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League One · Semi-finals May 13, 2026 21:00
Stockport County
#3 · 77 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Stevenage
#6 · 75 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Stockport County
L. Barry (ast. B. Osborn) 14'
K. Wootton (ast. O. Bailey) 28'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stockport County a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Stevenage 18%). The final result was Stockport County 2–0 Stevenage. In 3 previous meetings, Stockport County have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Stevenage.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
5
16
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Barry · ast. B. Osborn
14'
⚽K. Wootton · ast. O. Bailey
28'
41'
C. Goode
↕ A. Sidibeh / T. Olaofe
46'
62'
L. James-Wildin / J. Pattenden ↕
62'
H. White / J. Houghton ↕
63'
L. Thompson / D. Phillips ↕
63'
P. Patterson / J. Roberts ↕
67'
D. Kemp
O. Norwood
68'
↕ L. Barry / J. Diamond
69'
↕ J. Stokes / M. Mothersille
80'
↕ B. Osborn / L. Fiorini
80'
80'
B. Lubala / M. Phillips ↕
↕ O. Bailey / B. Andresson
88'
Pre-match prediction
60.54%
Stockport ←
20.61%
X
18.86%
Stevenage
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Stockport County) 60.54% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stockport
2.08
0.80
-1.28
Stevenage
0.96
1.14
+0.18
Stevenage dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Stockport County Stockport County 4-3-3
34 Corey Addai Corey Addai G 8.30
14 Tayo Edun Tayo Edun D 7.30
15 E. Pye E. Pye D 6.90
19 K. Wootton K. Wootton 1 ⚽ D 7.90
2 Josh Dacres-Cogley Josh Dacres-Cogley D 6.70
23 Ben Osborn Ben Osborn 1 👟 80' M 7.20
26 O. Norwood O. Norwood M 7.20
27 Odin Bailey Odin Bailey 1 👟 88' M 7.30
20 Louie Barry Louie Barry 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.30
29 Adama Sidibeh Adama Sidibeh 45' F 6.20
28 Josh Stokes Josh Stokes 80' F 6.30
Bench
1 Ben Hinchliffe Ben Hinchliffe G
22 Benoný Breki Andrésson Benoný Breki Andrésson 4' F
9 Isaac Olaofe Isaac Olaofe 47' F 6.50
7 J. Diamond J. Diamond 23' F 6.20
18 Lewis Fiorini Lewis Fiorini 12' M 6.50
11 Malik Mothersille Malik Mothersille 12' F 6.30
12 Roman Dixon Roman Dixon D
Stevenage Stevenage 4-1-4-1
1 Filip Marschall Filip Marschall G 6.30
14 Saxon Earley Saxon Earley D 6.30
5 C. Piergianni C. Piergianni D 7.50
15 C. Goode C. Goode D 6.00
17 Jasper Pattenden Jasper Pattenden 62' D 6.20
4 Jordan Houghton Jordan Houghton 62' M 6.30
11 Jordan Roberts Jordan Roberts 63' M 6.20
10 Daniel Kemp Daniel Kemp M 6.30
8 D. Phillips D. Phillips 63' M 7.20
25 Matt Phillips Matt Phillips 80' M 7.20
19 J. Reid J. Reid F 6.50
Bench
30 Beryly Lubala Beryly Lubala 12' F 6.70
6 Dan Sweeney Dan Sweeney D
18 H. White H. White 30' M 6.60
23 Louis Thompson Louis Thompson 29' M 6.60
2 Luther James-Wildin Luther James-Wildin 30' D 6.50
44 Phoenix Patterson Phoenix Patterson 29' F 6.30
13 Taye Ashby-Hammond Taye Ashby-Hammond G
Best on the pitch
Corey Addai
Corey Addai
G · Stockport
8.30
· 25 pass
K. Wootton
K. Wootton
D · Stockport
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
C. Piergianni
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.50
1 shots · 66 pass
Tayo Edun
Tayo Edun
D · Stockport
7.30
· 50 pass
Louie Barry
Louie Barry
F · Stockport
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 38 pass
Odin Bailey
Odin Bailey
M · Stockport
7.30
1 👟
· 46 pass
Stockport County Stockport County — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Corey Addai G 92 8.30 — — — 25 15% — — —
Tayo Edun D 92 7.30 — — — 50 40% 6 — —
E. Pye D 92 6.90 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
K. Wootton D 92 7.90 1 — 1 39 32% — — —
Josh Dacres-Cogley D 92 6.70 — — — 34 24% 1 — —
Ben Osborn M 80 7.20 — 1 — 26 24% 2 — —
O. Norwood M 92 7.20 — — 1 70 56% — 1 —
Odin Bailey M 88 7.30 — 1 — 46 39% 3 — —
Louie Barry F 69 7.30 1 — 2 38 28% 2 — —
Adama Sidibeh F 45 6.20 — — — 9 6% — — —
Josh Stokes F 80 6.30 — — — 28 18% 1 — —
Benoný Breki Andrésson F 4 — — — — — — — — —
Isaac Olaofe F 47 6.50 — — — 10 5% — — —
J. Diamond F 23 6.20 — — — 10 6% — — —
Lewis Fiorini M 12 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Malik Mothersille F 12 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Stevenage Stevenage — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Filip Marschall G 92 6.30 — — — 37 22% — — —
Saxon Earley D 92 6.30 — — — 40 29% 4 — —
C. Piergianni D 92 7.50 — — 1 66 52% — — —
C. Goode D 92 6.00 — — 2 66 57% — 1 —
Jasper Pattenden D 62 6.20 — — — 25 16% 2 — —
Jordan Houghton M 62 6.30 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
Jordan Roberts M 63 6.20 — — — 12 4% 1 — —
Daniel Kemp M 92 6.30 — — 1 29 24% 1 1 —
D. Phillips M 63 7.20 — — 1 23 19% 1 — —
Matt Phillips M 80 7.20 — — 1 11 8% 4 — —
J. Reid F 92 6.50 — — 1 14 10% — — —
Beryly Lubala F 12 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
H. White M 30 6.60 — — 1 27 23% 1 — —
Louis Thompson M 29 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
Luther James-Wildin D 30 6.50 — — — 18 14% — — —
Phoenix Patterson F 29 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stockport County vs Stevenage?
The final score was Stockport County 2–0 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Stockport County vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Stockport County win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Stevenage win.