EFL Cup
· Round of 128
August 08, 2026 16:00
O. Norburn
48'
(og)
R. Bozenik
(ast. Bae Jun-Ho)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Oldham 34%). The final result was Stoke City 2–0 Oldham.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
3
6
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
B. Lawal
19'
31'
R. Delaney
⚽O. Norburn
(og)
48'
62'
T. Hill
/
T. Pett
E. Galbraith
/ D. Soumare
65'
S. Gallagher
/ R. Bozenik
66'
M. Manhoef
/ Bae Jun-Ho
66'
Bae Jun-Ho
68'
74'
E. Nevitt
/
M. Fondop-Talum
74'
J. Hawkes
/
C. Kavanagh
74'
L. Temple
/
D. Daniels
⚽R. Bozenik
· ast. Bae Jun-Ho
82'
85'
K. Payne
/
O. Norburn
B. Lawal
/ M. Talovierov
85'
Pre-match prediction
34.51%
Stoke ←
30.89%
X
34.59%
Oldham
we assigned to the actual result (Stoke City)
34.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
—
—
1.29
—
—
Lineups
1
V. Johansson
G
V. Johansson
G
17
E. Bocat
D
E. Bocat
D
5
L. Graham
D
L. Graham
D
18
Bosun Lawal
85'
D
Bosun Lawal
85'
D
16
B. Wilmot
D
B. Wilmot
D
6
S. Ingelsson
M
S. Ingelsson
M
8
E. Galbraith
65'
M
E. Galbraith
65'
M
7
S. Thomas
M
S. Thomas
M
42
M. Manhoef
66'
M
M. Manhoef
66'
M
11
L. Cissé
M
L. Cissé
M
20
S. Gallagher
66'
F
S. Gallagher
66'
F
Bench
10
Bae Jun-Ho
1 👟
27'
M
Bae Jun-Ho
1 👟
27'
M
23
B. Gibson
D
B. Gibson
D
4
B. Pearson
M
B. Pearson
M
27
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
28'
M
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
28'
M
24
J. Griffiths
G
J. Griffiths
G
49
M. Smit
F
M. Smit
F
40
M. Talovierov
8'
D
M. Talovierov
8'
D
9
R. Boženík
1 ⚽
27'
F
R. Boženík
1 ⚽
27'
F
19
T. Rigo
M
T. Rigo
M
1
Mathew Hudson
G
Mathew Hudson
G
3
Jamie Robson
D
Jamie Robson
D
23
Ryan Delaney
D
Ryan Delaney
D
5
Donervon Daniels
74'
D
Donervon Daniels
74'
D
2
D
15
Kane Drummond
M
Kane Drummond
M
7
Keenan Appiah-Forson
M
Keenan Appiah-Forson
M
8
O. Norburn
1 ⚽
85'
M
O. Norburn
1 ⚽
85'
M
4
Tom Pett
62'
M
Tom Pett
62'
M
10
C. Kavanagh
74'
F
C. Kavanagh
74'
F
9
M. Fondop-Talum
74'
F
M. Fondop-Talum
74'
F
Bench
22
Aston Wilson
G
Aston Wilson
G
20
E. Nevitt
19'
F
E. Nevitt
19'
F
21
Josh Hawkes
19'
M
Josh Hawkes
19'
M
26
Kai Payne
8'
M
Kai Payne
8'
M
24
Lewis Temple
19'
D
Lewis Temple
19'
D
6
Manny Monthe
D
Manny Monthe
D
14
Noah Chilvers
M
Noah Chilvers
M
30
Thomas Hill
31'
M
Thomas Hill
31'
M
Best on the pitch
V. Johansson
G · Stoke
9.90
· 46 pass
R. Boženík
F · Stoke
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
E. Bocat
D · Stoke
7.50
· 32 pass
M. Fondop-Talum
F · Oldham
7.30
2 shots
· 14 pass
Bosun Lawal
D · Stoke
7.20
1 shots
· 55 pass
Mathew Hudson
G · Oldham
7.20
· 37 pass
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson | G | 93 | 9.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| E. Bocat | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| L. Graham | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Bosun Lawal | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Wilmot | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Ingelsson | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Galbraith | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Manhoef | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Cissé | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Gallagher | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Bae Jun-Ho | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Talovierov | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Boženík | F | 27 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Oldham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Hudson | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jamie Robson | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Delaney | D | 93 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Donervon Daniels | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kane Drummond | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Keenan Appiah-Forson | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Norburn | M | 85 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Pett | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Kavanagh | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Fondop-Talum | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Nevitt | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Josh Hawkes | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Kai Payne | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Temple | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Hill | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Oldham?
The final score was Stoke City 2–0 Oldham.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Oldham?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Stoke City win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Oldham win.