EFL Cup
· Round of 64
August 25, 2026 20:45
R. Bozenik
(ast. S. Thomas)
39'
S. Thomas
120'+1
(pen.)
S. Gallagher
120'+2
(pen.)
B. Lawal
120'+3
(pen.)
D. Soumare
120'+5
(pen.)
45'
(ast. L. Millar)
K. Dowell
(pen.)
120'+1
H. Morita
(pen.)
120'+2
P. McNair
(pen.)
120'+3
E. Stroud
(pen.)
120'+4
L. Millar
(pen.)
120'+5
M. Belloumi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hull City a 33% win probability (draw 36%, Stoke City 30%). The final result was Stoke City 1–1 Hull City. In 2 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
6
5
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
1
Corners
4
16
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Bozenik
· ast. S. Thomas
39'
45'
ast. L. Millar ·
K. Dowell⚽
E. Galbraith
/ D. Soumare
46'
59'
H. Morita
/
J. Hjerto-Dahl
R. Bozenik
/ G. Hirst
63'
M. Manhoef
/ S. Gallagher
64'
B. Johnson
/ B. Lawal
64'
77'
E. Stroud
/
M. Targett
77'
M. Belloumi
/
A. Omur
81'
T. Sellars-Fleming
/
K. Dowell
81'
R. Slater
/
B. Akintola
L. Giani
/ F. Anderson
81'
82'
L. Herrington
G. Hirst
90'+5
⚽S. Thomas
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.)
H. Morita⚽
⚽S. Gallagher
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
P. McNair⚽
⚽B. Lawal
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.)
E. Stroud⚽
⚽G. Hirst
(missed pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.)
L. Millar⚽
⚽D. Soumare
(pen.)
120'+5
120'+5
(pen.)
M. Belloumi⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.09%
Stoke
36.16%
X ←
33.75%
Hull
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.46
—
—
0.58
—
—
Lineups
24
J. Griffiths
G
J. Griffiths
G
52
Laurence Giani
81'
D
Laurence Giani
81'
D
5
L. Graham
D
L. Graham
D
16
B. Wilmot
D
B. Wilmot
D
2
B. Johnson
64'
D
B. Johnson
64'
D
8
E. Galbraith
45'
M
E. Galbraith
45'
M
4
B. Pearson
M
B. Pearson
M
7
S. Thomas
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
S. Thomas
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
19
T. Rigo
M
T. Rigo
M
42
M. Manhoef
64'
M
M. Manhoef
64'
M
9
R. Boženík
1 ⚽
63'
F
R. Boženík
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
10
Bae Jun-Ho
M
Bae Jun-Ho
M
18
Bosun Lawal
32'
D
Bosun Lawal
32'
D
27
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
1 ⚽
51'
M
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
1 ⚽
51'
M
43
F. Anderson
15'
D
F. Anderson
15'
D
34
Frank Fielding
G
Frank Fielding
G
59
Gabriel Kelly
M
Gabriel Kelly
M
15
G. Hirst
33'
F
G. Hirst
33'
F
20
S. Gallagher
1 ⚽
32'
F
S. Gallagher
1 ⚽
32'
F
58
Tyler Martin
F
Tyler Martin
F
12
D. Phillips
G
D. Phillips
G
23
M. Targett
77'
D
M. Targett
77'
D
17
P. McNair
1 ⚽
D
P. McNair
1 ⚽
D
22
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
18
C. Drameh
D
C. Drameh
D
14
J. Hjertø-Dahl
59'
M
J. Hjertø-Dahl
59'
M
29
L. Gourna-Douath
M
L. Gourna-Douath
M
7
L. Millar
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
L. Millar
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
26
K. Dowell
1 ⚽
81'
M
K. Dowell
1 ⚽
81'
M
33
Abdülkadir Ömür
77'
M
Abdülkadir Ömür
77'
M
30
D. Akintola
81'
F
Bench
21
E. Stroud
1 ⚽
19'
M
E. Stroud
1 ⚽
19'
M
5
H. Morita
1 ⚽
37'
M
H. Morita
1 ⚽
37'
M
15
J. Egan
D
J. Egan
D
19
K. Tzolakis
G
K. Tzolakis
G
10
M. Belloumi
1 ⚽
19'
F
M. Belloumi
1 ⚽
19'
F
32
N. Mendy
D
N. Mendy
D
3
R. Giles
D
R. Giles
D
27
R. Slater
15'
M
R. Slater
15'
M
41
Tyrell Sellars-Fleming
15'
F
Tyrell Sellars-Fleming
15'
F
Best on the pitch
K. Dowell
M · Hull
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
J. Griffiths
G · Stoke
7.90
· 31 pass
R. Boženík
F · Stoke
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
S. Thomas
M · Stoke
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
M. Manhoef
M · Stoke
7.20
· 28 pass
L. Millar
M · Hull
7.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 46 pass
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Griffiths | G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Laurence Giani | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Graham | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 63% | — | — | — |
| B. Wilmot | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| B. Johnson | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Galbraith | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| B. Pearson | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Rigo | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Manhoef | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Boženík | F | 63 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Bosun Lawal | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | M | 51 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Anderson | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Hirst | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Gallagher | F | 32 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Phillips | G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Targett | D | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| P. McNair | D | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 92 | 85% | — | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 97 | 87% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Drameh | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Hjertø-Dahl | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Gourna-Douath | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | — | — |
| L. Millar | M | 96 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
| K. Dowell | M | 81 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdülkadir Ömür | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Akintola | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| E. Stroud | M | 19 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| H. Morita | M | 37 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | F | 19 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Slater | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tyrell Sellars-Fleming | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Hull City?
The final score was Stoke City 1–1 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Hull City?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Stoke City win, 36% to a draw, and 33% to an Hull City win.