Stjørdals-Blink - Fredrikstad
NM Cupen
September 16, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.25%
Win
Stjørdals-Blink
31.85%
Draw
31.89%
Win
Fredrikstad
3.82
1.48
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.58%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
✓ 93.3% hit rate (15 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stjørdals-Blink a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Fredrikstad. Expected goals are 3.8 for Stjørdals-Blink and 1.5 for Fredrikstad (total 5.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.58% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
1L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
3.2
1.3
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
2W
0D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
3.7
2.0
Conceded
1.7
0%
Win %
67%
0%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Stjørdals-Blink
Fredrikstad →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Stjørdals-Blink
Attack
64
Defence
77
Form
78
Fredrikstad
Attack
45
Defence
64
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad?
The model gives Stjørdals-Blink a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Fredrikstad win.
How many goals are expected in Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad?
Expected goals: Stjørdals-Blink 3.8, Fredrikstad 1.5 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Stjørdals-Blink vs Fredrikstad?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.58%.