Stoke City - Oldham
EFL Cup
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.7%
Win
Stoke City
34.62%
Draw
32.68%
Win
Oldham
0.67
0.65
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.15%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
35%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stoke City a 32% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 32% for Oldham. Expected goals are 0.7 for Stoke City and 0.6 for Oldham (total 1.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.15% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
3.0
1.5
Shots OT
1.0
4.0
Corners
6.0
67%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
0W
1D
1L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
0.0
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
3.0
0%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Stoke City
Oldham →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26.8% | 17.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.9% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Stoke City
Attack
21
Defence
70
Form
42
Oldham
Attack
30
Defence
57
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stoke City vs Oldham?
The model gives Stoke City a 32% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 32% for an Oldham win.
How many goals are expected in Stoke City vs Oldham?
Expected goals: Stoke City 0.7, Oldham 0.6 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Stoke City vs Oldham?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.15%.