League One
· Semi-finals
May 13, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Stockport County
L. Barry
(ast. B. Osborn)
14'
K. Wootton
(ast. O. Bailey)
28'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stockport County a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Stevenage 18%). The final result was Stockport County 2–0 Stevenage. In 3 previous meetings, Stockport County have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
5
16
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Barry
· ast. B. Osborn
14'
⚽K. Wootton
· ast. O. Bailey
28'
41'
C. Goode
A. Sidibeh
/ T. Olaofe
46'
62'
L. James-Wildin
/
J. Pattenden
62'
H. White
/
J. Houghton
63'
L. Thompson
/
D. Phillips
63'
P. Patterson
/
J. Roberts
67'
D. Kemp
O. Norwood
68'
L. Barry
/ J. Diamond
69'
J. Stokes
/ M. Mothersille
80'
B. Osborn
/ L. Fiorini
80'
80'
B. Lubala
/
M. Phillips
O. Bailey
/ B. Andresson
88'
Pre-match prediction
60.54%
Stockport ←
20.61%
X
18.86%
Stevenage
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Stockport County)
60.54%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
0.80
-1.28
0.96
1.14
+0.18
Stevenage dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
C. Addai
G
C. Addai
G
14
Tayo Edun
D
Tayo Edun
D
15
E. Pye
D
E. Pye
D
19
K. Wootton
1 ⚽
D
K. Wootton
1 ⚽
D
2
J. Dacres-Cogley
D
J. Dacres-Cogley
D
23
B. Osborn
1 👟
80'
M
B. Osborn
1 👟
80'
M
26
O. Norwood
M
O. Norwood
M
27
O. Bailey
1 👟
88'
M
O. Bailey
1 👟
88'
M
20
L. Barry
1 ⚽
69'
F
L. Barry
1 ⚽
69'
F
29
Adama Sidibeh
45'
F
Adama Sidibeh
45'
F
28
J. Stokes
80'
F
J. Stokes
80'
F
Bench
22
B. Andrésson
4'
F
B. Andrésson
4'
F
1
Ben Hinchliffe
G
Ben Hinchliffe
G
9
I. Olaofe
47'
F
I. Olaofe
47'
F
7
J. Diamond
23'
F
J. Diamond
23'
F
18
L. Fiorini
12'
M
L. Fiorini
12'
M
11
M. Mothersille
12'
F
M. Mothersille
12'
F
12
Roman Dixon
D
Roman Dixon
D
1
F. Marschall
G
F. Marschall
G
14
S. Earley
D
S. Earley
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
15
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
17
Jasper Pattenden
62'
D
Jasper Pattenden
62'
D
4
J. Houghton
62'
M
J. Houghton
62'
M
11
J. Roberts
63'
M
J. Roberts
63'
M
10
D. Kemp
M
D. Kemp
M
8
D. Phillips
63'
M
D. Phillips
63'
M
25
Matt Phillips
80'
M
Matt Phillips
80'
M
19
J. Reid
F
J. Reid
F
Bench
30
Beryly Lubala
12'
F
Beryly Lubala
12'
F
6
D. Sweeney
D
D. Sweeney
D
18
H. White
30'
M
H. White
30'
M
2
L. James-Wildin
30'
D
L. James-Wildin
30'
D
23
L. Thompson
29'
M
L. Thompson
29'
M
44
P. Patterson
29'
F
P. Patterson
29'
F
13
Taye Ashby-Hammond
G
Taye Ashby-Hammond
G
Best on the pitch
C. Addai
G · Stockport
8.30
· 25 pass
K. Wootton
D · Stockport
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.50
1 shots
· 66 pass
Tayo Edun
D · Stockport
7.30
· 50 pass
L. Barry
F · Stockport
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
O. Bailey
M · Stockport
7.30
1 👟
· 46 pass
Stockport County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Addai | G | 92 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Tayo Edun | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Pye | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Wootton | D | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Dacres-Cogley | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Osborn | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Norwood | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Barry | F | 69 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Adama Sidibeh | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Stokes | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Andrésson | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Olaofe | F | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Diamond | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Fiorini | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Mothersille | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Earley | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 52% | — | — | — |
| C. Goode | D | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 57% | — | 1 | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Houghton | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Roberts | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kemp | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Phillips | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Reid | F | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Beryly Lubala | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| H. White | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. James-Wildin | D | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Patterson | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stockport County vs Stevenage?
The final score was Stockport County 2–0 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Stockport County vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Stockport County win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Stevenage win.