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Stoke City - Valencia

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 19:30
Stoke City
vs
Valencia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.75%
Win
Stoke City
33.1%
Draw
35.15%
Win
Valencia
0.67
Expected xG
1.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.1%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Valencia a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Stoke City. Expected goals are 0.7 for Stoke City and 1.0 for Valencia (total 1.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.1% probability.

Season Stats

Stoke City
1W 1D 1L
Valencia
2W 0D 2L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.8
0.7
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
33%
BTTS
75%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Stoke City
1W 0D 1L · at home
Valencia
1W 0D 1L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.5
0.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Stoke City Valencia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.5% 18.8% 9.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 12.6% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% —
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% — —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Stoke City Stoke City
W Everton 1–0
D Crewe 1–1
L SC Braga 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Valencia Valencia
W Derby 1–2
L Castellón 1–2
W Eldense 3–0
L Petro de Luanda 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Stoke City Stoke City
Attack
17
Defence
84
Form
55
Valencia Valencia
Attack
44
Defence
63
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Stoke City vs Valencia?
The model gives Stoke City a 31% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 35% for an Valencia win.
How many goals are expected in Stoke City vs Valencia?
Expected goals: Stoke City 0.7, Valencia 1.0 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Stoke City vs Valencia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.1%.