Conference League
· Quarter-finals
April 16, 2026 21:00
S. Nanasi
26'
A. Ouattara
(ast. J. Enciso)
35'
J. Enciso
(ast. M. Godo)
69'
E. Emegha
(ast. J. Enciso)
74'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 48% win probability (draw 24%, FSV Mainz 05 26%). The final result was Strasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FSV Mainz 05.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
1
2.89
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
5
Corners
4
14
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
19'
D. Kohr
⚽S. Nanasi
26'
⚽A. Ouattara
· ast. J. Enciso
35'
V. Barco
36'
S. Nanasi
45'
46'
N. Amiri
/
N. Weiper
S. El Mourabet
49'
S. Nanasi
/ E. Emegha
58'
60'
R. Zentner
⚽E. Emegha
(missed pen.)
66'
⚽J. Enciso
· ast. M. Godo
69'
72'
A. Caci
/
S. Widmer
72'
A. Sieb
/
S. Kawasaki
⚽E. Emegha
· ast. J. Enciso
74'
B. Chilwell
/ L. Hogsberg
77'
A. Ouattara
/ G. Yassine
77'
81'
W. Boving
/
D. Kohr
81'
N. Veratschnig
/
P. Mwene
J. Enciso
/ M. Oyedele
88'
D. Moreira
90'+3
90'+4
N. Veratschnig
90'+4
A. Sieb
M. Godo
90'+6
90'+6
N. Amiri
Pre-match prediction
48.45%
Strasbourg ←
24.82%
X
26.73%
FSV
we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg)
48.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
2.89
+1.27
1.34
0.24
-1.1
Strasbourg dominated by xG (2.89 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
39
G
3
B. Chilwell
78'
D
B. Chilwell
78'
D
6
I. Doukouré
D
I. Doukouré
D
2
A. Omobamidele
D
A. Omobamidele
D
42
A. Ouattara
1 ⚽
79'
D
A. Ouattara
1 ⚽
79'
D
29
S. El Mourabet
M
S. El Mourabet
M
32
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
20
M. Godo
1 👟
M
M. Godo
1 👟
M
11
S. Nanasi
1 ⚽
58'
M
S. Nanasi
1 ⚽
58'
M
7
Diego Moreira
M
Diego Moreira
M
19
J. Enciso
1 ⚽
2 👟
88'
F
J. Enciso
1 ⚽
2 👟
88'
F
Bench
15
D. Fofana
F
D. Fofana
F
10
Emmanuel Emegha
1 ⚽
38'
F
Emmanuel Emegha
1 ⚽
38'
F
80
Gessime Yassine
17'
F
Gessime Yassine
17'
F
24
L. Høgsberg
18'
D
L. Høgsberg
18'
D
17
M. Amougou
M
M. Amougou
M
8
Maxi Oyedele
8'
M
Maxi Oyedele
8'
M
27
S. Amo-Ameyaw
F
S. Amo-Ameyaw
F
33
D. Batz
G
D. Batz
G
31
D. Kohr
82'
D
D. Kohr
82'
D
4
S. Posch
D
S. Posch
D
21
D. da Costa
D
D. da Costa
D
2
P. Mwene
82'
M
P. Mwene
82'
M
8
P. Nebel
M
P. Nebel
M
6
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
24
S. Kawasaki
72'
M
S. Kawasaki
72'
M
30
S. Widmer
72'
M
S. Widmer
72'
M
44
N. Weiper
45'
F
N. Weiper
45'
F
20
P. Tietz
F
P. Tietz
F
Bench
19
A. Caci
24'
D
A. Caci
24'
D
11
A. Sieb
24'
F
A. Sieb
24'
F
48
K. Potulski
D
K. Potulski
D
10
N. Amiri
51'
M
N. Amiri
51'
M
22
N. Veratschnig
14'
D
N. Veratschnig
14'
D
27
R. Zentner
G
R. Zentner
G
Best on the pitch
J. Enciso
F · Strasbourg
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots
· 17 pass
V. Barco
M · Strasbourg
8.20
· 57 pass
A. Ouattara
D · Strasbourg
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 49 pass
M. Godo
M · Strasbourg
7.60
1 👟
· 24 pass
S. Nanasi
M · Strasbourg
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
A. Omobamidele
D · Strasbourg
7.30
· 67 pass
Strasbourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| B. Chilwell | D | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| I. Doukouré | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Omobamidele | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ouattara | D | 79 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 49 | 47% | — | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Barco | M | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Godo | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Nanasi | M | 58 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Moreira | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Enciso | F | 88 | 9.30 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Emegha | F | 38 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Maxi Oyedele | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Kohr | D | 82 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Posch | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D. da Costa | D | 96 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mwene | M | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Nebel | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kawasaki | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Widmer | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Weiper | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| P. Tietz | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Caci | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sieb | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Amiri | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Veratschnig | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was Strasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Strasbourg win, 24% to a draw, and 26% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.