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Championship · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 16:00 bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent
Stoke City
#9 · 20 pts
0 – 0
Final score
Bristol City
#14 · 15 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Bristol City 30%). The final result was Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City. In 2 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bristol City.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
0
0.71
Actual xG
0.79
0
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
6
9
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ Lamine Cissé / George Hirst
21'
El Hadji Soumare
31'
43'
Luke McNally
62'
Sam Bellis / lorent tolaj ↕
62'
Brian de Keersmaecker / Gibson Osahumen Yah ↕
↕ El Hadji Soumare / Junior Tchamadeu
69'
71'
Jason Knight
↕ Justin Devenny / Róbert Boženík
81'
87'
Jed Wallace / Dominic Ballard ↕
88'
Adam Randell / Jason Knight ↕
Pre-match prediction
40.63%
Stoke
28.56%
X ←
30.81%
Bristol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stoke
1.43
0.71
-0.72
Bristol
1.16
0.79
-0.37
xG dominance was balanced (0.71 – 0.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Stoke City Stoke City 3-4-3
1 V. Johansson V. Johansson G 6.67
5 L. Graham L. Graham D 6.60
18 B. Lawal B. Lawal D 7.04
16 B. Wilmot B. Wilmot D 7.14
21 L. Bombino L. Bombino M 6.78
8 E. Galbraith E. Galbraith M 6.68
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré El Hadji Djibril Soumaré 69' M 6.21
2 B. Johnson B. Johnson M 6.49
11 L. Cissé L. Cissé 21' F 6.06
13 J. Devenny J. Devenny 81' F 6.25
7 J. McGlynn J. McGlynn F 6.30
Bench
10 Bae Jun-Ho Bae Jun-Ho M 0.00
23 B. Gibson B. Gibson D 0.00
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson M 0.00
15 G. Hirst G. Hirst 69' F 6.29
24 J. Griffiths J. Griffiths G 0.00
22 J. Tchamadeu J. Tchamadeu 21' D 6.47
40 M. Talovierov M. Talovierov D 0.00
9 R. Boženík R. Boženík 9' F 6.58
19 T. Rigo T. Rigo M 0.00
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
40 B. Collins B. Collins G 7.00
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat D 6.28
15 L. McNally L. McNally D 6.88
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner D 6.82
3 C. Pring C. Pring D 6.43
8 J. Williams J. Williams M 6.23
12 J. Knight J. Knight 88' M 6.67
27 G. Yah G. Yah 62' M 6.50
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard 87' M 6.23
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines M 6.33
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 62' F 6.87
Bench
4 A. Randell A. Randell 2' M 6.09
6 B. De Keersmaecker B. De Keersmaecker 28' M 6.57
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace 3' M 6.59
5 R. Atkinson R. Atkinson D 0.00
11 S. Bell S. Bell 28' F 6.45
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood M 0.00
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 0.00
10 S. Twine S. Twine M 0.00
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa M 0.00
Best on the pitch
B. Wilmot
B. Wilmot
D · Stoke
7.14
2 shots · 104 pass
B. Lawal
B. Lawal
D · Stoke
7.04
1 shots · 70 pass
B. Collins
B. Collins
G · Bristol
7.00
· 22 pass
L. McNally
L. McNally
D · Bristol
6.88
1 shots · 28 pass
L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
F · Bristol
6.87
· 7 pass
G. Tanner
G. Tanner
D · Bristol
6.82
· 45 pass
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Johansson G 90 6.67 — — 0 36 29% 0 — —
L. Graham D 90 6.60 — — 1 90 73% 1 — —
B. Lawal D 90 7.04 — — 1 70 63% 1 — —
B. Wilmot D 90 7.14 — — 2 104 92% 0 — —
L. Bombino M 90 6.78 — — 2 25 23% 1 — —
E. Galbraith M 90 6.68 — — 1 76 59% 3 — —
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 69 6.21 — — 0 30 24% 0 1 —
B. Johnson M 90 6.49 — — 0 49 39% 1 — —
L. Cissé F 21 6.06 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
J. Devenny F 81 6.25 — — 1 28 22% 0 — —
J. McGlynn F 90 6.30 — — 1 52 42% 1 — —
G. Hirst F 69 6.29 — — 1 8 1% 0 — —
J. Tchamadeu D 21 6.47 — — 0 12 8% 0 — —
R. Boženík F 9 6.58 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Collins G 90 7.00 — — 0 22 6% 0 — —
L. Eissat D 90 6.28 — — 0 43 30% 1 — —
L. McNally D 90 6.88 — — 1 28 23% 1 1 —
G. Tanner D 90 6.82 — — 0 45 33% 0 — —
C. Pring D 90 6.43 — — 0 25 17% 1 — —
J. Williams M 90 6.23 — — 0 54 42% 2 — —
J. Knight M 88 6.67 — — 0 30 28% 4 1 —
G. Yah M 62 6.50 — — 2 19 13% 3 — —
D. Ballard M 87 6.23 — — 3 8 8% 1 — —
Rio Cardines M 90 6.33 — — 0 25 15% 3 — —
L. Tolaj F 62 6.87 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
A. Randell M 2 6.09 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
B. De Keersmaecker M 28 6.57 — — 2 13 9% 0 — —
J. Wallace M 3 6.59 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
S. Bell F 28 6.45 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Bristol City?
The final score was Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Stoke City win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Bristol City win.