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Stoke City - Hull City

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 20:45
Stoke City
vs
Hull City
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.08%
Win
Stoke City
32.63%
Draw
35.29%
Win
Hull City
0.79
Expected xG
1.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.43%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 44%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hull City a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Stoke City. Expected goals are 0.8 for Stoke City and 1.0 for Hull City (total 1.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.43% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.

Season Stats

Stoke City
1W 1D 1L
Hull City
0W 1D 0L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
3.0
1.0
Conceded
3.0
2.0
Shots OT
6.0
3.7
Corners
4.0
64%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Stoke City
1W 1D 1L · at home
Hull City
0W 1D 0L · away
0.7
gls/g
3.0
1.0
Conceded
3.0
33%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
67%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Stoke City Hull City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.5% 16.8% 8.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.2% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Stoke City Stoke City
W Oldham 2–0
L Bradford 0–3
D Walsall 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Hull City Hull City
D Wrexham 3–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Stoke City Stoke City
Attack
25
Defence
72
Form
51
Hull City Hull City
Attack
35
Defence
77
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Stoke City
0
Draw
1
Hull City
1 Jan 2026 Championship 1–0
29 Nov 2025 Championship 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stoke City vs Hull City?
The model gives Stoke City a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 35% for an Hull City win.
How many goals are expected in Stoke City vs Hull City?
Expected goals: Stoke City 0.8, Hull City 1.0 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Stoke City vs Hull City?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.43%.