Championship
· Regular Season - 44
April 21, 2026 20:45
C. Taylor
60'
(og)
20'
C. Neghli
55'
(ast. T. Ballo)
F. Azeez
69'
(ast. C. Neghli)
J. Coburn
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Stoke City 33%). The final result was Stoke City 1–3 Millwall. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Millwall.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
0.98
Actual xG
1.48
3
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
11
Corners
1
9
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
D. Mazou-Sacko
15'
C. De Norre
20'
C. Neghli⚽
55'
ast. T. Ballo ·
F. Azeez⚽
M. Manhoef
/ S. Gallagher
59'
L. Baker
/ L. Cisse
60'
⚽C. Taylor
(og)
60'
69'
ast. C. Neghli ·
J. Coburn⚽
R. Bozenik
/ M. Smit
74'
S. N'Zonzi
/ B. Pearson
74'
80'
D. McNamara
/
Z. Sturge
80'
M. Ivanovic
/
J. Coburn
80'
T. Watson
/
T. Ballo
81'
D. McNamara
85'
L. Cundle
/
F. Azeez
85'
M. Langstaff
/
C. De Norre
Pre-match prediction
33.29%
Stoke
28.53%
X
38.17%
Millwall ←
we assigned to the actual result (Millwall)
38.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
0.98
-0.21
1.16
1.48
+0.32
Millwall dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.98).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
G
17
E. Bocat
D
54
R. Otegbayo
D
26
A. Phillips
D
50
Sydney Agina
D
12
M
15
S. N'Zonzi
74'
M
7
S. Thomas
M
S. Thomas
M
8
L. Baker
60'
M
42
M. Manhoef
59'
M
11
Róbert Boženík
74'
F
Bench
4
B. Pearson
16'
M
B. Pearson
16'
M
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
F
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
F
10
Jun-Ho Bae
M
Jun-Ho Bae
M
29
L. Cisse
30'
F
20
S. Gallagher
31'
F
13
G
3
Zak Norton Sturge
80'
D
Zak Norton Sturge
80'
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
6
C. Taylor
1 ⚽
D
4
D
24
Casper De Norre
85'
M
Casper De Norre
85'
M
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M
7
Thierno Ballo
1 👟
80'
M
Thierno Ballo
1 👟
80'
M
10
Camiel Neghli
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Camiel Neghli
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
11
O. Azeez
1 ⚽
85'
M
O. Azeez
1 ⚽
85'
M
19
Josh Coburn
1 ⚽
80'
F
Josh Coburn
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
67
Barry Bannan
M
Barry Bannan
M
2
Danny McNamara
10'
D
Danny McNamara
10'
D
25
Luke Cundle
9'
M
Luke Cundle
9'
M
17
Macaulay Langstaff
9'
F
Macaulay Langstaff
9'
F
9
Mihailo Ivanović
10'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
10'
F
Best on the pitch
O. Azeez
M · Millwall
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
Camiel Neghli
M · Millwall
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
G · Millwall
7.50
· 25 pass
S. N'Zonzi
M · Stoke
7.30
1 shots
· 39 pass
Thierno Ballo
M · Millwall
7.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
L. Cisse
F · Stoke
7.00
2 shots
· 9 pass
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| E. Bocat | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Otegbayo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sydney Agina | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. N'Zonzi | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| L. Baker | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Manhoef | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Róbert Boženík | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Pearson | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cisse | F | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Gallagher | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 57 | 49% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Casper De Norre | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Derek Mazou-Sacko | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Thierno Ballo | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| O. Azeez | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 80 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Danny McNamara | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Luke Cundle | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Langstaff | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Millwall?
The final score was Stoke City 1–3 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Millwall?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Stoke City win, 28% to a draw, and 38% to an Millwall win.