Wanya Marcal
(ast. Josh Magennis)
60'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stevenage a 39% win probability (draw 33%, Wigan 26%). The final result was Stevenage 1–0 Wigan. In 2 previous meetings, Stevenage have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wigan.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
1.92
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
5
40%
Possession
60%
2
Corners
7
17
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
28'
Finley Burns
53'
Charlie Gray
⚽Wanya Marcal
· ast. Josh Magennis
60'
64'
Fraser Murray
/
Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
64'
Reggie Walsh
/
Bradley Burrowes
O. Sanderson
/ Ben Broggio
66'
Matthew Smith
/ Louis Thompson
66'
69'
Reggie Walsh
Wanya Marcal
/ Phoenix Patterson
79'
Josh Magennis
/ Michael Mellon
79'
85'
Archie Harris
/
Jensen Weir
85'
Sonny Tufail Perkins
/
Jon Mellish
90'+4
James Carragher
Pre-match prediction
39.71%
Stevenage ←
33.54%
X
26.75%
Wigan
we assigned to the actual result (Stevenage)
39.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
1.92
+0.81
0.64
0.24
-0.4
Stevenage dominated by xG (1.92 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Setford
G
T. Setford
G
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
2
L. James-Wildin
D
L. James-Wildin
D
15
T. Vancooten
D
T. Vancooten
D
14
S. Earley
M
S. Earley
M
24
M. Smith
66'
M
M. Smith
66'
M
8
D. Phillips
M
D. Phillips
M
25
Wanya Marçal
1 ⚽
79'
M
Wanya Marçal
1 ⚽
79'
M
10
D. Kemp
M
D. Kemp
M
9
J. Magennis
1 👟
79'
F
J. Magennis
1 👟
79'
F
18
O. Sanderson
66'
F
O. Sanderson
66'
F
Bench
27
B. Broggio
24'
F
B. Broggio
24'
F
12
D. Barden
G
D. Barden
G
4
J. Houghton
M
J. Houghton
M
16
K. Casey
D
K. Casey
D
23
L. Thompson
24'
M
L. Thompson
24'
M
28
M. Mellon
11'
F
M. Mellon
11'
F
44
P. Patterson
11'
F
P. Patterson
11'
F
41
J. Whitworth
G
J. Whitworth
G
4
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
64'
D
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
64'
D
5
F. Burns
D
F. Burns
D
23
J. Carragher
D
J. Carragher
D
22
J. Mellish
85'
M
J. Mellish
85'
M
8
M. Power
M
M. Power
M
18
Charlie Gray
M
Charlie Gray
M
2
C. Barrett
M
C. Barrett
M
27
B. Burrows
64'
M
B. Burrows
64'
M
6
J. Weir
85'
M
J. Weir
85'
M
25
S. Hogan
F
S. Hogan
F
Bench
16
Archie Harris
5'
D
38
C. Saydee
F
C. Saydee
F
7
F. Murray
26'
M
F. Murray
26'
M
1
J. Walsh
G
J. Walsh
G
21
K'Marni Miller
D
K'Marni Miller
D
10
R. Walsh
26'
M
R. Walsh
26'
M
9
S. Perkins
5'
F
S. Perkins
5'
F
Best on the pitch
Wanya Marçal
M · Stevenage
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
J. Whitworth
G · Wigan
7.63
· 46 pass
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.12
1 shots
· 43 pass
J. Magennis
F · Stevenage
7.06
1 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
S. Earley
M · Stevenage
6.99
· 29 pass
T. Vancooten
D · Stevenage
6.95
· 41 pass
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Setford | G | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| L. James-Wildin | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Vancooten | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Earley | M | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Smith | M | 66 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Phillips | M | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Wanya Marçal | M | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Kemp | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Magennis | F | 79 | 7.06 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Sanderson | F | 66 | 6.33 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Broggio | F | 24 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 24 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Mellon | F | 11 | 6.76 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Patterson | F | 11 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Wigan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Whitworth | G | 90 | 7.63 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Chilokoa-Mullen | D | 64 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Burns | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 81 | 72% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Carragher | D | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Mellish | M | 85 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Power | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Charlie Gray | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| C. Barrett | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Burrows | M | 64 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Weir | M | 85 | 6.17 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Hogan | F | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Archie Harris | D | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Murray | M | 26 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Walsh | M | 26 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Perkins | F | 5 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Wigan?
The final score was Stevenage 1–0 Wigan.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Wigan?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Stevenage win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Wigan win.