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Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 16:00
Stoke City
#15 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Swansea
#4 · 11 pts
E. Bocat (ast. T. Rigo) 10'
23' (ast. Z. Vipotnik) J. Opoku
66' (ast. J. Tymon) A. Idah
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Swansea 32%). The final result was Stoke City 1–2 Swansea. In 2 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Swansea.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
0.63
Actual xG
0.61
1
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
5
11
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽E. Bocat · ast. T. Rigo
10'
23'
ast. Z. Vipotnik · J. Opoku⚽
L. Graham
36'
↕ B. Lawal / M. Talovierov
46'
53'
F. Lissah
55'
J. Key / F. Lissah ↕
65'
Eom Ji-Sung / M. K. Yeo ↕
65'
A. Idah / Z. Vipotnik ↕
65'
M. Widell / E. Just ↕
66'
ast. J. Tymon · A. Idah⚽
↕ S. Gallagher / R. Bozenik
70'
↕ T. Rigo / Bae Jun-Ho
70'
↕ S. Ingelsson / D. Soumare
70'
84'
L. Walta / J. Fulton ↕
86'
M. Widell
90'+1
J. Tymon
Pre-match prediction
34.47%
Stoke
32.77%
X
32.77%
Swansea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea) 32.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stoke
1.74
0.63
-1.11
Swansea
1.55
0.61
-0.94
xG dominance was balanced (0.63 – 0.61). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson V. Johansson G 6.70
17 E. Bocat E. Bocat 1 ⚽ D 7.00
5 L. Graham L. Graham D 6.30
18 Bosun Lawal Bosun Lawal 45' D 6.50
16 B. Wilmot B. Wilmot D 6.50
6 S. Ingelsson S. Ingelsson 70' M 6.30
8 E. Galbraith E. Galbraith M 6.50
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas M 6.60
19 T. Rigo T. Rigo 1 👟 70' M 6.50
42 M. Manhoef M. Manhoef M 6.70
20 S. Gallagher S. Gallagher 70' F 6.20
Bench
10 Bae Jun-Ho Bae Jun-Ho 22' M 6.20
23 B. Gibson B. Gibson D
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson M
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré El Hadji Djibril Soumaré 22' M 6.60
43 F. Anderson F. Anderson D
24 J. Griffiths J. Griffiths G
40 M. Talovierov M. Talovierov 47' D 6.50
9 R. Boženík R. Boženík 22' F 6.30
58 Tyler Martin Tyler Martin F
Swansea Swansea 4-1-4-1
22 L. Vigouroux L. Vigouroux G 6.90
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon 1 👟 D 7.20
23 S. Welsh S. Welsh D 6.60
5 B. Cabango B. Cabango D 6.90
26 F. Lissah F. Lissah 55' D 6.20
4 J. Fulton J. Fulton 84' M 6.90
49 M. Yeo M. Yeo 65' M 6.70
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić M 6.90
8 E. Just E. Just 65' M 6.70
30 Joseph Opoku Joseph Opoku M 7.90
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 1 👟 65' F 6.60
Bench
1 A. Fisher A. Fisher G
33 A. Idah A. Idah 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.30
50 Carter Heywood Carter Heywood D
10 Eom Ji-Sung Eom Ji-Sung 27' F 6.50
2 J. Key J. Key 37' D 6.70
21 Leo Walta Leo Walta 8' M 6.70
7 M. Widell M. Widell 27' M 6.30
35 Ronald Ronald F
20 Tiago Parente Tiago Parente D
Best on the pitch
Joseph Opoku
Joseph Opoku
M · Swansea
7.90
2 shots · 27 pass
A. Idah
A. Idah
F · Swansea
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
J. Tymon
J. Tymon
D · Swansea
7.20
1 👟
· 39 pass
E. Bocat
E. Bocat
D · Stoke
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
M. Stamenić
M. Stamenić
M · Swansea
6.90
1 shots · 25 pass
L. Vigouroux
L. Vigouroux
G · Swansea
6.90
· 37 pass
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Johansson G 92 6.70 — — — 30 20% — — —
E. Bocat D 92 7.00 1 — 2 27 21% 2 — —
L. Graham D 92 6.30 — — — 39 31% 2 1 —
Bosun Lawal D 45 6.50 — — 1 12 8% 1 — —
B. Wilmot D 92 6.50 — — — 23 14% 2 — —
S. Ingelsson M 70 6.30 — — — 16 9% 2 — —
E. Galbraith M 92 6.50 — — — 21 13% — — —
S. Thomas M 92 6.60 — — 2 19 12% 1 — —
T. Rigo M 70 6.50 — 1 — 11 7% — — —
M. Manhoef M 92 6.70 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
S. Gallagher F 70 6.20 — — — 9 3% — — —
Bae Jun-Ho M 22 6.20 — — — 6 3% — — —
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 22 6.60 — — — 14 13% — — —
M. Talovierov D 47 6.50 — — — 25 23% — — —
R. Boženík F 22 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Vigouroux G 92 6.90 — — — 37 17% — — —
J. Tymon D 92 7.20 — 1 — 39 34% 4 1 —
S. Welsh D 92 6.60 — — — 47 39% — — —
B. Cabango D 92 6.90 — — — 40 31% 1 — —
F. Lissah D 55 6.20 — — — 26 20% 3 1 —
J. Fulton M 84 6.90 — — — 47 38% 1 — —
M. Yeo M 65 6.70 — — — 19 11% 2 — —
M. Stamenić M 92 6.90 — — 1 25 20% 1 — —
E. Just M 65 6.70 — — — 34 25% 1 — —
Joseph Opoku M 92 7.90 — — 2 27 20% 2 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 65 6.60 — 1 1 13 8% — — —
A. Idah F 27 7.30 1 — 2 12 9% 2 — —
Eom Ji-Sung F 27 6.50 — — — 12 8% — — —
J. Key D 37 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
Leo Walta M 8 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
M. Widell M 27 6.30 — — — 11 8% 3 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Swansea?
The final score was Stoke City 1–2 Swansea.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Swansea?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Stoke City win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Swansea win.