage. Expected goals are 0.6 for Stevenage and 1.2 for Reading (total 1.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.49% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Stevenage have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Reading.

Season Stats

Stevenage
1W 0D 1L
Reading
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
2.0
Conceded
1.2
3.5
Shots OT
4.8
2.5
Corners
5.5
50%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 4 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Stevenage Reading →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0% 19.4% 11.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.0% 12.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5

Recent form

W Wycombe 1–2
L Charlton 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
D Bromley 1–1
L Wrexham 2–0
W AFC Wimbledon 2–1
W Portsmouth 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Stevenage Stevenage
Attack
21
Defence
75
Form
56
Reading Reading
Attack
45
Defence
87
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stevenage vs Reading?
The model gives Stevenage a 29% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 38% for an Reading win.
How many goals are expected in Stevenage vs Reading?
Expected goals: Stevenage 0.6, Reading 1.2 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Stevenage vs Reading?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.49%.