League One
· Semi-finals
May 13, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Stockport County
L. Barry
(ast. B. Osborn)
14'
K. Wootton
(ast. O. Bailey)
28'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stockport County a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Stevenage 18%). The final result was Stockport County 2–0 Stevenage. In 3 previous meetings, Stockport County have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
5
16
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Barry
· ast. B. Osborn
14'
⚽K. Wootton
· ast. O. Bailey
28'
41'
C. Goode
A. Sidibeh
/ T. Olaofe
46'
62'
L. James-Wildin
/
J. Pattenden
62'
H. White
/
J. Houghton
63'
L. Thompson
/
D. Phillips
63'
P. Patterson
/
J. Roberts
67'
D. Kemp
O. Norwood
68'
L. Barry
/ J. Diamond
69'
J. Stokes
/ M. Mothersille
80'
B. Osborn
/ L. Fiorini
80'
80'
B. Lubala
/
M. Phillips
O. Bailey
/ B. Andresson
88'
Pre-match prediction
60.54%
Stockport ←
20.61%
X
18.86%
Stevenage
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Stockport County)
60.54%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
0.80
-1.28
0.96
1.14
+0.18
Stevenage dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
Corey Addai
G
Corey Addai
G
14
Tayo Edun
D
Tayo Edun
D
15
Ethan Pye
D
Ethan Pye
D
19
Kyle Wootton
1 ⚽
D
Kyle Wootton
1 ⚽
D
2
J. Dacres-Cogley
D
J. Dacres-Cogley
D
23
Ben Osborn
1 👟
80'
M
Ben Osborn
1 👟
80'
M
26
Oliver Norwood
M
Oliver Norwood
M
27
Odin Bailey
1 👟
88'
M
Odin Bailey
1 👟
88'
M
20
Louie Barry
1 ⚽
69'
F
Louie Barry
1 ⚽
69'
F
29
Adama Sidibeh
45'
F
Adama Sidibeh
45'
F
28
Josh Stokes
80'
F
Josh Stokes
80'
F
Bench
1
Ben Hinchliffe
G
Ben Hinchliffe
G
22
Benoný Breki Andrésson
4'
F
Benoný Breki Andrésson
4'
F
9
Isaac Olaofe
47'
F
Isaac Olaofe
47'
F
7
Jack Diamond
23'
F
Jack Diamond
23'
F
18
Lewis Fiorini
12'
M
Lewis Fiorini
12'
M
11
Malik Mothersille
12'
F
Malik Mothersille
12'
F
12
Roman Dixon
D
Roman Dixon
D
1
Filip Marschall
G
Filip Marschall
G
14
Saxon Earley
D
Saxon Earley
D
5
Carl Piergianni
D
Carl Piergianni
D
15
Charlie Goode
D
Charlie Goode
D
17
Jasper Pattenden
62'
D
Jasper Pattenden
62'
D
4
Jordan Houghton
62'
M
Jordan Houghton
62'
M
11
Jordan Roberts
63'
M
Jordan Roberts
63'
M
10
Daniel Kemp
M
Daniel Kemp
M
8
Daniel Phillips
63'
M
Daniel Phillips
63'
M
25
Matt Phillips
80'
M
Matt Phillips
80'
M
19
Jamie Reid
F
Jamie Reid
F
Bench
30
Beryly Lubala
12'
F
Beryly Lubala
12'
F
6
Dan Sweeney
D
Dan Sweeney
D
18
Harvey White
30'
M
Harvey White
30'
M
23
Louis Thompson
29'
M
Louis Thompson
29'
M
2
Luther James-Wildin
30'
D
Luther James-Wildin
30'
D
44
Phoenix Patterson
29'
F
Phoenix Patterson
29'
F
13
Taye Ashby-Hammond
G
Taye Ashby-Hammond
G
Best on the pitch
Corey Addai
G · Stockport
8.30
· 25 pass
Kyle Wootton
D · Stockport
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Carl Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.50
1 shots
· 66 pass
Tayo Edun
D · Stockport
7.30
· 50 pass
Louie Barry
F · Stockport
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Odin Bailey
M · Stockport
7.30
1 👟
· 46 pass
Stockport County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Addai | G | 92 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Tayo Edun | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 6 | — | — |
| Ethan Pye | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Kyle Wootton | D | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Dacres-Cogley | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Osborn | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Oliver Norwood | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Odin Bailey | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Louie Barry | F | 69 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Adama Sidibeh | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Josh Stokes | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Benoný Breki Andrésson | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Olaofe | F | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jack Diamond | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Fiorini | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Malik Mothersille | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Marschall | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Saxon Earley | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Carl Piergianni | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Charlie Goode | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 57% | — | 1 | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Houghton | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordan Roberts | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Kemp | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Phillips | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Jamie Reid | F | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Beryly Lubala | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Harvey White | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Louis Thompson | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Luther James-Wildin | D | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Phoenix Patterson | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stockport County vs Stevenage?
The final score was Stockport County 2–0 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Stockport County vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Stockport County win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Stevenage win.