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Stjarnan - IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Úrvalsdeild September 13, 2026 16:00
#7 · 28 pts
vs
#12 · 18 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.86%
Win
Stjarnan
20.81%
Draw
17.34%
Win
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.89
Expected xG
0.83
Most likely outcome
Stjarnan
61.86%
Probability
42.9%
1X2 accuracy · 28 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.01%)
1X2 Result
1 62%
X 21%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 38%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stjarnan a 61% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 17% for IBV Vestmannaeyjar. Expected goals are 1.9 for Stjarnan and 0.8 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar (total 2.7), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.01% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Stjarnan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Season Stats

Stjarnan
6W 3D 6L
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.7
2.2
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
80%
O 2.5
67%
73%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
7%
Based on the last 15 matches in Úrvalsdeild. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Stjarnan
3W 2D 5L · at home
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1W 4D 5L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.4
2.2
Conceded
2.2
30%
Win %
10%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
60%
70%
O 3.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%
10%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Stjarnan IBV Vestmannaeyjar →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.5% 10.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
2 11.8% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
3 7.4% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
4 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

D IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2–2
W Breidablik 0–2
W Thor Akureyri 4–2
L Fram Reykjavik 3–1
W Keflavik 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
D Stjarnan 2–2
L Thor Akureyri 0–1
L Keflavik 1–0
L IA Akranes 1–3
D Vikingur Reykjavik 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Stjarnan Stjarnan
Attack
45
Defence
49
Form
51
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Attack
25
Defence
56
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik 22 53
2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 22 45
3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 22 44
4 Breidablik Breidablik 22 30
5 IA Akranes IA Akranes 22 30
6 Keflavik Keflavik 22 28
7 Stjarnan Stjarnan 22 28
8 Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 22 27
9 FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur 22 21
10 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 22 21
11 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 22 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
The model gives Stjarnan a 61% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 17% for an IBV Vestmannaeyjar win.
How many goals are expected in Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
Expected goals: Stjarnan 1.9, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.01%.