Championship
· Regular Season - 40
April 03, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Stoke City
J. Rak-Sakyi
(ast. S. Thomas)
32'
L. Cisse
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 69% win probability (draw 19%, Sheffield Wednesday 10%). The final result was Stoke City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Wednesday.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.54
Actual xG
1.39
2
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
Sean Fusire
⚽J. Rak-Sakyi
· ast. S. Thomas
32'
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
42'
⚽L. Cisse
57'
M. Manhoef
/ S. Gallagher
58'
J. Rak-Sakyi
/ J. Bae
58'
58'
T. Adaramola
/
M. Lowe
59'
N. Chalobah
/
J. Thornton
59'
O. Kobacki
/
C. McNeill
S. N'Zonzi
/ L. Baker
74'
L. Cisse
/ T. Rigo
74'
Lewis Baker
78'
B. Lawal
/ B. Gibson
84'
87'
D. Moses
/
J. Heskey
Pre-match prediction
69.92%
Stoke ←
19.64%
X
10.44%
Sheffield
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Stoke City)
69.92%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
2.54
+0.44
0.67
1.39
+0.72
Stoke City dominated by xG (2.54 vs 1.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
3
A. Cresswell
D
26
A. Phillips
D
A. Phillips
D
18
B. Lawal
B. Lawal
17
E. Bocat
M
E. Bocat
M
12
M
15
S. Nzonzi
74'
M
S. Nzonzi
74'
M
7
S. Thomas
1 👟
M
S. Thomas
1 👟
M
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
1 ⚽
58'
F
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
1 ⚽
58'
F
42
M. Manhoef
58'
F
M. Manhoef
58'
F
29
L. Cissé
1 ⚽
74'
F
L. Cissé
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
10
Bae Jun-Ho
39'
M
Bae Jun-Ho
39'
M
23
B. Gibson
13'
D
B. Gibson
13'
D
4
B. Pearson
M
B. Pearson
M
8
L. Baker
23'
M
20
S. Gallagher
39'
F
S. Gallagher
39'
F
50
Sydney Agina
M
19
T. Rigo
23'
M
T. Rigo
23'
M
1
P. Charles
G
P. Charles
G
2
L. Palmer
D
L. Palmer
D
22
G. Otegbayo
D
G. Otegbayo
D
6
D
3
Max Lowe
58'
M
Max Lowe
58'
M
8
S. Ingelsson
M
S. Ingelsson
M
37
Jarvis Thornton
59'
M
Jarvis Thornton
59'
M
4
S. Fusire
M
S. Fusire
M
17
Charlie McNeill
59'
F
Charlie McNeill
59'
F
24
Jaden Heskey
87'
F
Jaden Heskey
87'
F
12
J. Yates
F
J. Yates
F
Bench
14
N. Chalobah
38'
M
N. Chalobah
38'
M
19
O. Kobacki
38'
F
O. Kobacki
38'
F
45
Tayo Adaramola
39'
D
Tayo Adaramola
39'
D
31
W. Grainger
F
W. Grainger
F
Best on the pitch
S. Thomas
M · Stoke
8.30
1 👟
· 27 pass
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
F · Stoke
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
P. Charles
G · Sheffield
8.20
· 36 pass
A. Cresswell
D · Stoke
7.70
· 46 pass
S. Nzonzi
M · Stoke
7.60
1 shots
· 30 pass
A. Phillips
D · Stoke
7.50
· 30 pass
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| A. Cresswell | D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | — | — | — |
| A. Phillips | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| B. Lawal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E. Bocat | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Nzonzi | M | 74 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 97 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | F | 58 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Manhoef | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Cissé | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Bae Jun-Ho | M | 39 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Gibson | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Baker | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Gallagher | F | 39 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Rigo | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Charles | G | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| L. Palmer | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Otegbayo | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| Max Lowe | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ingelsson | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Jarvis Thornton | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Fusire | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Charlie McNeill | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Jaden Heskey | F | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Yates | F | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Chalobah | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kobacki | F | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Tayo Adaramola | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The final score was Stoke City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Stoke City win, 19% to a draw, and 10% to an Sheffield Wednesday win.